Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 02:38 PM Oct 2014

We shouldn't underestimate it: Ebola is FAR more contagious than HIV or hepatitis.

And it has no vaccine or proven treatment.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/14/us/questions-rise-on-preparations-at-hospitals-to-deal-with-ebola.html?_r=0

Ebola patients lose enormous amounts of fluid from diarrhea and vomiting, as much as five to 10 quarts a day during the worst phase of the illness, which lasts about a week. Doctors struggle to rehydrate them, replace lost electrolytes and treat bleeding problems. Some patients need dialysis and ventilators.

A concern for health workers is that as patients grow sicker, the levels of virus in their blood rise and they become more and more contagious. The researchers at Emory tested patients and found high levels of the virus in their body fluids and even on their skin.

At the peak of illness, an Ebola patient can have 10 billion viral particles in one-fifth of a teaspoon of blood. That compares with 50,000 to 100,000 particles in an untreated H.I.V. patient, and five million to 20 million in someone with untreated hepatitis C.

“That helped us to understand why, if this is only spread by body fluids, why it is more contagious than hepatitis A, B and C, and H.I.V.,” Dr. Ribner said. “It’s just that there’s so much more virus in the fluids they put out.”

76 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
We shouldn't underestimate it: Ebola is FAR more contagious than HIV or hepatitis. (Original Post) pnwmom Oct 2014 OP
What about that breakthrough that AIDs treatment stops the Ebola virus? loudsue Oct 2014 #1
If somebody does a controlled study of it, then sit up and take notice. Otherwise, kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #4
It's not a breakthrough yet -- the NIH is considering studying it. Also, it can cause liver damage. pnwmom Oct 2014 #5
Yes. It takes only a few virons to infect someone. closeupready Oct 2014 #2
Even rabies, which is terrifying, only has that nasty 100% mortality rate if you don't get kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #3
interesting article melm00se Oct 2014 #6
There are different ways to view it. But I'd much rather be in a room with someone pnwmom Oct 2014 #7
with all three diseases melm00se Oct 2014 #8
But there's always the possibility of getting into contact with something they touched pnwmom Oct 2014 #10
(Warning: snark alert) there's always the possibility melm00se Oct 2014 #14
I'm not recommending panic, obsession, or false bravado. pnwmom Oct 2014 #15
The grocery cart........ KentuckyWoman Oct 2014 #23
How often does HIV or Hepatitis result in projectile vomiting and explosive bloody diarrhea? HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #31
Brown vomit the same color (and smell) as the diarrhea HockeyMom Oct 2014 #58
Exactly, but what member of the HIV related illnesses or hepatitis does that? HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #61
None HockeyMom Oct 2014 #62
What about other risks? FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #9
Not true. It is not hard to get Ebola from touching something that an Ebola patient pnwmom Oct 2014 #11
No it isn't. FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #12
Merely touching something CAN transmit the virus, because it is very common to touch something pnwmom Oct 2014 #16
Sorry, you are asserting the virus is easy to catch without any data FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #18
Infectious disease experts say it's highly contagious. closeupready Oct 2014 #20
Give me a link to one controlled study FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #21
Why should I do that? closeupready Oct 2014 #24
Because the CDC and WHO disagree with your assertion FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #25
Where is your link about that "one CDC study"? n/t pnwmom Oct 2014 #36
Our friend knows nothing and has nothing. Except probably kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #39
The CDC references the study DeadLetterOffice Oct 2014 #49
The cited paragraph was taken out of context. pnwmom Oct 2014 #53
In addition to not knowing what fomites are, you don't know a thing about the ethics of kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #28
So you have nothing FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #30
Please cite your epidemiological credentials so i can decide whether kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #38
PANIC PANIC PANIC FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #40
Oooohhh, you can cut and paste links!!!! Makes you the real expert. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #43
You also apparently flunked vocabulary 101 in First Grade. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #46
WHO says 10k new cases a week can be expected and upped the death rate to 70% Puzzledtraveller Oct 2014 #45
If you draw from that finding that Ebola is highly contagious, I agree. closeupready Oct 2014 #64
Highly infectious. High mortality rate. NOT highly contagious. DeadLetterOffice Oct 2014 #68
For medical professionals, sure. For most of us, not much difference closeupready Oct 2014 #73
Dr. Bruce Ribner, one of the infectious disease specialists at Emory, pnwmom Oct 2014 #34
I don't think anybody has EVER said it was as contagious as the flu or common cold. Chemisse Oct 2014 #56
2 people touch a surface. You do so next, then rub your nose. You are more likely to uppityperson Oct 2014 #22
Our friend has clearly never heard of fomites. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #47
You mean like, maybe, touching some part of the personal protection gear HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #32
Post removed Post removed Oct 2014 #26
Some of this is parsing technical views....a viral particle in the air HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #52
We don't really think of dust motes as fomites. If it floats across the room, it's an "aerosol". kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #54
Not thinking of dust mote but, rather spittle, contaminated heavier than air exudates HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #55
Spittle is typically > 100 microns (I may be wrong on this) so doesn't float around. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #57
Right and particles aren't always independent of 'stuff' on which they are expelled. HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #59
There's a huge difference between the early stages and the later stages Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #63
Recommend. nt Zorra Oct 2014 #13
And that is why gratuitous Oct 2014 #17
Hardy har har. pnwmom Oct 2014 #29
+1 000 000 000 000 000 kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #48
ATM it would be foolish to just dismiss it off hand. Rex Oct 2014 #19
Not only more contagious Faux pas Oct 2014 #27
CDC faq on ebola transmission azurnoir Oct 2014 #33
"At peak of illness." In other words, very infectious just before death. morningfog Oct 2014 #35
Ebola is a real threat. We should not be treating it with such disdain and disinterest. JDPriestly Oct 2014 #37
I was thinking about wearing my weeding gloves out and about....I have lots of them Tumbulu Oct 2014 #42
Good idea. I have skin problems and lots of surgical gloves. I think I will take them with me when JDPriestly Oct 2014 #76
And far LESS contagious than flu, dengue, malaria, chikungunya, or even the plague. hobbit709 Oct 2014 #41
Link, please. n/t pnwmom Oct 2014 #50
None of those need direct contact. hobbit709 Oct 2014 #51
No. Though I would prefer that babies have a version, if possible, without mercury. pnwmom Oct 2014 #65
You are souring the "everything is alright" meme! Puzzledtraveller Oct 2014 #44
It really isn't more contagious. Just much more lethal. DeadLetterOffice Oct 2014 #60
That depends on how you define contagious. pnwmom Oct 2014 #66
High viral load = highly INFECTIOUS, not highly contagious DeadLetterOffice Oct 2014 #67
Dr. Bruce Ribner, one of the specialists on the infectious disease team taking care of Ebola pnwmom Oct 2014 #69
exactly, one droplet from a cough or sneeze can be enough Puzzledtraveller Oct 2014 #74
And that's what R0 expresses. How contagious is this virus? longship Oct 2014 #72
People don't seem to understand how to interpret R0. LisaL Oct 2014 #70
That is the dumbest thing I have read about R0. DeadLetterOffice Oct 2014 #71
Did you actually read the article? LisaL Oct 2014 #75

loudsue

(14,087 posts)
1. What about that breakthrough that AIDs treatment stops the Ebola virus?
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 02:50 PM
Oct 2014

That just came out last week....patients treated with AIDS medications were cured of Ebola. I haven't heard another word about it.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
4. If somebody does a controlled study of it, then sit up and take notice. Otherwise,
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 02:59 PM
Oct 2014

sadly, it's just anecdotal reporting.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
5. It's not a breakthrough yet -- the NIH is considering studying it. Also, it can cause liver damage.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 02:59 PM
Oct 2014
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2014/10/02/a-liberian-doctor-is-using-hiv-drugs-to-treat-ebola-victims-the-nih-is-intrigued/

Gorbee Logan, a doctor in rural Liberia, has given at least 15 Ebola patients lamivudine, which is considered a long-term and effective drug to treat HIV patients. All but two of them survived, Logan told CNN last week.

Since that interview, Logan has been in contact with Anthony S. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, about the treatment. "I can't say it's a good idea or bad idea," Fauci told The Post this week. "It's one of those things where you're in a situation where you have no therapy, so you look for things that might be available."

Fauci said National Institutes of Health researchers have tested lamivudine's reaction to Ebola in test tubes. There was no response; but Fauci said researchers will adjust some levels and try it again "to see if there's even slight activity against Ebola."

If there is, he said, NIH would consider going to the trial stage.

SNIP


 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
3. Even rabies, which is terrifying, only has that nasty 100% mortality rate if you don't get
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 02:58 PM
Oct 2014

PEP in a timely manner.

There's no vaccine or PEP for Ebola. And no specific therapy. And infection requires only 1-10 virus particles.

10 billion virus particles in 0.2 tsp (3cc) = 3, 300,000 virus particles in 0.3 cc (literally 3 drops).

Enough to infect every single person in the US in 3 drops. Ponder that and tell me it's nothing to worry about.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
7. There are different ways to view it. But I'd much rather be in a room with someone
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:07 PM
Oct 2014

with contagious hepatitis or HIV than with Ebola in its contagious phase.

Wouldn't you?

melm00se

(4,989 posts)
8. with all three diseases
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:16 PM
Oct 2014

based upon the current understanding of each disease's transmission methods:

Ebola
HIV
Hepatitis

as long as I am not in direct contact their bodily fluids, I don't believe that is a big issue.

Healthcare workers are a much higher risk of exposure as they handle sharps, blood samples and other bodily fluids than someone who is casually in the same room with an infectious patient.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
10. But there's always the possibility of getting into contact with something they touched
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:18 PM
Oct 2014

before you came into the room. Something, if it's Ebola, with a couple billion virus particles on it.

And all it takes is one.

melm00se

(4,989 posts)
14. (Warning: snark alert) there's always the possibility
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:30 PM
Oct 2014

of being hit by a bus walking across the street while going to visit a sick relative with Ebola.

My points are:

yes, ebola is a deadly dangerous disease
no, we should not panic (or by word or action create an environment of panic) over this disease.

If this disease has a contagious factor of, say, the common cold or chicken pox or some other common disease, I'd be worried.

But right now, more energy is better spent in finding a cure or limiting its spread in Africa than obsessing over the likelihood of catching this disease.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
15. I'm not recommending panic, obsession, or false bravado.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:05 PM
Oct 2014

I'm saying we should take it very seriously.

And I strongly agree with spending the money to help wipe it out in Africa.

KentuckyWoman

(6,679 posts)
23. The grocery cart........
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:35 PM
Oct 2014

Rightly or wrongly........ A friend of my late sister, and now my friend, who lives in a neighborhood in Atlanta with people from all over the world that travel quite a bit to go visit family - conduct business etc is very nervous.

This is a black man with 4 children under 10 and a pregnant wife. He's trying to figure out how to avoid catching it from the gas pump or the grocery cart etc.

It only takes one....... you are right.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
31. How often does HIV or Hepatitis result in projectile vomiting and explosive bloody diarrhea?
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:57 PM
Oct 2014

Last edited Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:53 PM - Edit history (1)

Sitting in a room with someone sounds benign, but the infected person may not be JUST sitting there.

 

HockeyMom

(14,337 posts)
58. Brown vomit the same color (and smell) as the diarrhea
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:56 PM
Oct 2014

When my husband and children had some strain of a stomach flu years ago. In the bathroom. On the floors. In the beds. Mask? Could have used that myself just from the STENCH of cleaning it up. It was bad, bad, bad. I say that just from the cleaning up and not actually having it.

Sitting around them? lol

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
61. Exactly, but what member of the HIV related illnesses or hepatitis does that?
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:05 PM
Oct 2014

I've know I've attended meetings and sat in lunch with HIV positive people.

Nothing dramatic went on with their digestive system...which isnt' to say some infection couldn't cause an HIV+ person to present with vomiting or bloody diarrhea.

 

HockeyMom

(14,337 posts)
62. None
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:23 PM
Oct 2014

Yes, I have known and hugged friends who were HIV positive. My Dad vomited, and passed stools with, blood from an ulcer. Contagious? Not unless he had some other disease along with an ulcer.

One size does not fit all.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
9. What about other risks?
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:16 PM
Oct 2014

Would you trade being in that room for a 100 mile drive? go outside for hike in the woods? go for a swim in ocean? take a medication prescribed by your doctor?

All those other things are FAR more likely to kill you than sitting in a room with an Ebola patient. Yet people think nothing of doing any of the above.





pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
11. Not true. It is not hard to get Ebola from touching something that an Ebola patient
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:21 PM
Oct 2014

has touched. And you wouldn't know what the patient might have touched before you got there.

Like the small blanket that was laid on the chair in the Texas Christian E.R. when Duncan was there.

Touching that blanket, or the chair underneath, would be much more dangerous than taking a hike, or a drive, or a swim, or a prescribed medication.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
12. No it isn't.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 03:26 PM
Oct 2014

If merely touching something would confer the virus, then Duncan would have contaminated his family, many of the people he came in contact with, and passengers on his plane.

The hard fact is only one person who directly came in contact with body fluids became infected. Probably not by just touching but by touching and then getting inside their body by rubbing eyes or open wounds.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
16. Merely touching something CAN transmit the virus, because it is very common to touch something
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:08 PM
Oct 2014

and then for your hand to inadvertently rub your eye, your nose, or a broken part of skin.

Your argument is the same as the one people used to make to say that cigarettes didn't cause cancer. "I've smoked my whole life and I didn't get cancer -- so that proves cigarettes don't cause cancer."

Wrong.

Cigarettes can cause cancer and touching something that an Ebola patient touched can transmit the disease, if there are still any live viruses on it (and they can last for hours outside of the body). If no one from that apartment gets Ebola, that will prove nothing -- except that they dodged a bullet.

And the incubation period isn't over yet.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
18. Sorry, you are asserting the virus is easy to catch without any data
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:18 PM
Oct 2014

Every study shows it's not very contagious compared to many viruses and, yes, if no one catches it from just touching, it's a live test.

Show me one study (and Ebola has been around for a long time) that shows it to be spread as easily as say the flu or common cold. There aren't any because it's not.

This is a perfect example of someone panicking with no data, lots of COULD's, MAYBE's, etc.

The overall numbers for the virus backs up the fact it's not one of the easier to transmit viruses. Sorry to throw cold water on the scare mongering but the facts don't support you.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
20. Infectious disease experts say it's highly contagious.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:22 PM
Oct 2014

That's better than some anonymous person on an internet board.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
25. Because the CDC and WHO disagree with your assertion
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:40 PM
Oct 2014

Let me quote one CDC real study (not some newspaper speculation)

"One CDC study has examined Ebola virus survival in a "real world" patient-care environment, the CDC said. In that one, researchers did not find either viral material (through DNA amplification) or viable virus (through culturing) in any of 33 samples collected from sites that were not visibly bloody."

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
39. Our friend knows nothing and has nothing. Except probably
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:18 PM
Oct 2014

a fondness for FauxNooz and Alex Jones.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
53. The cited paragraph was taken out of context.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:16 PM
Oct 2014

This is the paragraph that follows it:

"Based upon these data and what is known regarding the environmental infection control of other enveloped RNA viruses, the expectation is with consistent daily cleaning and disinfection practices in U.S. hospitals that the persistence of Ebola virus in the patient care environment would be short—with 24 hours considered a cautious upper limit," the CDC said.



IOW, with consistent daily cleaning and disinfection practices, the virus isn't expected to last on surfaces for more than 24 hours.

That certainly doesn't prove it's not highly contagious -- just that the risk can be reduced by consistent disinfection practices.

Are hospital waiting rooms disinfected every day? The waiting room in our local hospital has cloth chairs. I'd be happy to bet that it isn't disinfected every day.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
28. In addition to not knowing what fomites are, you don't know a thing about the ethics of
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:52 PM
Oct 2014

doing controlled human studies with lethal pathogens.

Wow. You really need to stop before the walls of that very deep hole you're digging collapse on you.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
38. Please cite your epidemiological credentials so i can decide whether
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:16 PM
Oct 2014

you are a terrible epidemiologist or just a garden variety ignorant fool.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
40. PANIC PANIC PANIC
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:34 PM
Oct 2014

I've already shared the WHO and CDC studies.

Enjoy your scare mongering. You are quite the fool yourself.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
43. Oooohhh, you can cut and paste links!!!! Makes you the real expert.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:59 PM
Oct 2014


Care to tell me again where you got your MPH? Maybe you found that on the intertubes, too?

You are dead wrong about Ebola, but then you are uneducated in anything having to do with pathogens or probably even basic biology. That much is glaringly obvious.

And your contempt for somebody with REAL credentials (that would be me) is very telling. Typical of the conservative, anti-science mindset.
 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
46. You also apparently flunked vocabulary 101 in First Grade.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:04 PM
Oct 2014

Panic:pan·ic1
ˈpanik/Submit
noun
1.
sudden uncontrollable fear or anxiety, often causing wildly unthinking behavior.
"she hit him in panic"
synonyms: alarm, anxiety, nervousness, fear, fright, trepidation, dread, terror, agitation, hysteria, consternation, perturbation, dismay, apprehension; More
antonyms: calm
widespread financial or commercial apprehension provoking hasty action.
plural noun: panics
"he caused an economic panic by his sudden resignation"
informal
a frenzied hurry to do something.
"a workload of constant panics and rush jobs"
verb
verb: panic; 3rd person present: panics; past tense: panicked; past participle: panicked; gerund or present participle: panicking
1.
feel or cause to feel panic.
"the crowd panicked and stampeded for the exit"
synonyms: be alarmed, be scared, be nervous, be afraid, take fright, be agitated, be hysterical, lose one's nerve, get overwrought, get worked up; More


That's a far cry from what I am doing, which is EDUCATION and CORRECTION OF MISINFORMATION, with a bit of EVIDENCE-BASED SPECULATION thrown in. I know these are all big words so it's clearly going to whizz past your head.

Puzzledtraveller

(5,937 posts)
45. WHO says 10k new cases a week can be expected and upped the death rate to 70%
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:02 PM
Oct 2014

I'm going to defer to their judgement.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
64. If you draw from that finding that Ebola is highly contagious, I agree.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:27 PM
Oct 2014

As do most infectious disease experts. Peace.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
73. For medical professionals, sure. For most of us, not much difference
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 11:28 PM
Oct 2014

between contagious and infectious. Peace.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
34. Dr. Bruce Ribner, one of the infectious disease specialists at Emory,
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:04 PM
Oct 2014

one of the four special treatment centers for Ebola, says it is highly contagious. And he knows more about this than either of us do.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/14/us/questions-rise-on-preparations-at-hospitals-to-deal-with-ebola.html?_r=0

At the peak of illness, an Ebola patient can have 10 billion viral particles in one-fifth of a teaspoon of blood. That compares with 50,000 to 100,000 particles in an untreated H.I.V. patient, and five million to 20 million in someone with untreated hepatitis C.

“That helped us to understand why, if this is only spread by body fluids, why it is more contagious than hepatitis A, B and C, and H.I.V.,” Dr. Ribner said. “It’s just that there’s so much more virus in the fluids they put out.”

Chemisse

(30,807 posts)
56. I don't think anybody has EVER said it was as contagious as the flu or common cold.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:45 PM
Oct 2014

We all know it is not airborne and that you have to be in contact with body fluids. But that could be sweat, mucous from their nose, water from their eyes.

We don't need to panic, but we do need to be educated about it.

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)
22. 2 people touch a surface. You do so next, then rub your nose. You are more likely to
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:30 PM
Oct 2014

come down with the flu from the person with the flu, than ebola from the person with ebola who touched that surface.

The problem is not that it is so easy to catch, but if you do, you are in a shitload of trouble. And yes, that is medical jargon.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
32. You mean like, maybe, touching some part of the personal protection gear
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:01 PM
Oct 2014

as you disrobe to go off your nursing shift?

We don't call that CONTACT, we call that a BREACH OF PROTOCOL.


I think there was a memo on how to talk about that....

Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #12)

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
52. Some of this is parsing technical views....a viral particle in the air
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:14 PM
Oct 2014

that doesn't go further than 6 feet isn't 'airborne' apparently not meeting "definitions".

But IT certainly could be being dispersed in fomites travelling through the air, upto that distance.

These sort of things smack common sense right between the eyes, but there may be good uncommon sense reasons for considering the distinction

A danger would obviously be that a person would think dispersal in the immediate 6 ft distance from a patient can't happen in particles moving through the air.

Hopefully no healthcare workers think in that vicinity of an ebola patient think that.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
54. We don't really think of dust motes as fomites. If it floats across the room, it's an "aerosol".
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:34 PM
Oct 2014

Fomites are things like doorknobs, phone receivers, other people's hands, that coffee cup you just set down, your pillowcase, your used kleenex. Etc etc etc ad infinitum.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
55. Not thinking of dust mote but, rather spittle, contaminated heavier than air exudates
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:41 PM
Oct 2014

that transport the agent and make it available away from a person.

I'll waive to your definition, because really, I'm not hung up on definitions, but I am aware of this 6 ft distance definition thing.

It's a consideration in designing experiments to test for 'aerosols'.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
57. Spittle is typically > 100 microns (I may be wrong on this) so doesn't float around.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:48 PM
Oct 2014

Floaties are "aerosol" and "sinkers" are droplets. That's how I think of it.

With Ebola, IIRC, if it's in particles small enough to float, it dries out pretty much instantly and is rendered inactive (which is an irreversible process).

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
59. Right and particles aren't always independent of 'stuff' on which they are expelled.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:57 PM
Oct 2014

consequently when setting up experiments the 6 feet is apparently the minimum to trust transmission is "aerosol"

I was involved in this a while ago, as a grad student, evaluating viral infection between dogs. But I've seen similar stuff in methods sections of papers, including the single paper on aerosol spread of ebola.

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
63. There's a huge difference between the early stages and the later stages
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:24 PM
Oct 2014

In the later stages, the person has tremendously high levels of virus in their blood and other body fluids. A cough, tears, saliva, sweat. These patients are horrifically ill, they may be disoriented, and they may go through stages when they're vomiting or retching or coughing and spewing virus-infected droplets into the air.

In the earlier stages, it would generally be internal infections without superficial virus. It is very dangerous to be close to a severely ill Ebola patient without PPE. It's not dangerous at all to be around most of these patients in the early stages. The only risk would be intimate contact.

So I think you are both right and wrong!

The reason CDC guidelines call for immediate isolation of suspected patients is that, depending on the stage, they are potentially infectious to others:
http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/hcp/infection-prevention-and-control-recommendations.html

Note that the patient is expected to be isolated in a room with a closed door and that control measures are supposed to be in place to prevent anyone without PPE from entering.

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
17. And that is why
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:12 PM
Oct 2014

I have purchased an air-supplied respirator with full HEPA filters to accompany me wherever I go on the planet. Sure, I may be thousands of miles away from ground zero of ebola-land, and sure, the virus may not be transmitted through the air, and sure, I watch all the Fox News I can, but doggone it if I'm going to take that one in fifty skabillion chance!

I can't wait for next week, when I have an appointment to have my body covered in cosmoline.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
29. Hardy har har.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:53 PM
Oct 2014

The nurses who've gotten it don't think you're very funny, and neither do any of the other people on the front lines.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
48. +1 000 000 000 000 000
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:07 PM
Oct 2014

I know we disagree on a lot of this stuff, but you are absolutely correct and if you had been even firmer with this smackdown I would have applauded you.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
19. ATM it would be foolish to just dismiss it off hand.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 04:19 PM
Oct 2014

However, it would also be foolish to run out and buy ductape and plastic bags.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
35. "At peak of illness." In other words, very infectious just before death.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:05 PM
Oct 2014

Early on, the viral loads are low, and so is the infection risk.

This is why the 48 who had contact with Duncan before his isolation have not shown symptoms. This is why there will not be an "outbreak" in the US. We can isolate those who show symptoms before they are very infectious. The risk remains for the hospital workers, and hopefully the CDC will figure out what went wrong with Pham.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
37. Ebola is a real threat. We should not be treating it with such disdain and disinterest.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:15 PM
Oct 2014

And the Republican cuts to the budget of the US government for the CDC and other cuts that are vital for the maintenance of our public health infrastructure could mean that ebola might become a threat in the US.

Think about the last time you flew on one of those extremely crowded airplanes to wherever you go. Ebola can spread from the skin of a patient, from the vomit, from the excrement or urine. We do not realize how often we come in contact with the bodily fluids of others.

I am going to begin to carry sterile wipes with me when I travel. I travel by train. Public restrooms are less than clean. In Europe little ladies used to sit in the restrooms. You paid them a tip and they kept the places clean. That does not exist here at least not in Union Station in Los Angeles, not in airports, nowhere that I visit. The once-a-day wipe with a mop is really not what we need now.

Tumbulu

(6,272 posts)
42. I was thinking about wearing my weeding gloves out and about....I have lots of them
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 05:50 PM
Oct 2014

You know when I was a child people wore gloves in public places. The ability to recover from an illness using antibiotics was still pretty new. The vaccines were new, most that we have now were not invented yet....the old ways of protecting oneself in public involved things like wearing gloves, wearing hats with mesh to cover eyes and face a bit. They were all very stylish, but they also had a function.

We were trained never to touch anything in a public area without wearing the gloves and then we were not to touch our faces unless gloves were off and hands had been washed. My mother's family of 10 lost not one member during the Spanish Flu epidemic that killed so many around them. Oh they also ate a clove of raw garlic every day. But they rode busses and streetcars and went to school....they participated all sorts of public events in the city that they lived in.

These protocols have been forgotten. But they were once part of city life.

Perhaps they need to be reinstated.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
76. Good idea. I have skin problems and lots of surgical gloves. I think I will take them with me when
Wed Oct 15, 2014, 03:37 PM
Oct 2014

I might have to use a public restroom. My skin is more vulnerable than the skin of other people.

hobbit709

(41,694 posts)
51. None of those need direct contact.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 06:11 PM
Oct 2014

And if they develop an Ebola vaccine will you be against it because there might be mercury in it?

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
65. No. Though I would prefer that babies have a version, if possible, without mercury.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:51 PM
Oct 2014

It's all a question of weighing possible risks vs. benefits.

DeadLetterOffice

(1,352 posts)
60. It really isn't more contagious. Just much more lethal.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:01 PM
Oct 2014
Compared with most common diseases, Ebola is not particularly infectious. The primary risk of catching Ebola comes from the bodily fluids of people who are visibly infected – primarily their blood, saliva, vomit and (possibly) sweat. These can transmit the disease if they make contact with the mucus membranes (lining of your nose, mouth, and similar areas).

Each patient in the current Ebola outbreak is infecting on average two healthy people (this figure, known as the R0 value, can be reduced with appropriate precautions). The Sars outbreak of 2002-03 had an R0 of five, mumps 10 and measles a huge 18. Ebola could be much more infectious than it is.

Which isn't to say that Ebola isn't a cause for concern among health care workers, it totally is. But there's enough accurate scary information out there; inaccurate scary information is unnecessary.

For those who haven't seen it, or would like to see it again:


http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/oct/09/ebola-highly-contagious-virus-myths-outbreak-epidemic
http://www.npr.org/blogs/health/2014/10/02/352983774/no-seriously-how-contagious-is-ebola
http://www.webmd.com/news/20140806/ebola-virus-how-contagious


pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
66. That depends on how you define contagious.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 07:54 PM
Oct 2014

If you define it based on how few viral particles are needed to infect someone (very few) -- and how many are contained in a tiny drop (billions) then it is highly contagious.

DeadLetterOffice

(1,352 posts)
67. High viral load = highly INFECTIOUS, not highly contagious
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 08:33 PM
Oct 2014

Contagious specifically refers to ease of transference from one host to another. Highly contagious diseases tend to spread through the air; less contagious diseases require physical or blood/mucus contact. Ebola is not easily contagious.

Infectious refers to how much of a virus is required to transfer the virus to a new person. It doesn't take many Ebola particles to transfer infection, and there's lots of Ebola particles in very sick Ebola patients. So Ebola is highly infectious.

http://io9.com/how-ebola-can-still-be-very-infectious-without-being-v-1642322295

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
69. Dr. Bruce Ribner, one of the specialists on the infectious disease team taking care of Ebola
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 08:36 PM
Oct 2014

patients are Emory University hospital, is comfortable using the term "contagious" in this context.

“That helped us to understand why, if this is only spread by body fluids, why it is more contagious than hepatitis A, B and C, and H.I.V.,” Dr. Ribner said. “It’s just that there’s so much more virus in the fluids they put out.”


People want to think that because it is only spread by bodily fluids, like HIV, that it isn't very contagious. Not true. It is far more contagious than HIV because there's so much more virus in the fluids.

longship

(40,416 posts)
72. And that's what R0 expresses. How contagious is this virus?
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 08:44 PM
Oct 2014

How many, on average, people are infected for each patient. R0 expresses the virus's contagiousness very well in one simple number. There's no need to count viral loads. It's all about how fast it spreads.



On edit: Fortunately, Ebola is its own worst enemy. It is so quickly deadly that there is little time for it to spread, not a particular good strategy for a virus. And one does have to come in direct contact with it to be infected. Unfortunately, Ebola patients spew out lots of bodily fluids full of the virus. Apparently, viral loads are extremely high. Not good as these things go. But if one is careful one won't be infected.

That African nurse student cared for four family members on her own, using plastic garbage bags, rubber gloves, and bottles of bleach, burning the refuse every night. Three survived Ebola, thanks to her, and I have not heard that she is infected. She made her own protocol. It worked. And all but one of her family survived.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
70. People don't seem to understand how to interpret R0.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 08:37 PM
Oct 2014

R0 is the number of people one sick person infects during the duration of the disease.
Person infected with HIV has years.
Person infected with Ebola has days.
If you divide R0 by the unit of time, Ebola is much more infectious/contagious.

DeadLetterOffice

(1,352 posts)
71. That is the dumbest thing I have read about R0.
Tue Oct 14, 2014, 08:44 PM
Oct 2014
Ever.
And given the idiocy that's been floating around here and elsewhere about Ebola, contagiousness, and infectiousness, that's saying something.

You cannot "divide" the R0 by average lifespan after diagnosis and get anything that's even vaguely related to "contagiousness." Seriously.

Facts are irrelevant and resistance is futile. I give up.

Wash your hands often, get your flu shot, and stay healthy.
Peace.

DLO

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
75. Did you actually read the article?
Wed Oct 15, 2014, 12:55 AM
Oct 2014

I guess not. Read the last sentence.
And then get a clue.

"**The R0 is integrated over the time that a person is infectious to others. For HIV, this could be years. But for Ebola, that time is only about a week. So even though they have similar R0s, Ebola's infections per unit of time is much higher than HIV's."

http://www.npr.org/blogs/health/2014/10/02/352983774/no-seriously-how-contagious-is-ebola

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»We shouldn't underestimat...