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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCould This Be the Senate Race Where the Koch Brothers Meet Their Match?
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/10/mark-begich-unions-alaska-senate-electionRepublicans' most likely path to retaking the Senate in November requires GOPers to pick up seats in six key states: Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, and Alaska. Of the six, Alaskawhere Democratic Sen. Mark Begich is facing off against former Republican attorney general Dan Sullivanmay be the closest race. That's why right-wing groups backed by the likes of the Koch brothers and Karl Rove are dumping millions into the stateand why Alaska unions are pulling out all the stops this year to make sure Begich, a fierce supporter of labor, carries the day.
"This is literally the most active we've ever been in an election cycle," says Vince Beltrami, the president of the Alaska AFL-CIO, which represents nearly all unions in the state.
Union members have been working the phones, pushing out mailings, and canvassing door-to-door on behalf of Begich. Volunteers have even taken the unusual step of door-knocking in areas far outside of Alaska's urban centers, says Jerry McBeath, a professor of political science at University of Alaska. Because of the unprecedented level of campaign action this year, Beltrami says, the AFL-CIO had to rent out an extra 7,000 square foot warehouse.
In addition to boots-on-the-ground support for Begich, unions are also throwing down for TV ads to help ensure the freshman senator gets a second term in office. The political action committee affiliated with the International Association of Fire Fighters, for example, recently spent $165,000 on TV ads against Sullivan. The National Education Association's super-PAC unveiled an ad in early September slamming Sullivan for a misleading claim he made about going after a Wall Street firm that gave the state bad financial advice and cost the public pension fund billions of dollars. Around the same time, four state-wide unionsAlaska Professional Fire Fighters, Alaska Public Employees Association, Alaska State Employees Association and National Education Association-Alaskaheld a press conference in mid-town Anchorage to respond to the same disingenuous ad.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,646 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)as in a conflagration of all their oily schemes going up in smoke? I hope so. Reality and karma need to bite them where it hurts the most...repeatedly.
BlancheSplanchnik
(20,219 posts)ReRe
(10,597 posts)Made a note of these six states and taped it to the computer for use on election night! Thanks, xchrom!
Savannahmann
(3,891 posts)West Virginia. South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Iowa, Colorado, Arkansas, and Alaska. That would give them 52 Senate Seats, and make them the clear majority.
The danger remains even if we hold onto two of those seats. Then it's an eBay bidding war for Kansas which appears to be going to the Independent. While Rince of the GOP has said that there is no way they'll let Greg Orman caucus with the Republicans, you have to wonder if the Senate Republicans will go with that if they get 50 Votes. Either way that Orman drops changes the makeup of the Senate. A 50 vote tie gives it to the Democrats since Biden cast the tie breaker as VP. But if Orman drops to the Republicans, a threat he's made before, the Republicans are in charge by one vote. That means Orman is an unstable asset, and potentially a game changer in six months if he doesn't get everything he wants.
Would McConnell give Orman a vice chairmanship of some committee or another to get the job as Majority Leader? Would the Senate Republicans resent it enough to give up the majority? My bet is no. Would the Democrats match the Republican offer for offer? Possibly. It depends on who is able to bid higher for Orman's questionable loyalty. Because anytime someone tells him No, the threat exists that he could switch loyalties and take you out of the majority.
ReRe
(10,597 posts)I hate politics.
99% of them seem like wonderful people when they are campaigning, but turn into someone no one knows after the election. Orman is going to caucus with whichever party is in the majority so he can get more done for his district and/or so he can get more ca$h for his next campaign two years from now.
I added IA and CO to my list. Thanks for getting me up to speed.
Blanks
(4,835 posts)It's been going back and forth. Pryor is from a political family. I don't much care for him, but they're attacking him for casting the tie breaking vote for Obamacare. He isn't jumping away from the president that I've seen.
The attacks on Cotton seem effective. I sure wish they'd remind everyone that both Cotton and Griffin supported shutting down the government.
J_J_
(1,213 posts)He is a carpetbagger from Ohio, worked with our Exxon/Conoco Phillips governor to steal Alaskan's rights to resources, no rights to protect our water, no input from Alaskans on resource developement projects.
EVERYONE was pissed off about this, Republicans Democrats Independents EVERYONE!
Every article about Sullivan in the Anchorage paper is met with 99% hate comments of sullivan, 1% koch hired posters.
They are not even paying enough people to pretend he has support, but then they attempt to manufacture consent with outrageous polls saying he is winnning,
And then they will steal it again.
Savannahmann
(3,891 posts)But all the polls say he's winning. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ak/alaska_senate_sullivan_vs_begich-3658.html
Not some of the polls, all of them over the last two months. In time, we'll know the end result.
Savannahmann
(3,891 posts)538 blog has it at about the same.
Daily Kos? Perhaps they're a little more hopeful, just kidding. Not really.
Well FFS. I know we can count on Huffington Post to give us some good news. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-outlook
Crap.
If we lose Alaska, does that mean that we lost or the Koch brothers won?
mopinko
(70,078 posts)their magic is about to go poof, imho.
i could be wrong. i have such a hard time putting my head in a place where it makes sense to vote for these thieves and their ilk. but something is brewing in this country, imho.
say it with me- WATERSHED ELECTION.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)It is interesting to watch the ads.
Not only are the Koch Brothers funding general ads for Joni Ernst, they have also unleashed a set of institutional ads that portray the Koch Brothers and Koch Industries in a positive light.
The ads show "regular folk" in Iowa-like setting (next to fields, around farms, dressed in Carhart-type clothing) extolling the virtues of the wonderful Koch companies.
It's simply revolting.
These people don't mess around. Not only are they furthering Ernst, a hardcore, radical tea partier on steroids--they're also furthering their own image, in an attempt to do damage control against people who have outed the Koch millions that are propping up her campaign.
For the life of me, I can't figure out why Braley isn't screaming about her tea-party affiliation and radical, extreme views (abolish the EPA, abolish the Dept of Education, against a minimum wage, etc.). She's Steve King in a dress.
The good news---Ernst was leading by several points. As of Sunday (10/12) she's only leading by a point. Let's hope Iowa rejects Ernst and her crazy.
bullwinkle428
(20,629 posts)I saw that ridiculous commercial touting the wonders of Koch Industries, and practically puked. They're doing everything they can to smooth all of Ernst's rough edges (of insanity), and make her look like this incredibly likeable mom/veteran/all-around-good-gal.
I'm getting increasingly pissed that the Braley campaign isn't doing more to stress what a nut she is, particularly with respect to the "Personhood" crap, and her support for the idea of rejecting any federal law a state doesn't like. Pure dog-whistle stuff for those who are still in love with the idea of the Confederacy.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)I agree with you. Where is Braley??
Ernst is the WORST kind of Republican. The kind that most Independents in Iowa wouldn't vote for. Sure, she'll get the crazy contingent in Iowa, but her extreme views do not mesh well with most Iowans.
Why isn't Braley plastering the airwaves with video of Ernst peacocking her radical agenda? There's plenty of material!
Maybe he's saving the tv spots for closer to the election date?
She could be so easily destroyed. I don't know why it's not being done.
We all ready have to suffer through the embarrassment that is Steve King. We don't need another tealunatic representing our state.
(I was encouraged by the front-page Register poll that shows her lead has dwindled to one percentage point, though! )
Blanks
(4,835 posts)But there are quite a few groups running ads against Tom Cotton - the Koch brothers choice for the senate here.
Here's a new ad against Cotton by vote vets.
J_J_
(1,213 posts)just wrote this op
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025659265
Want Mark Begich to Win the Alaska Senate Seat? In Alaska, there is 200% voter turnout!
Seems impossible?
Well it is, but that is what the election data said for the 2004 election in 16 out of 40 districts.
Discrepancies in the 2004 election included a district-by-district count that added up 292,267 votes cast for George Bush in the presidential election, while the statewide summary showed 190,889 votes.
District-by-district totals gave U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski 226,992 votes, while her official total was 149,446 votes.
And in half the state House Districts, more ballots were cast than there are registered voters, with 200 percent voter turnout in 16 of those districts, the Democrats say.
Brown said the Democratic party's analysis of the central tabulator file has not yet revealed the cause of those discrepancies.
"We are continuing to try to get to the bottom of that," Brown said.
http://juneauempire.com/stories/100606/sta_20061006008.shtml
They never did get to the bottom of this.
This state is all set up for fraud.
The Koch brothers do not need to spend more money, they just need Karl Rove and his *new IT expert.
(*Karl Rove's last IT guy died in a small plane crash right before he was to be put on trial under oath in Ohio for election fraud)