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marmar

(77,056 posts)
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:05 PM Nov 2013

Keeping the people of the Philippines in our thoughts......


Super typhoon Haiyan closes in on Philippines, among strongest storms ever

By Jason Samenow and Brian McNoldy
November 7 at 11:58 am




The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has increased its estimate of Haiyan’s maximum sustained winds to 195 mph with gusts to 235 mph. The storm is now within a few hours of landfall in the central Philippines at peak intensity as among the most powerful storms witnessed anywhere in modern times. Widespread destruction, unfortunately, seems inevitable. ...................(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/11/07/super-typhoon-haiyan-closes-in-on-philippines-among-strongest-storms-ever/?tid=pm_pop



31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Keeping the people of the Philippines in our thoughts...... (Original Post) marmar Nov 2013 OP
It officially made landfall enlightenment Nov 2013 #1
Good grief. marmar Nov 2013 #2
I've been watching the tweets. enlightenment Nov 2013 #5
what did it say. i got bad gateway. nt seabeyond Nov 2013 #23
It's an image of the flooding in the city. enlightenment Nov 2013 #25
ah. thank you. nt seabeyond Nov 2013 #27
You're welcome. nt enlightenment Nov 2013 #28
Looks bad, and those aren't even the peak winds Rstrstx Nov 2013 #30
wow. it sounds so nightmarish horrible. incredible. and not in a good way. nt seabeyond Nov 2013 #22
Hundreds will die malaise Nov 2013 #3
It's a beast! Joanie Baloney Nov 2013 #4
Indeed..it is a "perfect" storm dixiegrrrrl Nov 2013 #9
Jayzuss... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #6
Live Ustream from a guy in Lahug, Cebu City Bosonic Nov 2013 #7
Talaga! Scuba Nov 2013 #8
I am not really religious, sheshe2 Nov 2013 #10
Jeeze that's scary looking...... Little Star Nov 2013 #11
Wow. Good luck to them. nt Electric Monk Nov 2013 #12
This makes Haiyan the strongest tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in world history.... adirondacker Nov 2013 #13
Typhoon Tip, Junior.....and it actually landed. AverageJoe90 Nov 2013 #14
Haiyan liberal from boston Nov 2013 #15
Yes... WillyT Nov 2013 #16
speechless riverwalker Nov 2013 #17
Holy fuck! flying rabbit Nov 2013 #24
Damn! Hang in there, Philippines! Arugula Latte Nov 2013 #18
... nolabear Nov 2013 #19
Mercy. bearssoapbox Nov 2013 #20
maxed out the Dvorak scale riverwalker Nov 2013 #21
tech service rep NJCher Nov 2013 #26
i wish them tne best Liberal_in_LA Nov 2013 #29
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Nov 2013 #31

enlightenment

(8,830 posts)
1. It officially made landfall
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:12 PM
Nov 2013

with sustained winds of 195 mph, so the strongest on record. Tacloban City is already reporting severe damage and flooding; Jeff Masters says they lost contact with the city of Guiuan, where it first hit.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2573

This is awful.

enlightenment

(8,830 posts)
5. I've been watching the tweets.
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:18 PM
Nov 2013

At least people can still do that (tweet) for now - but I am certain that the loss of life is going to be extreme. So many people in the islands, with no where to go.

Someone posted this on instagram about an hour ago; it had hardly begun at that point.

http://instagram.com/p/gbow7rKWz7/#

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
30. Looks bad, and those aren't even the peak winds
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 02:17 AM
Nov 2013

Those look about like 130-140mph winds give or take a few mph. At 195mph you're basically stuck in a strong F3 tornado, enough to turn over trains, pick up cars and destroy frame homes. Gusts to 235 can throw cars through the air like toys. There will probably be very little standing in the zone where winds were over 175mph. Tidal surge doesn't look to be THAT high, about 12-17 ft, less than Katrina. Though I hear parts of where the storm hit are less than 10' about sea level, not good.

For an example, look at the damage from Andrew '92, which had peak winds of about 40mph LESS at landfall (and remember, the higher the winds go the damage increases exponentially, 10mph over 160 is much worse than 10mph over 100).

Damage from this typhoon is unfortunately going to be at least an order of magnitude worse than Andrew, that building standing in the last picture would have a high probability of failure at 195. Photos from NHC







malaise

(268,724 posts)
3. Hundreds will die
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:17 PM
Nov 2013

I'm terrified for them - and there was another major storm last year.

Stay safe folks

Joanie Baloney

(1,357 posts)
4. It's a beast!
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:18 PM
Nov 2013

I couldn't get over the other satellite photo of Earth showing the perfect doughnut hole as indicated by the weather shot above. It looks like the finishing spot where they sealed up a basketball.

Stay safe, fellow Earthlings!

-JB

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
9. Indeed..it is a "perfect" storm
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 08:33 PM
Nov 2013

Folks around the Gulf of Mexico get pretty experienced at seeing hurricane pictures...this one is frighteningly classic.

adirondacker

(2,921 posts)
13. This makes Haiyan the strongest tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in world history....
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 09:23 PM
Nov 2013

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 10:58 PM GMT on November 07, 2013 +40
Super Typhoon Haiyan has made landfall. According to PAGASA, Haiyan came ashore at 4 am local time (20 UTC) November 7, 2013 near Guiuan, on the Philippine island of Samar. At the time, Guiuan reported sustained 10-minute average winds of 96 mph, with a pressure of 977 mb. Contact has since been lost with the city. Two hours before landfall, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center assessed Haiyan’s sustained winds at 195 mph, gusting to 235 mph, making it the 4th strongest tropical cyclone in world history. Satellite loops show that Haiyan weakened only slightly, if at all, in the two hours after JTWC’s advisory, so the super typhoon likely made landfall with winds near 195 mph. This makes Haiyan the strongest tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in world history. The previous record was held by the Atlantic's Hurricane Camille of 1969, which made landfall in Mississippi with 190 mph winds.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2573

These poor folks.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
14. Typhoon Tip, Junior.....and it actually landed.
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 09:38 PM
Nov 2013

Damn, I feel terrible for the Phillipines right now. Hope all of our DU friends can stay safe over there.....

riverwalker

(8,694 posts)
21. maxed out the Dvorak scale
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 11:01 PM
Nov 2013
http://qz.com/144734/super-typhoon-haiyan-one-of-the-strongest-storms-ever-seen-is-about-to-hit-the-philippines/

The storm (known as Yolanda in the Philippines) has officially maxed out the Dvorak scale, which is used to measure strong strength using satellites. That means Haiyan has approached the theoretical maximum intensity for any storm, anywhere. From the latest NOAA bulletin:

DVORAK TECHNIQUE MAKES NO ALLOWANCE FOR AN EYE EMBEDDED SO DEEPLY IN CLOUD TOPS AS COLD [AS THIS]

?w=720&h=480

NJCher

(35,622 posts)
26. tech service rep
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 11:28 PM
Nov 2013

I'm thinking of a funny tech service rep who helped me a few weeks ago. He not only fixed my computer, he did it while switching from accent to accent (Australian to British, for example).

I'm gonna' call when the storm is over and see if he's still there, but having lived through Sandy, I wouldn't be too surprised if tech service for Lenovo is out of commish for awhile.


Cher

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