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edhopper

(33,543 posts)
Sun May 11, 2014, 12:35 PM May 2014

Lockheed's Skunk Works promises working Fusion Reactor by 2017

This story escaped my notice, but could be significant.

http://www.dvice.com/2013-2-22/lockheeds-skunk-works-promises-fusion-power-four-years

Chase didn't give a whole lot more technical detail, but he seemed confident in predicting a 100mW prototype by 2017, with commercial 100mW systems available by 2022, implying that all global energy demands will be able to be met by fusion power by about 2045.


Skunk Works is not known for talking about what they are working on.
We'll have to wait and see, but if this is true, it will be the end of fossil fuel and clean cheap energy for everyone.

80 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Lockheed's Skunk Works promises working Fusion Reactor by 2017 (Original Post) edhopper May 2014 OP
Love to have one for my house too Sunlei May 2014 #1
I certainly wouldn't bet against Lockheed's Skunk Works Lurks Often May 2014 #2
That's quite a bit of public info on the high beta TroglodyteScholar May 2014 #5
The secrecy at Skunk Works wonderfully shrouds their blunders, too Brother Buzz May 2014 #14
It's the same with any program that exists on the black budget TroglodyteScholar May 2014 #25
I would use the word failures instead of blunders Lurks Often May 2014 #65
Agree Brother Buzz May 2014 #66
Thomas Edison once famously said Aerows May 2014 #67
R&D must always have some failures. Generally, the fewer the failures,... yawnmaster May 2014 #76
100 milliwatt fusion reactor? lumberjack_jeff May 2014 #3
Pretty sure that would be mega watt /nt think May 2014 #10
GMTA Fumesucker May 2014 #47
I was wondering about that.... jberryhill May 2014 #69
It's 100 Mega Watts. Here is a link to C.Chase giving a talk about it... yawnmaster May 2014 #78
I figured that. Using mW when one means MW (or vice versa) is a pet peeve. n/t lumberjack_jeff May 2014 #80
Cheap energy for everyone? RobertEarl May 2014 #4
There's a little problem with solar power called nighttime Trekologer May 2014 #7
Right RobertEarl May 2014 #8
You must be an absolute blast at parties. n/t A HERETIC I AM May 2014 #17
We are RobertEarl May 2014 #20
LOL, yes, that should be an easy sell! nt Logical May 2014 #19
Because our bodies aren't solar powered? NuclearDem May 2014 #23
or we can be Eskimos who have 24/7 night part of the year, low light other parts and.... Sunlei May 2014 #54
Pretty much the same way we survived without antibiotics and indoor plumbing Orrex May 2014 #30
Many ways to store it during the day! nt Logical May 2014 #18
True but entirely predictable which .. rickford66 May 2014 #32
exactly. thank you for some sanity in this thread. Duppers May 2014 #62
Doesn't the Sun use fusion? itsrobert May 2014 #12
We tried copying the sun RobertEarl May 2014 #15
We did? Where? oldhippie May 2014 #21
Hello? Anybody home? RobertEarl May 2014 #22
I'm not sure Robert understands the difference between fusion and fission. NuclearDem May 2014 #24
Why don't you tell me? itsrobert May 2014 #26
Other Robert. NuclearDem May 2014 #27
I know, but ..... oldhippie May 2014 #50
Yall are like climate deniers RobertEarl May 2014 #53
Then what was your point? NuclearDem May 2014 #58
So much wrong in one post. jeff47 May 2014 #38
Oh? RobertEarl May 2014 #46
We get no nuclear radiation. We get electromagnetic radiation. jeff47 May 2014 #48
fusion does produce gamma rays Fred Drum May 2014 #55
And gamma rays are EM. jeff47 May 2014 #73
Dude, you don't want to stand to close to a fire either!! be careful out there. eom yawnmaster May 2014 #79
Nuclear fission and nuclear fusion are two different things Spider Jerusalem May 2014 #51
Yes. Fusion is simple and natural. MannyGoldstein May 2014 #43
This is not your father's nuclear IDemo May 2014 #31
Right RobertEarl May 2014 #34
so it must be bad? ProdigalJunkMail May 2014 #36
Its all in how it is used: good or bad RobertEarl May 2014 #41
Robert claimed Fukushima would render the Northern hemisphere uninhabitable. jeff47 May 2014 #42
Cheap slander from you, again RobertEarl May 2014 #44
Yes Robert, continue to demonstrate the Republicans don't have jeff47 May 2014 #49
Is RobertEarl really that foolish or is he just trolling? JJChambers May 2014 #57
He's just passionate jberryhill May 2014 #71
What aspect of fusion do you feel equals the hazard potential of fission? IDemo May 2014 #39
wtf? "blow the place sky high" Duppers May 2014 #60
Fun fact - The sun is a giant fusion reactor. cemaphonic May 2014 #68
Fusion has been just around the corner for at least forty years now struggle4progress May 2014 #6
This time it might really be Trekologer May 2014 #11
From your link: struggle4progress May 2014 #59
Sounds nice, and also sounds like bullshit hatrack May 2014 #9
how do we know how long they've been working on it ? Duppers May 2014 #63
Short Lockeed. AngryAmish May 2014 #13
So that reverse technology is paying off now? Ichingcarpenter May 2014 #16
Here's The Video cantbeserious May 2014 #28
I like that they announced it now, Old-Energy needs to be shaken up. tridim May 2014 #29
Actually a couple of places/groups in europe (mostly french and german) had basicly said the same. PFunk May 2014 #33
We already have working fusion reactors. jeff47 May 2014 #35
I'll Be Delighted If They Can Do It BUT Vogon_Glory May 2014 #37
I want one to mount on my Z-Car BootinUp May 2014 #40
Bitch, bitch, bitch Calista241 May 2014 #45
I'll believe it when i see it Takket May 2014 #52
They couldn't stop it if the public BootinUp May 2014 #56
This message was self-deleted by its author Warren DeMontague May 2014 #61
you got it. Duppers May 2014 #64
Again? Lionel Mandrake May 2014 #70
So what is the purpose edhopper May 2014 #72
Good question. Lionel Mandrake May 2014 #75
The High beta fusion reactor at Lockheed was designed by Dr. Thomas McGuire BootinUp May 2014 #77
M.I.T. has an ongoing fusion research effort as well IDemo May 2014 #74

TroglodyteScholar

(5,477 posts)
25. It's the same with any program that exists on the black budget
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:13 PM
May 2014

If you can't find the money's origins, you can't stop the flow of money, can you?

 

Lurks Often

(5,455 posts)
65. I would use the word failures instead of blunders
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:05 PM
May 2014

and yes, any cutting edge design group is going to have some failures.

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
67. Thomas Edison once famously said
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:13 PM
May 2014

“I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work.”

yawnmaster

(2,812 posts)
76. R&D must always have some failures. Generally, the fewer the failures,...
Sun May 11, 2014, 08:55 PM
May 2014

the further one is from the cutting edge.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
69. I was wondering about that....
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:29 PM
May 2014

I'm thinking, "are they looking to make a self-powered LED flashlight?"

yawnmaster

(2,812 posts)
78. It's 100 Mega Watts. Here is a link to C.Chase giving a talk about it...
Sun May 11, 2014, 09:05 PM
May 2014



The article writer doesn't seem to know the difference between mW and MW.
 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
4. Cheap energy for everyone?
Sun May 11, 2014, 12:55 PM
May 2014

Define what you mean by everyone, please.

Funny, lockhead and exxon hate the one free source of cheap energy for everyone, and i do mean everyone.... we call it the sun.

Fusion is a crack pipe dream, much as nukes were. Too cheap to meter, right? How about just a crazy scheme to make money and blow the place sky high?

Using nukes, like using crack, you feel good for a bit, but then reality returns and you find you've shit your sheets.



Trekologer

(997 posts)
7. There's a little problem with solar power called nighttime
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:28 PM
May 2014

Solar is great but it can't provide 24x7 power.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
8. Right
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:35 PM
May 2014

We can't live without power 24/7.

Just like the crack smokers who will do whatever for their 24/7 crack.

How did we ever survive with the sun being part time?


 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
20. We are
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:01 PM
May 2014

Me and Jimmy Carter. That there's my kind of party.

Some like their crack. Or booze. And they are on the hellbound train. Jimmy and I tried to tell yall to just be cool and drop the crack pipe, but NO. Now they are burning down the house. Party on, dude.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
23. Because our bodies aren't solar powered?
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:09 PM
May 2014


"I know you've got doubts about this tech that depends exclusively on the sun to function, but it'll work, since this other thing that doesn't exclusively need the sun to function works fine during nighttime."

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
54. or we can be Eskimos who have 24/7 night part of the year, low light other parts and....
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:55 PM
May 2014

eat a lot of fish and sea creatures to get our vities!

rickford66

(5,522 posts)
32. True but entirely predictable which ..
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:40 PM
May 2014

will allow for storage during daylight. There are any number of storage solutions, each one suitable to various locations. Anyway, what's the problem with using the Sun for half a day?

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
15. We tried copying the sun
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:48 PM
May 2014

It's not turning out so well, is it?

Not only is it creating deadly pollution, it will end up costing more money than we can imagine.

Here's what happens with some of the waste from our crack pipe dreams:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=4846608

WIPP it. WIPPP it good!

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
22. Hello? Anybody home?
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:04 PM
May 2014

I have heard some of the old hippies were lost in time. I didn't believe it until now.

itsrobert

(14,157 posts)
26. Why don't you tell me?
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:17 PM
May 2014

or

http://www.universetoday.com/18707/fusion-in-the-sun/

The Sun is a main-sequence star, and thus generates its energy by nuclear fusion of hydrogen nuclei into helium. In its core, the Sun fuses 620 million metric tons of hydrogen each second
. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion

http://www.bing.com/search?q=the+sun+fusion&form=IE10TR&src=IE10TR&pc=MAARJS

UPDATE: I AM CONFUSED ON WHICH ROBERT HA HA
 

oldhippie

(3,249 posts)
50. I know, but .....
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:20 PM
May 2014

... he sure can be entertaining, in an odd, republican-like anti-science way.

That's why he's still my buddy, even though he can't post in the E&E Group anymore.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
53. Yall are like climate deniers
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:34 PM
May 2014

The sun is a nuclear reactor. It may not be fission but it is a nuclear reactor.

Moi never said it wasn't fusion.

Yet you people carry on in denial using slander and bs to try and make yourselves look smart? Talk about acting republican.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
58. Then what was your point?
Sun May 11, 2014, 05:09 PM
May 2014

Do you think nuclear power plants are fusion plants? You said we tried to "copy the sun." Either you think the sun operates by nuclear fission, or you think nuclear plants are fusion.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
38. So much wrong in one post.
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:53 PM
May 2014

But then, it is you talking about nuclear power. Btw, are we all dead yet? You claimed Fukushima would render the Northern hemisphere uninhabitable by now.

Fission power uses Uranium, and produces radioactive by-products. The reaction is critical and can cause an explosion or meltdown if not actively controlled.

Fusion power uses hydrogen, and produces helium. Neither is radioactive. The energy comes from E=mc^2'ing a couple neutrons per reaction. The fusion power plants we have developed generate fusion by a very strong magnetic field crushing the hydrogen. If something goes wrong and that field goes away, fusion stops. Instead of actively trying to prevent the reaction, we are actively causing the reaction.

But hey, that's just what those evil scientists say. Clearly, we should ignore the massive differences between fission and fusion.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
48. We get no nuclear radiation. We get electromagnetic radiation.
Sun May 11, 2014, 03:44 PM
May 2014

The fact that you don't know the difference is why you're wrong.

Fred Drum

(293 posts)
55. fusion does produce gamma rays
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:57 PM
May 2014

i agree fusion is much cleaner than fission, you still wouldn't want to be standing to close

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
73. And gamma rays are EM.
Sun May 11, 2014, 08:30 PM
May 2014

Most importantly, they stop the instant that the fusion source stops. As opposed to the nuclear radiation from Uranium and its fission byproducts.

Turn off the magnetic field, and the gamma rays stop instantly.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
51. Nuclear fission and nuclear fusion are two different things
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:22 PM
May 2014

a sustained fusion reaction has yet to be initiated.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
43. Yes. Fusion is simple and natural.
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:59 PM
May 2014

Last edited Mon May 12, 2014, 12:16 AM - Edit history (1)

If you start with a ball of hydrogen that wi Dr h a mass 100,000 times (give or take) more than the Earth.

Otherwise, achieving the forces needed is non-trivial.

IDemo

(16,926 posts)
31. This is not your father's nuclear
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:32 PM
May 2014

Fusion power doesn't involve uranium, plutonium, control rods, cooling ponds, meltdowns, or barrels of waste, toxic or otherwise. It is an entirely separate process.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
41. Its all in how it is used: good or bad
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:57 PM
May 2014

The sun is a comfortable 93 million miles away.

It still can cause harm even tho we can't live without it. Someone above seems to think solar is not needed. Good gawd, the idiocy, right?

Einstein was heard to mention that human mentality must change if we are to use such great powers, or we are doomed. Have we changed our mentality? The proof is: No, we have not.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
42. Robert claimed Fukushima would render the Northern hemisphere uninhabitable.
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:57 PM
May 2014

When that didn't pan out, he moved on to claiming Fukushima will wipe out all life in the Pacific ocean. That didn't pan out either, but AFAIK he hasn't started with a new doomsday scenario.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
44. Cheap slander from you, again
Sun May 11, 2014, 03:12 PM
May 2014

Just because I showed you to be wrong every time you have to make shit up to make you feel big? I feel sorry for you, jeff.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
49. Yes Robert, continue to demonstrate the Republicans don't have
Sun May 11, 2014, 03:48 PM
May 2014

the market in anti-science cornered.

So how 'bout that starfish die-off? You remember, the one you claimed was due to Fukushima, despite the minor problem of the die off starting before the accident?

ETA: You do tend to repeat yourself quite a bit. Perhaps you consider repetition to be showing someone wrong.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
71. He's just passionate
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:52 PM
May 2014

He goes off the rails sometimes, but there are those here who like to poke him with a stick now and then. So, there's that.

IDemo

(16,926 posts)
39. What aspect of fusion do you feel equals the hazard potential of fission?
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:55 PM
May 2014

Saying "a rose is a rose" doesn't exactly meet scientific standards.

Duppers

(28,117 posts)
60. wtf? "blow the place sky high"
Sun May 11, 2014, 05:12 PM
May 2014

Fusion generator or reactor will not actually blow up because it's very difficult to keep the reaction going and that's the reason we already don't have it.

I've a PhD physicist sitting next to me disputing what you said.




Do you have fission confuse with fusion?

cemaphonic

(4,138 posts)
68. Fun fact - The sun is a giant fusion reactor.
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:29 PM
May 2014

And an inherently unsafe one too, as it will one day expand and boil off all of the atmosphere and oceans.

So put that in your (crack) pipe and smoke it.

Trekologer

(997 posts)
11. This time it might really be
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:38 PM
May 2014

Recently, scientists have been able to get more energy out of a fusion experiment that was put into it, passing the break even point.

struggle4progress

(118,268 posts)
59. From your link:
Sun May 11, 2014, 05:10 PM
May 2014
"... The fuel itself produced more energy than was put into it, but the entire process requires roughly 100 times more energy, for instance to power the lasers, than was generated ..."

hatrack

(59,583 posts)
9. Sounds nice, and also sounds like bullshit
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:36 PM
May 2014

They have three years to roll it out.

Good luck with that.

Duppers

(28,117 posts)
63. how do we know how long they've been working on it ?
Sun May 11, 2014, 05:32 PM
May 2014

We fucking need something just stop this fossil fuel pollution that's driving GCC.

Ichingcarpenter

(36,988 posts)
16. So that reverse technology is paying off now?
Sun May 11, 2014, 01:51 PM
May 2014
http://l3.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/TGthU39F5Y6zP.x_nOWXFw--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7cT04NTt3PTI0MA--/

The one-page memo, dated March 22, 1950, was addressed to FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover from Guy Hottel, then head of the FBI's Washington, D.C., field office. It relayed some information from an informant.

The subject:

FLYING SAUCERS
INFORMATION CONCERNING
"An investigator for the Air Force stated that three so-called flying saucers had been recovered in New Mexico," Hottel writes. "They were described as being circular in shape with raised centers, approximately 50 feet in diameter. Each one was occupied by three bodies of human shape but only 3 feet tall, dressed in metallic cloth of a very fine texture. Each body was bandaged in a manner similar to the blackout suits used by speed fliers and test pilots.”

No further evaluation was attempted, Hottel reports.

The file, published by the vault in April 2011 under the Freedom of Information Act, has been viewed nearly a million times, the FBI said, in part because media outlets "erroneously reported that the FBI had posted proof of a UFO crash at Roswell, New Mexico [in 1947] and the recovery of wreckage and alien corpses."


I guess since they found the element in the zone of stability they have a way to power something now.

wink wink

PFunk

(876 posts)
33. Actually a couple of places/groups in europe (mostly french and german) had basicly said the same.
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:41 PM
May 2014

After all the fusion part they got down. It's the power consumption part (i.e. it uses more power than it produces) that they still have problems with. So I wouldn't dispute this.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
35. We already have working fusion reactors.
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:46 PM
May 2014
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tokamak

What we haven't had is a fusion reactor that uses significantly less energy than it produces - it's only fairly recently that Tokamaks became net-positive. Barely. They need either make much more power or use much less power before they're commercially viable.

Vogon_Glory

(9,113 posts)
37. I'll Be Delighted If They Can Do It BUT
Sun May 11, 2014, 02:47 PM
May 2014

I'd be dElighted if they could do it. Fossil fuel plants, particularly coal, are filthy carbon-belching monsters.

However, I'm in my late fifties and remember various Dr Bunsen Honeydews making equally cheery predictions about practical fusion since my teens.

At this stage in life, my first response tends to be skepticism, my second is to say "Show me!"

Calista241

(5,586 posts)
45. Bitch, bitch, bitch
Sun May 11, 2014, 03:13 PM
May 2014

At least they're trying to do something to save our planet. The rest of us are sitting behind a keyboard contributing to the problem.

Takket

(21,549 posts)
52. I'll believe it when i see it
Sun May 11, 2014, 04:28 PM
May 2014

i don't for one second believe big oil and their employees in the federal government (read: Congress) would ever allow a fusion reactor to operate in the US commercially. Skunk works might be able to build it, but it will never see commercial use.

Response to edhopper (Original post)

Lionel Mandrake

(4,076 posts)
70. Again?
Sun May 11, 2014, 06:46 PM
May 2014

This story keeps getting repeated, and I wonder whether it's even worth repeating my answer. But here goes:

The skunk works has expertise in military aircraft. They are engineers and managers, not physicists. In taking on controlled fusion, they are jumping into a business they know nothing about. What are their chances of success? I'd say close to zero.

edhopper

(33,543 posts)
72. So what is the purpose
Sun May 11, 2014, 08:13 PM
May 2014

Of this story?
I am not disagreeing with you, since I only have the info from the report.
But why are they saying this if they have zero chance.

Lionel Mandrake

(4,076 posts)
75. Good question.
Sun May 11, 2014, 08:48 PM
May 2014

Maybe they are looking for suckers (oops, I mean investors) to back their project. Maybe they believe their own bullshit. Maybe they think that because they can make stealthy airplanes, they can do anything.

I am reminded of the time GM bought Hughes Aircraft for $5 billion, thinking that the geniuses who designed satellites could surely apply their advanced ideas to cars. Guess what happened: Hughes didn't help GM, and GM mismanaged Hughes. Big mistake all around. The moral of the story is that aerospace guys should stick with what they know.

BootinUp

(47,135 posts)
77. The High beta fusion reactor at Lockheed was designed by Dr. Thomas McGuire
Sun May 11, 2014, 09:04 PM
May 2014

who did his PhD thesis on fusors at MIT. Presumably they gave him additional resources in terms of qualified people to work with.

IDemo

(16,926 posts)
74. M.I.T. has an ongoing fusion research effort as well
Sun May 11, 2014, 08:43 PM
May 2014

It has been the target of funding cuts but appears safe for the time being.

http://www.psfc.mit.edu/research/alcator/

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