Can Romney win his home state of Mass, and threaten in Michigan?

[gregtownsand]

One thing that worries me a bit with Romney is certain Obama states are going to be in play with him on the ticket. Obama won New Hampshire, Mass, Michigan, Nevada, and COlorado last time. These are all going to be harder this time. Romney has roots in Michigan, and seems popular in the northeast.

Obama dies not figure to win North Carolina, Indiana, and Virginia this time.

As bad I hate to admit it, this election will be tough.

[TheWraith]

1. No. Not even close. nt

[immoderate]

2. Massachusetts?

--imm

[MannyGoldstein]

4. Agreed. Not in a million years.

He's deeply disliked here.

Go Elizabeth Warren!

[immoderate]

11. Yes, Elizabeth Warren seems like she was designed to be elected in Massachusetts

Makes her good to go for New York as well. NY likes celebrity senators.

Mitt suffers from not being likable. His politics doesn't help him in Massachusetts.

--imm

[MannyGoldstein]

15. Plus he lied to everyone here

He ran against Kennedy for Senator as a leftist Republican a la Weld. He ran for Governor as a moderate.

Halfway through his term, literally in a single day, he became a far-right nut and left the state for almost the remainder of his term: he had started his run for the presidency.

He couldn't get elected as chief bottle washer here.

[NotThisTime]

16. +10000

[sharp_stick]

3. You're funny

Mittens hasn't got a shot in MA, even his buddy Scott Brown is so worried about his Senate seat that he's running ads touting how independent he can be from the GOP establishment.

[Renew Deal]

5. I am increasingly concerned

[trackfan]

6. No.

I'm not saying the election is going to be easy for Obama, but as far as MI and MA go, not a chance they'll go R.

[virgogal]

7. Romney will not win in MA.

[Guy Whitey Corngood]

8. .

[cthulu2016]

9. As bad as I hate to admit it

your concern is noted

[Motown_Johnny]

10. not even close in MA and MI seems unlikely

and I live in MI


Gov. Snyder is so hated here that we are all anxious to vote against every (R) we possibly can. I don't think Mitt can win here.


Edit to add, remember Pres. Obama won 365-173. He can afford to lose a couple states and still hold office.

[onehandle]

12. No. This election will look more like past years. Florida and Ohio will call it. nt

[blogslut]

13. Actually

The GOP don't want to win this election. That's why we've seen this parade of clowns. They're letting all the losers and also-rans have their day in the sun because they're really shooting for 2016. They think they can obstruct and hold their collective breath for four more years, putting this country into such an awful place that they'll sweep the executive, senate and house.

[TheKentuckian]

33. Maybe, but non-clowns are also in very, very short supply over there.

Further, any "non-clown" actually believes the same general nonsense as the clowns, which means they are little different just less brash and harsh on the sensibilities.

[alcibiades_mystery]

14. ROFL

Yeah, Obama is going to be challenged in Mass and Michigan!



Too fucking funny, dude.

[Kwarg]

17. Neither...

Might win new hampshire though

[NWHarkness]

20. UNH poll that other day

had Obama over Romney by 10 points in NH.

[Kwarg]

24. Then Obama runs the table in the NE

[NWHarkness]

18. No way Romney wins Michigan

Once the Obama campaign starts airing TV ads quoting Romney that we ought to let the US automakers die, it will be a blowout.

[dmkinsey]

19. I think Romney's appeal in Michigan is grossly over-estimated by the MSM

I've lived in Michigan all my life, I'm 53 years old and I have no recollection of George Romney.
I'm certainly not going to vote for Mitt just because he was born in this state. He spent his whole life elsewhere. He really has zero connection with the people here or this place.

[NWHarkness]

21. I DO rememner George Romney

He supported labor. He marched with Dr. King. Any mention of him in the fall campaign will just make Mittens look small and pathetic in comparison.

[notadmblnd]

22. I haven't seen any Romney signs anywhere yet

I've seen Ron Paul signs in Walltucky (Walled Lake) and Commerce. Haven't seen any Obama ones yet either.

[RZM]

23. He might make a play for them. But winning them seems unlikely

He will probably a move a few points closer than most Republicans could in those states, but that's probably not going to be enough to put him over the top.

This is going to be Ohio, Colorado, Iowa, and Florida deciding it. Obama can lose N.C., Indiana, and Virginia (which he probably will) and still have many ways to win. Of those first four, either Florida or Ohio alone will give it to him. But in a worst-case scenario he could lose both Ohio and Florida and still squeak by 272-266 if he gets Iowa and Colorado. Mitt would have to take back Virginia, N.C, and Indiana to even think about having a shot. Then he would also have to win both Florida and Ohio, plus either Colorado or Iowa. That's a pretty tall order for him.

[Mass]

25. Definitively not MA. He did not run again because he could not win reelection.

[thelordofhell]

26. The only one he has a chance in is Nevada

There's a shit ton of Mormons there

[JTFrog]

27. It's hard to read the OP with the spelling error in the second paragraph.

And yes, I'm series!1!!!

[Omaha Steve]

28. With voter suppression and the red shift we could lose

With votes and no paper trail being counted by a private company that tells you shenanigans will be going on.

Red shift: http://waliberals.org/red-shift-and-the-dangers-of-electronic-absentee-and-internet-voting/2011/04/14/

[WI_DEM]

29. No Romney can't win MA, is behind in MI in polls and as a matter of fact in NC & VA

Obama is doing performing pretty well in the polls. Seems popular in the Northeast? Really! could you cite some polls showing Romney carrying MA? or even NH, a new poll had Obama up by ten. Where are you getting your assumptions?

[leeroysphitz]

30. I can't speak for the more rural parts of Michigan but I doubt Mittens will be threatening

President Obama in my area (Detroit).

[Motown_Johnny]

31. agreed, if the turnout is anything like '08

he will rack up enough votes in the urban areas to carry the state pretty easily



I got there before the polls opened and the line was already huge. Normally I show up after work and only have 20-30 people ahead of me.


I don't see Rmoney carrying MI.

[TwilightGardener]

32. The only way Romney wins Michigan is if the people there are either self-loathing

or suicidal. He championed the death of the US auto industry, for God's sake.

[TheKentuckian]

34. No and not likely.

Remotely possible? I guess. Plausible? Nope.

[WI_DEM]

35. OP seems to have lost interest in his tread

no response at all after his extrordinary OP of assumptions which were backed up with nothing.