Senate Battle Looks As Competitive As Ever, But GOP Holds The Edge

[applegrove]

Senate Battle Looks As Competitive As Ever, But GOP Holds The Edge

by Ariel Edwards-Levy and Mark Blumenthal

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/10/26/senate-polls_n_6050008.html?1414346153

"SNIP........................



The 2014 midterms are going down to the wire, but Republicans hold a slim edge in the states they need to take control of the Senate, new polling finds.

A set of NBC/Marist polls released Sunday find Republicans' numbers mostly on the upswing in the crucial swing states of Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas and North Carolina, all of which remain within the margin of error. A sixth race, South Dakota, which briefly looked competitive, now seems to be firmly in the Republican camp. The GOP needs to win a net total of six seats to retake the Senate.

The results of online panel surveys conducted by YouGov for The New York Times and CBS, also released Sunday, show a similar national environment, although with more stability in most races. The panel, which re-interviewed voters who'd previously been asked who they supported, found that 90 percent hadn't changed their minds. The small amount of change, mostly among undecided voters, didn't lean particularly toward either party, YouGov found.




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[TreasonousBastard]

1. So, as usual, it's who gets out the vote.

[pstokely]

6. and who doesn't come out

nt

[bmac19gg]

2. makes me think of this episode of The West Wing

Where the staff was reflecting on the post-election results where they lost as many seats as they gained and after countless millions spent everything essentially stayed the same.

[Prophet 451]

3. If they win, they wil impeach Obama

I'm guaranteeing it. They view every Democratic president as illegitimate by definition. They will launch thousands of hostile investigations, just as they did to Clinton. They will use something (probably Benghazi) to launch a long-term fishing expedition, just as they did to Clinton (Ken Starr was originally investigating "all the Whitehouse scandals" that the Republicans manufactured out of wholecloth, Monica was the only thing they could find that would stick). And they will impeach him on the first pretext they can dream up.

[Travis_0004]

4. They wont come close to a 2/3 majority to convict in the Senate

In the house it only takes a simple majority to impeach, but they have had that for a while now.

[Prophet 451]

5. They don't care about conviction

When they fail to get the 2/3 in the Senate, they'll just go to their base and proclaim that Obama was guilty and they had a majority but partisan Dems held too many for them to convict. Remember, it's about how they play it to the base, no-one else.

[FBaggins]

7. Then why haven't they done it already?

Impeachment is controlled by the House.

[Prophet 451]

8. Because they want an appearnece of legitimacy

If they have a majority in the Senate, they can play it as "we would have got a conviction but for a technicality".