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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:28 PM Aug 2013

If you really think it's as simple as "it's the oil", why aren't we bombing Venezuela?

Compared to Syria, Venezuela is closer. Venezuela has a significantly smaller military. Venezuela has a lot more oil.

Simplistic explanations for complex processes rarely work.

40 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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If you really think it's as simple as "it's the oil", why aren't we bombing Venezuela? (Original Post) Recursion Aug 2013 OP
Not about oil from OUR perspective VanillaRhapsody Aug 2013 #1
Syria already has several pipelines Recursion Aug 2013 #3
Natural gas.... VanillaRhapsody Aug 2013 #6
They already have NG and LNG pipelines Recursion Aug 2013 #7
And as Libya shows, pipelines post-war aren't secure. joshcryer Sep 2013 #15
now you've done it hfojvt Aug 2013 #2
Oil has to be a factor, primary or secondary. Skip Intro Aug 2013 #4
Complex systems have complex explanations Recursion Aug 2013 #5
Humanitarian mercy mission probably doesn't make the top six dozen TheKentuckian Sep 2013 #33
There's no good cover story yet as an excuse to bomb them. I'm sure many look forward to getting one devils chaplain Aug 2013 #8
Civil war's been going on for two years. Benton D Struckcheon Aug 2013 #9
Dying to get involved? No. Eager to pounce at the chance to intervene? Absolutely. n/t devils chaplain Sep 2013 #11
And how do you know this? Skidmore Sep 2013 #34
Because some dipshit at The Guardian or Conservatives for Liberty DevonRex Sep 2013 #10
are you fucking kidding me? dionysus Sep 2013 #38
No I am not. DevonRex Sep 2013 #39
somehow i am not surprised. they're all standing with rand and slagging dems as per usual. dionysus Sep 2013 #40
Cheney decided to go "The Coup" route with Venezuela - didn't work n/t Hestia Sep 2013 #12
Five reasons mick063 Sep 2013 #13
Bingo. DeSwiss Sep 2013 #16
Venezuela has as much as the entire Middle East. joshcryer Sep 2013 #18
After we tap the Middle East dry mick063 Sep 2013 #19
North America will be energy independent in a decade. joshcryer Sep 2013 #27
I will believe it when I see it. mick063 Sep 2013 #30
Massive coal exports are already happening: joshcryer Sep 2013 #31
Oh, I assure you, they have trumpted that meme. joshcryer Sep 2013 #14
Not just oil. It's about a region. It's about Israel. It's about the MIC. It's about money. Taverner Sep 2013 #17
Because they are one of the lucky OPEC members Rex Sep 2013 #20
The US attempted a coup in Venezuela and failed. Then they were pre-occupied sabrina 1 Sep 2013 #21
Cause we like their Tacos The Straight Story Sep 2013 #22
this war is not at all about natural resources in syria. La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2013 #23
1) give it time quakerboy Sep 2013 #24
Venezuela has the support of 95% of our southern neighbors.... alittlelark Sep 2013 #25
Simplistic explanations for complex processes rarely work. raindaddy Sep 2013 #26
Control of the Middle East is all about the oil. Deep13 Sep 2013 #28
Syria is weak. Venezuela isn't. Luminous Animal Sep 2013 #29
Be patient, we'll get there. Scuba Sep 2013 #32
Venezuela is surrounded by neighbors who support them over us. And you can in fact drive from there Bluenorthwest Sep 2013 #35
Many calls had been made for the removal the democratically-elected late President of Venezuela indepat Sep 2013 #36
They're not dirty Mooslim terra-ists, they're Catholic. reusrename Sep 2013 #37
 

VanillaRhapsody

(21,115 posts)
1. Not about oil from OUR perspective
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:31 PM
Aug 2013

its about Russia's oil. Russia supplies EU with it....and Assad stands between them keeping a natural gas pipeline from being built through Syria. Russia would like to keep things that way...which is why Russia is so chummy with Assad.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
3. Syria already has several pipelines
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:36 PM
Aug 2013

I've never understood this particular allegation. They've been working with Iraq to expand their piping capacity for a few years now.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
7. They already have NG and LNG pipelines
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:47 PM
Aug 2013

From Egypt and Iraq. The problem there isn't getting to Turkey but across it.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
15. And as Libya shows, pipelines post-war aren't secure.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:13 AM
Sep 2013

And can be stolen from. No one wants a country that will take 5-10 years to get its security back in shape to keep oil theft from happening.

Skip Intro

(19,768 posts)
4. Oil has to be a factor, primary or secondary.
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:37 PM
Aug 2013

Little doubt about that.

Saudi Arabia seems to play a role in everything. Just saying.

A complex of lies can be undone by a single simple truth.

What do you think the reason is?

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
5. Complex systems have complex explanations
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:40 PM
Aug 2013

Some combination of proximity to oil-producing countries, proximity to Israel, support for Hezbollah, support from Iran, trying to squeeze Russia's influence out of the Levant, credibility for US-drawn red lines about WMDs, concerns about Kurdish agitation in Turkey and Iraq... there's probably a dozen more, but that's off the top of my head.

TheKentuckian

(25,023 posts)
33. Humanitarian mercy mission probably doesn't make the top six dozen
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 08:04 AM
Sep 2013

Making somebody more wealthy takes the entire top twenty.

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
9. Civil war's been going on for two years.
Sat Aug 31, 2013, 11:56 PM
Aug 2013

What evidence do you have that this admin has been just dying to attack Syria if they didn't do it for all that time?

DevonRex

(22,541 posts)
10. Because some dipshit at The Guardian or Conservatives for Liberty
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 12:26 AM
Sep 2013

hasn't thought that through. So they went with the standard ME line. And it promptly got swallowed whole here. And even linked to. Yes, Conservatives For Liberty was linked to in order to prove Obama is evil. What a fucking joke.

 

mick063

(2,424 posts)
13. Five reasons
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:11 AM
Sep 2013

1) Light Sweet Crude
2) Suez Canal
3) Volume of Oil in entire region
4) Politically viable military action
5) Huge oil industry Infrastructure

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
18. Venezuela has as much as the entire Middle East.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:25 AM
Sep 2013

They have 296 billion barrels of conventional oil and 513 billion barrels of unconventional oil. Venezuela makes up 9% of US oil imports, so the infrastructure is already there to make a post-invasion process viable.

 

mick063

(2,424 posts)
19. After we tap the Middle East dry
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:42 AM
Sep 2013

I'm sure we will start on South America.

Don't worry. they will have their day in the sun.


Untenable resource demand will perpetuate global wars for the next millennium and beyond.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
27. North America will be energy independent in a decade.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:25 AM
Sep 2013

It's not actually going to work out that way. The US will be exporting its dirty coal (of which it has a lot) and oil to developing countries.

 

mick063

(2,424 posts)
30. I will believe it when I see it.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:45 AM
Sep 2013

No doubt there is a lot of fossil fuels available in North America. The Middle East stuff is so much easier to extract and refine. We won't leave until we have to.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
14. Oh, I assure you, they have trumpted that meme.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:12 AM
Sep 2013

I don't have the patience to cite the sources, but there are people that think that the US is about to any day bomb Venezuela. In particular when the latest elections happened and there were non-violent protests there were non-stop discussions about how Venezuela was "descending into chaos." It was embarrassing, especially since most people don't know squat about Venezuela except what they read on propaganda sites.

 

Taverner

(55,476 posts)
17. Not just oil. It's about a region. It's about Israel. It's about the MIC. It's about money.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:23 AM
Sep 2013

It's about faux outrage.

It's about what privilege brings, and the feelings one has against those who do not have such privilege.

In short, it's about a racket. Quite possibly the oldest racket ever invented.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
20. Because they are one of the lucky OPEC members
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 01:59 AM
Sep 2013

that gets left alone. You are right it is not about the oil.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
21. The US attempted a coup in Venezuela and failed. Then they were pre-occupied
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:09 AM
Sep 2013

with their ME invasions for the next decade.

Meantime, South American nations sick of our interference and support for Dictators, regained their sovereignties one after the other. They then formed their version of NATO in order to protect themselves from any further interference from the Western Powers.

Attacking Venezuela now would not be like Venezuela ten years ago. We would be fighting the entire region. This was a very smart move on the part of a region of the world that suffered so long under US Backed Dictators.

Iow, a strike on Venezuela would be a strike on all the countries who are part of that coalition.

That's one reason. If the ME countries had had a similar organization, it would have been far more difficult to attack them one at a time as we are doing. Africa also has considered forming their own version of NATO in order to defend against Western interventions.

Maybe the West should just try buying the resources they need instead of continuing these murderous invasions that have been going on for hundreds of years, destroying populations and their cultures and sovereignty.

The sad thing is this country was once the hope of the world to put an end to these Colonial invasions. Now we are leading them.

quakerboy

(13,919 posts)
24. 1) give it time
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:10 AM
Sep 2013

2) Different countries, different situations. You might as well ask if its about oil, why aren't we bombing Canada. Think about allies, politics, abilities, and potentials. Essentially, what can we get away with. Syria, maybe. Venezuela not so much. talk about uniting South American against the USA.

raindaddy

(1,370 posts)
26. Simplistic explanations for complex processes rarely work.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:22 AM
Sep 2013

If a civil war broke out in Venezuela what makes you think we wouldn't be looking for an opportunity to bomb them?
There wasn't the talk of bombing Syria until the opportunity arose.

Deep13

(39,154 posts)
28. Control of the Middle East is all about the oil.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:29 AM
Sep 2013

This sort of thing helps maintain hegemony in the Middle East.

Luminous Animal

(27,310 posts)
29. Syria is weak. Venezuela isn't.
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 02:34 AM
Sep 2013

Syria has few regional allies. Venezuela does.

The Venezuelan government has the popular support of its people. Syria does not.

Venezuela is a bona fide democracy. Syria is not.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
35. Venezuela is surrounded by neighbors who support them over us. And you can in fact drive from there
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 09:09 AM
Sep 2013

to here if you are so inclined. Syrians could not stroll across the seas to retaliate. Of course it is no only about the oil, but the oil is a factor and the only real reason we are obsessed with that entire region. Vast swaths of the world do not get the focus the ME gets, and the reason is oil.

indepat

(20,899 posts)
36. Many calls had been made for the removal the democratically-elected late President of Venezuela
Sun Sep 1, 2013, 03:20 PM
Sep 2013

and untold attempts have purportedly been made to undermine its government: to wit, we are working on it as we feverishly work to undermine practically every undesirable (i.e., left-leaning) regime on the face of the earth.

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