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[DemocraticWing]

This message was self-deleted by its author (DemocraticWing) on Sun Oct 10, 2021, 11:57 PM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[kentuck]

1. If a lot of those undecideds are Republican.....

they would be more likely to vote for Grimes if they thought she was behind, in my opinion. However, it is hard to determine the psychology of voters from one election to the next. But, I think it is safe to say that a lot of Republicans are not real enthused about voting for McConnell.

[Puzzledtraveller]

2. It's probably pretty accurate

Outside of Louisville where I live it gets red and it gets red fast.

[Terra Alta]

3. Democrats need to GOTV in Kentucky.

A higher voter turnout means bad news for the Turtle. They need as many Dems as they can to go to the polls in November.

[DemocraticWing]

4. If you want McConnell gone, you can help Alison win

http://alisonforkentucky.com/

Every contribution and every volunteer opportunity puts Alison one step closer to the Senate.

[kentuck]

5. This may help a little bit?

[jamzrockz]

6. We need a few angry

tea party to turn on him and voila, democrats take Kentucky.

[Doctor_J]

7. He and Brownback will both win easily.

The republicans still own the media in its entirety, and there won't be any significant change in the political alignment in the south/bible belt until we enact a media redistribution

[demwing]

10. Aren't you the little dark raincloud?

What good comes from being discouraging?

[Fred Sanders]

11. Do not give up, the media only has a bigger bull horn, we got the facts.

[Doctor_J]

12. And that will suddenly matter after 30 years of fascist propaganda?

Best to confront reality

[Dawson Leery]

8. Kentucky 2014 is playing out the way South Dakota 2004 did.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_South_Dakota,_2004

"When the race began in early 2004, Daschle led by 7 points in January and February. By May, his lead minimized to just 2 points and into the summer polls showed a varying number of trends: either Daschle held a slim 1- to 2-point lead or Thune held a slim 1- to 2-point lead or the race was tied right down the middle. Throughout September, Daschle led Thune by margins of 2 to 5 percent while during the entire month of October into the November 2 election, most polls showed that Thune and Daschle were dead even, usually tied 49-49 among likely voters. Some polls showed either Thune or Daschle leading by extremely slim margins."

[kentuck]

9. Kentucky has a very unusual voting pattern...

For example, the present Governor is Democratic. When Democrats are the least bit enthused about a candidate, they usually get out the vote. They are very enthused with Alison Grimes.

In the past, Kentucky has elected many Democratic governors and senators. But they have to have someone to vote for. They have it with Alison Lundergan Grimes.

I feel good about her chances.

[BillZBubb]

13. This is actually very encouraging.

You've got a long time, widely known incumbent who also happens to be a Senate leader statistically tied with a Democratic up and comer with months to go before the election.

The fact that McConnell, with all his advantages, is still under 50% is fantastic and doesn't bode well for him.

[Dawson Leery]

14. See my post above.

Daschle was in this same position in 2004. In the end he lost by 1 point.