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Hissyspit

(45,788 posts)
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:02 PM Mar 2014

A Startlingly Simple Theory About the Missing Malaysia Airlines Jet

http://www.wired.com/autopia/2014/03/mh370-electrical-fire/

A Startlingly Simple Theory About the Missing Malaysia Airlines Jet

BY CHRIS GOODFELLOW

- snip -

For me, the loss of transponders and communications makes perfect sense in a fire. And there most likely was an electrical fire. In the case of a fire, the first response is to pull the main busses and restore circuits one by one until you have isolated the bad one. If they pulled the busses, the plane would go silent. It probably was a serious event and the flight crew was occupied with controlling the plane and trying to fight the fire. Aviate, navigate, and lastly, communicate is the mantra in such situations.

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A Startlingly Simple Theory About the Missing Malaysia Airlines Jet (Original Post) Hissyspit Mar 2014 OP
Makes absolute perfect sense. Benton D Struckcheon Mar 2014 #1
And didn't the oil rig worker say he saw it fly by and it was on fire? nt Common Sense Party Mar 2014 #2
Wasn't there an oil rig worker who reported seeing a plane on fire? Blue Diadem Mar 2014 #3
link Voice for Peace Mar 2014 #5
Thank you! So they did check it out. Blue Diadem Mar 2014 #10
Incoming nitpick: NuclearDem Mar 2014 #4
The problem with this speculation is that the plane mnhtnbb Mar 2014 #6
Startlingly simple....and wrong. brooklynite Mar 2014 #7
Be careful... Wilms Mar 2014 #13
There is a record meanit Mar 2014 #8
The funny part is in all the "fire" examples he listed Blue_Tires Mar 2014 #9
Magical indeed. Agschmid Mar 2014 #17
I believe that it was this or loss of pressurization...pilots passed out, plane kept going alcibiades_mystery Mar 2014 #11
The Payne Stewart plane comes to mind...nt SidDithers Mar 2014 #12
Doesn't fit with the last known position as seen by the satellite muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #14
This sounds good except for the satellite arcs... DanTex Mar 2014 #15
The sharp left turn was PROGRAMMED not made manually. Lex Mar 2014 #16
Let this be the FINAL word: Blue_Tires Mar 2014 #18

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
1. Makes absolute perfect sense.
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:09 PM
Mar 2014

The only truly plausible theory of what happened I've yet seen. Simple, takes no mental gymnastics or special motivations on someone's part or anything like that.
Hopefully they find the plane so they can figure out which of the problems he says may have occurred actually brought it down.

Blue Diadem

(6,597 posts)
3. Wasn't there an oil rig worker who reported seeing a plane on fire?
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:13 PM
Mar 2014

I remember he gave locations but have never heard anymore about that.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
4. Incoming nitpick:
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:15 PM
Mar 2014

This has nothing to do at all with the plane or the incident in general, but I need to say it.

I'm a firm believer in returning the word theory to the scientific community where it rightfully belongs. Its adoption by anyone making a haphazard guess or conjecture makes people less scientifically-educated than others conflate those with actual scientific theory, which are anything but.

I know you were just citing the article's title, but that's just a pet peeve of mine.

/soapbox

mnhtnbb

(31,374 posts)
6. The problem with this speculation is that the plane
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:18 PM
Mar 2014

would have gone down and we shouldn't still be looking for it.

brooklynite

(94,363 posts)
7. Startlingly simple....and wrong.
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:20 PM
Mar 2014

First, according to reports, the ACARS system was shut off BEFORE the last radio communication, which gave no notice of operational problems. Second, also according to reports, the turn was programmed into the navigation computer, not made manually.

Also, theory doesn't address reported elevation changes. On autopilot, the plane would either go continually up (until it stalled) or continually down (until it crashed).

 

Wilms

(26,795 posts)
13. Be careful...
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 02:12 PM
Mar 2014

The Malaysian government (and the press) have muddied this.

But yesterday it was reported that the ACARS systems last 1/2 hourly report preceded the last voice comm. That means it could have been disabled, or failed, anytime between then and the next scheduled report. Big difference there.

I've, too, read that the planes path was considered computer programmed as the ONLY way for a pilot to hit the waypoints. Is that really true? Any pilots here?

Not sure about your last point, but those first two seem a bit shaky in my under-informed view.

Blue_Tires

(55,445 posts)
9. The funny part is in all the "fire" examples he listed
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:24 PM
Mar 2014

there hasn't been one instance in history where the radio was rendered unusable by fire BUT the autopilot was still operational and the aircraft remained relatively airworthy...

That's a very magical fire, at least the way he lays it out

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
11. I believe that it was this or loss of pressurization...pilots passed out, plane kept going
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 01:35 PM
Mar 2014

It's in the Indian ocean near the end of the fuel capacity.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,271 posts)
14. Doesn't fit with the last known position as seen by the satellite
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 02:32 PM
Mar 2014

There's a left or right turn needed after the last known radar position to get to either the northern or southern arc.

Lex

(34,108 posts)
16. The sharp left turn was PROGRAMMED not made manually.
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 03:03 PM
Mar 2014

So that doesn't sound like a fire emergency sharp turn left.

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