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applegrove

(118,622 posts)
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 08:45 PM Sep 2013

"5 Reasons The Republican Party Must Evolve Or Implode By 2020"

5 Reasons The Republican Party Must Evolve Or Implode By 2020

by Owen

http://www.carbonated.tv/news/5-reasons-the-republican-party-must-evolve-or-implode-by-2020

"SNIP................................



1. Solar Power

Solar power is expected to achieve price parity with fossil fuels by 2020. If it doesn’t happen then, it will happen within a few years (some expect solar to achieve grid parity in the EU by 2017). Coal has been able to hang on to its place in the market with a combination of lobbying and short term benefits to the economy. Around 2020, it will only have lobbying. Combine that with the environmental difference and solar’s ability to pay for itself over time, and there will be a clear winner in the debate. The question for the Republican Party is whether it can successfully shift to a pro-renewable stance in 7 years. The money in solar might just be enough to do it.

2. Gay Marriage

The GOP already looks old and out of touch on the issue of gay marriage, but if they can’t evolve on the issue by 2020, they are in serious trouble. A majority of Americans now supports gay marriage, but it’s close enough to 50-50, and when you poll the people who actually vote (as opposed to those who can vote), the anti-gay marriage crowd may even be in the majority. However, as positions soften over time, and more and more young people vote, Republicans will find themselves more and more isolated on their anti-gay marriage platform if they can’t make the leap off of it. The challenge for the GOP is that their base is firmly in the homophobic camp.

3. Climate Change

In a similar vein to solar panels, climate change denial is now something every Republican must subscribe to or risk facing a primary challenger. There are whispers that many elected Republican officials recognize that they are wrong about climate change, but they don’t dare say so publicly. So what will change by 2020? The effects of climate change, from droughts to hurricanes, will be all the more obvious, and hopefully there will be a movement in public opinion toward the scientific consensus that humans affect climate change. The Democrats offer a response to climate change. Can the GOP hold the fort with the stance that there is nothing to respond to?

4. Immigration

Immigration reform is now in the House of Representatives, where meaningful legislation goes to die these days. White people counted for 72% of the vote in 2012, and that percentage will only go down in the next two presidential elections. Mitt Romney actually beat Obama by a wide margin (59-39) among whites, but got destroyed among African Americans (93-6), Hispanics (71-27) and Asians (73-26). Republicans simply can’t win a presidential election with those ratios. To do that, however, they will need a rapid evolution on immigration policy, and to generally communicate that they want minorities in the country. It’s one of the easier items on the list, but they are failing at it so far.



................................SNIP"
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"5 Reasons The Republican Party Must Evolve Or Implode By 2020" (Original Post) applegrove Sep 2013 OP
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Sep 2013 #1
Yeah, they're down in the gutter on all of them. Cha Sep 2013 #2
Evolution is a slow process. It's too late for the GOP. randome Sep 2013 #3
Just one reason Motown_Johnny Sep 2013 #4
Sure am hoping their implosion comes much, much sooner than 2020, like maybe 2014. nt Mnemosyne Sep 2013 #5
Funny, I'd have headed the list with women's health. Warpy Sep 2013 #6
#5 is Marijuana. longship Sep 2013 #7
K&R Change has come Sep 2013 #8
That would be about when Hillary Clinton will be running for reelection. Auntie Bush Sep 2013 #9

Cha

(297,149 posts)
2. Yeah, they're down in the gutter on all of them.
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 08:53 PM
Sep 2013

In fact the only thing they're on board with is.. "No Choice" "Guns for freaking everyone and that includes the blind and mentally ill" and "No taxes for the Super Rich(why should they pay taxes? )"

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
3. Evolution is a slow process. It's too late for the GOP.
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 09:00 PM
Sep 2013

Their dessicated corpses will hang on for some time to come but they have already lost.

And that's not optimism speaking.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Rules are made to be broken. Including this one.[/center][/font][hr]

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
4. Just one reason
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 09:04 PM
Sep 2013

This is from 2010, just to show that we all know it is coming. We have known for a while, and still.. they do nothing. Well, they do nothing right.



http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/aia2010031101/







The increase in the nonwhite share of the electorate over the next decade will have major consequences for electoral competition. If the Democratic Party is able to maintain anything close to the overwhelming advantage among nonwhite voters that it enjoyed in 2008, Republican candidates will need to win a considerably larger share of the white vote than their party’s candidates did in 2008 or even 2004 in order to remain competitive in national elections. Under these circumstances, even a 60 percent share of the white vote would not be enough to give a Republican candidate a majority of the popular vote and the last Republican presidential candidate to win more than 60 percent of the white vote was Ronald Reagan in 1984.

An alternative path to victory for Republicans in future national elections would involve seeking to expand their Party’s support among nonwhite voters. By winning a larger share of the nonwhite vote, a Republican candidate could be elected with considerably less than 60 percent of the white vote. But this would require the GOP to move away from its conservative base and closer to the ideological center because nonwhite voters tend to be strong supporters of increased spending on social programs and activist government.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Along the same lines, 65 percent of nonwhite voters, including 64 percent of African-American voters and 73 percent of Hispanic voters, supported the creation of a single-payer health care system in the United States compared with only 15 percent of Republican primary voters. And given a choice between more government services with higher taxes and fewer government services with lower taxes, 67 percent of nonwhite voters, including 67 percent of African-American voters and 68 percent of Hispanic voters, chose more government services with higher taxes compared with only 25 percent of GOP primary voters.






This was a post from 2012: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002975365

Warpy

(111,245 posts)
6. Funny, I'd have headed the list with women's health.
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 09:11 PM
Sep 2013

If there's one place those troglodytes need to evolve, that's it.

The other issues are valid, too, but don't represent half the population.

ETA: I think they might be headed to a donnybrook at their 2016 convention. They're starting to hate each other even more than they hate us.

longship

(40,416 posts)
7. #5 is Marijuana.
Tue Sep 17, 2013, 09:14 PM
Sep 2013

I disagree with that one, but not because of anything about marijuana.

I think guns reform should be on the list. Yes, it's a very divisive issue, but the GOP is clearly on the wrong side on this. True, so are some Democrats.

But by 2020, this should be a bigger issue than it is today and the GOP is clearly on the wrong side of anything that could be called reasonable reform.

I may be wrong here, but I think this is one issue that should be considered.

Also, women's issues should be on this list. I vote to take off solar power as that issue is clearly part of the climate change issue.

Women's issues should be #1. It's not nice to piss off half of your prospective voters.

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