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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAZ-GOV: How bad a candidate was Kari Lake? This bad.
Theres now compelling evidence this happened on a large scale in Arizona in precisely the races we thought.
The Arizona Republic this weekend highlighted a study of voting in all-important Maricopa County, which accounts for about 60 percent of the states electorate. Its from a group called the Audit Guys, which includes a data analyst for the state Republican Party. The study showed that Lake, Masters and other statewide candidates like secretary of state hopeful Mark Finchem lost a significant number of votes from voters who otherwise backed mostly Republicans.
Those voters didnt just skip those contests, mind you; they voted in large numbers for Democrats. And in some cases, including Lakes, that appears to have been decisive.
In her case, there were nearly 40,000 voters who didnt vote for her but otherwise mostly voted Republican across 14 other contests. And about 33,000 of them voted for now-Gov. Katie Hobbs (D). (Some didnt vote or cast ballots for write-in candidates.)
That crossover vote is about double Lakes overall, 17,000-vote margin of defeat. Given that Hobbs suffered many fewer defections only about 8,000 mostly Democratic voters didnt vote for her, and only about 6,000 voted for Lake it suggests that the imbalance was decisive. Lake lost by about 27,000 votes among what can loosely be defined as crossover voters.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/23/maricopa-county-2022-votes/
calimary
(81,179 posts)Republicans: skin deep, only.
ironflange
(7,781 posts)Hides any flaws.
DBoon
(22,353 posts)JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,336 posts)... how tall she is.
Frontal head shot as well as profile head shot, please.
peppertree
(21,615 posts)And this is why - unlike Failin' Palin - we're unlikely to hear much more from Toxic Lake in the future.
A loser and colored? No third strike needed; she's out, as far as most Republicans are concerned.
bucolic_frolic
(43,115 posts)Funny thing about democracy. You have to be popular to win office, and in an honest election, the people have the final say.
Chainfire
(17,519 posts)hlthe2b
(102,192 posts)she expect?
mnmoderatedem
(3,722 posts)trump said McCain was not a war hero because he was captured. Did not cost him in any significant way as far as votes. She probably thought the same thing but did not count on trump fatigue.
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)still alive in 16.
lame54
(35,277 posts)Cha
(297,029 posts)knows no bounds.
MaryMagdaline
(6,853 posts)Cha
(297,029 posts)she runs for Senate .. the same will hold.
TY
twodogsbarking
(9,722 posts)riversedge
(70,181 posts)PCIntern
(25,517 posts)From what Ive been made to understand, she was a Obama Democrat before. This means that she has absolutely no core belief other than in her self. Because shes quite frankly, an attractive candidate, if she had just been a little less insane she probably would have won the election. It amazes me that considering the importance of the seat to the Republicans, that some grandmaster of political science consulting wasnt brought in to tell her not to insult McCain supporters among other nutso things which she said.
Contrast that with the meticulously run Josh Shapiro campaign in Pennsylvania, which was so incredibly disciplined that he did not make a single tactical mistake. As far as I could see, and the fact that an elected governor in Pennsylvania is an observant Jew is fairly remarkable. And yes I know: Ed Rendell and Milton Shapp were as well and of course Senator Arlen Specter, but they made certain that their religion was never mentioned publicly.
Cha
(297,029 posts)wouldn't debate that Pyschotic mini dt robot.
TY!
former9thward
(31,963 posts)Republicans would have won all the state races if they had non Trump candidates. The only non Trumper was the state Treasurer and she won by 12 points. Republicans won the all the down ballot races.
SKKY
(11,802 posts)...Damn. The narcissism is strong with this one.
RandySF
(58,684 posts)Mr.Bill
(24,263 posts)was that 6,000 Democrats voted for Kari Lake. It gives you a good idea of how many vote for name recognition without knowing anything about the candidate.