Stratfor email discusses economic benefits of bombing Iran

[eridani]

http://readersupportednews.org/news-section2/330-131/10192-wikileaks-stratfor-predicts-huge-oil-profits-from-attack-on-iran

An email sent by Chris Farnham, senior officer for Stratfor, to an internal unnamed source inside the company titled "Israel/Iran Barak Hails Munitions Blast in Iran" provides details about who would benefit from an Israeli attack on Iran, and say such a plan would be motivated by economic factors.

According to the email, sent on November 13, 2011, supporters of an Israeli-led attack are Russia, India and Saudi Arabia, while the EU and China stand against such plans, mainly for economic reasons.

"Not many people know that Russia is one of Israel's largest military partners and India is Israel's largest client. If a direct conflict between Iran and Israel erupts, Russia and Saudi Arabia will gain the advantages on oil increasing prices. On the other hand, China and Europe are expected to lose from an oil crisis as a result of a conflict," the email says

Farnham said that an attack on the Iranian nuclear facilities would last only 48 hours and be so devastating it would lead to regime change.

"Based on Israeli plans, the attack on Iran will last only 48 hours but will be so destructive that Iran will be unable to retaliate or recover and the government will fall. It is hard to believe that Hamas or Hezbollah will try to get involved in this conflict," Farham wrote.

[liberal N proud]

1. We must feed the military industrial complex.

[DJ13]

2. I posted this in an earlier thread not knowing about this email

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 12:26 PM

4. It would be interesting to investigate if a large Israeli financial firm,

one large enough to have ties to the government, has any interests in oil trading.

Their sole purpose for saber rattling could be to push oil prices higher.

Of course, Iran would play along with that.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=360931

[eridani]

3. Israel sez they will not notify US in the event of an attack

http://readersupportednews.org/news-section2/330-131/10192-wikileaks-stratfor-predicts-huge-oil-profits-from-attack-on-iran

Israeli officials say they won't warn the U.S. if they decide to launch a pre-emptive strike against Iranian nuclear facilities, according to one U.S. intelligence official familiar with the discussions. The pronouncement, delivered in a series of private, top-level conversations, sets a tense tone ahead of meetings in the coming days at the White House and Capitol Hill.

Israeli officials said that if they eventually decide a strike is necessary, they would keep the Americans in the dark to decrease the likelihood that the U.S. would be held responsible for failing to stop Israel's potential attack. The U.S. has been working with the Israelis for months to convince them that an attack would be only a temporary setback to Iran's nuclear program.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak delivered the message to a series of high-level U.S. visitors to the country, including the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the White House national security adviser, the director of national intelligence and top U.S. lawmakers, all trying to close the trust gap between Israel and the U.S. over how to deal with Iran's nuclear ambitions.

[teddy51]

4. I'm no expert on any of this, but I'm not buying it! n/t

[Initech]

5. There's only one real benefit: insane profits for war contractors.

There is no reason to be in Iran. Why don't we fix shit at home first?