software says escalation in Western Ukraine ahead
Are geopolitical developments predictable as the weather? This is precisely what the American-Swedish software company Recorded Future works. With the help of specially developed algorithms the company evaluates 484 968 public internet sources to analyze political events, but also market and fashion trends in real time or even predict. New this method is not. In intelligence jargon, the "Open Source Intelligence", or "OSINT" calls. This specific information patterns are created from the mass of public data to provide information about potential terrorist attacks, for example. As a private service provider Recorded Future promises its customers to break down previously "invisible" connections and so to provide reliable predictions about the future.
On Thursday, the company released a report in which it predicts a significant escalation of the political crisis in Ukraine on 28 April. Recorded Future results for the following reason: Russia is going to orchestrate commemorative marches by neo-Nazi organizations in Lviv and other cities in western Ukraine. April 28 marks the anniversary of the historic Ukrainian SS Volunteer Division "Galicia", which was used from 1943 by the Nazi occupiers on the German Eastern Front. The aim of the allegedly initiated by the Russian secret neo-Nazi demonstration was to legitimize a military invasion of Russia in Ukraine. The Russian government would ultimately strengthen their previous claim that the Ukrainian revolution was the handiwork of fascist forces in the country.
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Besides, it really does not need a algorithm to predict neo-Nazi demonstrations in a city like Lviv, which is known to have a right-wing extremist problem. It is also unclear what interests the company is pursuing with its highly controversial statements about a Russian secret service plot. This question arises even more when you consider who Recorded Future has financed mainly: First, the search engine company Google and the other, the venture capital firm In-Q-Tel, behind which the American CIA hides.
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