General Discussion

RandySF

(58,776 posts) Sun Jan 22, 2012, 12:38 AM Jan 2012

Mitt will win in FL, but will it be his "firewall"?

30% of primary voters cast absentee and early votes, so Mitt is assured of first place. But will it be his "firewall" and how big does he have to win to get full credit for the win?

11 replies

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Mitt will win in FL, but will it be his "firewall"? (Original Post) RandySF Jan 2012 OP

Romney can still win Florida. He has a massive lead and tons of cash to match Newt's cash. Dawson Leery Jan 2012 #1

in florida SwampG8r Jan 2012 #4

Florida is not SC. Dawson Leery Jan 2012 #10

he had cash and a huge lead in SC. Don't believe anything. This is wide open. Mitt roguevalley Jan 2012 #2

What was it? A 20 point lead to losing by 14. A 34 point swing in about a week. He has serious deacon Jan 2012 #5

agreed, deacon. :) Exciting isn't it? roguevalley Jan 2012 #6

He's done. Gingrich will chew out the debate moderators, call Obama a Kenyan, AlinPA Jan 2012 #11

i think it is spelled farewell SwampG8r Jan 2012 #3

Mitt is not Florida-type Republican in lots of ways JCMach1 Jan 2012 #7

his opposition to the Dream Act bigtree Jan 2012 #8

Florida is not SC quaker bill Jan 2012 #9

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

1. Romney can still win Florida. He has a massive lead and tons of cash to match Newt's cash.

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 12:58 AM

Jan 2012

The undecided vote may go with Newt, since he has momentum at this point.
Likely, Romney will not win Florida by a wide margin (a single digit win).

SwampG8r

(10,287 posts)

4. in florida

Reply to Dawson Leery (Reply #1)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 02:13 AM

Jan 2012

mitt has a large ground game but the voters are not biting
i dont see mitt being embraced by the gop base

he is too close in policy to what they will want to run against

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

10. Florida is not SC.

Reply to SwampG8r (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 07:34 PM

Jan 2012

Romney is not out just yet. Gingrich can very well win Florida, I am well aware of that.
As of last night, the GOP (circus of rabid animals) primary is wide open.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)

2. he had cash and a huge lead in SC. Don't believe anything. This is wide open. Mitt

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 01:06 AM

Jan 2012

has just ended his career by being defined as a rich asshole.

deacon

(5,967 posts)

5. What was it? A 20 point lead to losing by 14. A 34 point swing in about a week. He has serious

Reply to roguevalley (Reply #2)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 03:12 AM

Jan 2012

problems.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)

6. agreed, deacon. :) Exciting isn't it?

Reply to deacon (Reply #5)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 03:14 AM

Jan 2012

AlinPA

(15,071 posts)

11. He's done. Gingrich will chew out the debate moderators, call Obama a Kenyan,

Reply to deacon (Reply #5)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 07:41 PM

Jan 2012

and jump ahead of Romney.

SwampG8r

(10,287 posts)

3. i think it is spelled farewell

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 02:11 AM

Jan 2012

JCMach1

(27,556 posts)

7. Mitt is not Florida-type Republican in lots of ways

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 03:55 AM

Jan 2012

I think Mitt is going down to defeat there as Paul is not even contesting and Santorum is turning into an *...

bigtree

(85,989 posts)

8. his opposition to the Dream Act

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 07:22 AM

Jan 2012

. . .should cause him some trouble there. Also, he has the most stringent policy on immigration.

quaker bill

(8,224 posts)

9. Florida is not SC

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Jan 22, 2012, 08:14 AM

Jan 2012

That said, republicans nominated Rick Scott (TP) for Governor in 2010. Gingrich would not take the state in the general, but he could take the closed republican primary. The biggest problem Newt will have in the general is that he sounds too much like Scott, who currently polls in the high 20s to low 30s.

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