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applegrove

(118,577 posts)
Thu Mar 20, 2014, 08:57 PM Mar 2014

This guy knew when Obamacare enrollment would hit 5M before anyone else. Now he’s predicting 6.2M.

This guy knew when Obamacare enrollment would hit 5M before anyone else. Now he’s predicting 6.2M.

By Jason Millman at the Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/03/19/this-guy-knew-when-obamacare-enrollment-would-hit-5m-before-anyone-else-now-hes-predicting-6-2m/?tid=rssfeed

"SNIP...................


The Obama administration on Monday announced that 5 million people had signed up for Obamacare exchange plans. Hours earlier, a self-employed Web developer from Michigan had already predicted the milestone would be hit on Monday.

Meet Charles Gaba: He’s not a professional statistician, heath-care expert or political operative. He’s a self-described “numbers geek” who just wants to know how the new health-care law is doing.

He’s been tracking the most up-to-date enrollment information and offering his own projections on his blog, ACAsignups.net. On the same day that he predicted the 5 million signups milestone, he accurately predicted that California would hit the 1 million mark. For policy wonks and health-care journalists who have clamored for more information about Obamacare enrollment, Gaba’s blog has become a must-read.

His next big prediction: The final sign-up tally will hit 6.22 million.




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This guy knew when Obamacare enrollment would hit 5M before anyone else. Now he’s predicting 6.2M. (Original Post) applegrove Mar 2014 OP
TYRANNY! nt onehandle Mar 2014 #1
LOL! applegrove Mar 2014 #3
IMPEACH! JaneyVee Mar 2014 #2
He he applegrove Mar 2014 #4
Interesting number. Motown_Johnny Mar 2014 #5
COMMUNISM !!!!one!eleventy steve2470 Mar 2014 #6
mahalo apple~ Cha Mar 2014 #7
Hey Cha. applegrove Mar 2014 #8
.. Cha Mar 2014 #9
Where is Ben Ghazi Jamaal510 Mar 2014 #10
hanging with BenGay (no not a homophobic joke) steve2470 Mar 2014 #11
 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
5. Interesting number.
Thu Mar 20, 2014, 09:36 PM
Mar 2014


Because roughly 20% of those signing up are not making payments the actual number of people gaining coverage through healthcare.gov would be almost exactly 5 million (if that 6.22 prediction is correct).



That would be enough to make the new law work. Of course we won't really know until next year. Even so, that is a good number.



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