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matmar

(593 posts)
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 10:36 AM Apr 2012

My Trayvon/Zimmerman theory...

We know by the 911 recordings that Zimmerman was stalking Martin. We also know that Zimmerman tended to be hostile to African-Americans due to his reference to "fucking coons" on the 911 recording. We know Zimmerman was told to stand down by the 911/police dispatcher. Zimmerman disregarded that instruction.

Martin on the other hand knew he was being stalked, as disclosed by the female friend he was conversing with on the phone at the time.

Zimmerman pursued Martin and confronted him. A struggle ensued instigated by one of the two.

With the release of the new bloody photo of Zimmerman, I believe Zimmerman was getting his ass kicked and he shot Martin dead.

The screams for "help"--

The screams for "help" may have been Trayvon Martin. After Zimmerman realized he was going to lose the fistfight he may have pulled his gun and that is when Trayvon started screaming for help realizing his dire situation at that point.

The screams for help may have been Zimmerman. In the process of getting beat up, Zimmerman may have been screaming for help.

26 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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My Trayvon/Zimmerman theory... (Original Post) matmar Apr 2012 OP
That's two theories. Opposite theories, too boot. nt DCKit Apr 2012 #1
It's already been posted that it's 98% chance it's not ZMan screaming after forensics done by sound uponit7771 Apr 2012 #2
It's a 48% chance it was Zimmerman. dkf Apr 2012 #9
the 48% is because they are both male voices. shraby Apr 2012 #10
Geez that doesn't sound like a very good gauge. dkf Apr 2012 #14
The 98% is that it ISN'T Zimmerman. I saw it with the comments by the analyst. shraby Apr 2012 #18
That is correct. nt Quixote1818 Apr 2012 #19
Link? dkf Apr 2012 #20
Go to the 1:30 mark on this video Quixote1818 Apr 2012 #23
That is the reporter trying to explain what the expert says. dkf Apr 2012 #25
I am sorry but you are dead wrong! It's 99% not 98%! Quixote1818 Apr 2012 #24
What could make a straight line cut like that? Solomon Apr 2012 #3
Running thru the bushes when he was chasing Travon crazylikafox Apr 2012 #6
You are NOT seeing a "straightline cut" -- Hell Hath No Fury Apr 2012 #12
Interesting. So he could have been on top after getting his head smashed. dkf Apr 2012 #15
Yes. Hell Hath No Fury Apr 2012 #17
My theory ... 1StrongBlackMan Apr 2012 #4
Further, pulling that gun would be a crime. thus, even if T was mistakenly shot WingDinger Apr 2012 #7
Absolutely ... 1StrongBlackMan Apr 2012 #8
a scuffle, not an ass whipping. joe1991 Apr 2012 #5
One acronym. AMA. When I see one produced nadinbrzezinski Apr 2012 #11
somebody with a gun doesn't have to call for help-- librechik Apr 2012 #13
logic escapes the racist brain noiretextatique Apr 2012 #16
Racism Vs. Stereotyping Life Long Dem Apr 2012 #21
I think it's very plausible that both yelled for help but at different times in the struggle Quixote1818 Apr 2012 #22
My take shimonitanegi Apr 2012 #26

uponit7771

(90,302 posts)
2. It's already been posted that it's 98% chance it's not ZMan screaming after forensics done by sound
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 10:59 AM
Apr 2012

....the law still allows Zman to kill TMartin even after he call no dice during an altercation ZMan started.

The law is extremely vague on WHEN someone has a duty to flee after mutual combat ensues...

Its a horrible law

 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
9. It's a 48% chance it was Zimmerman.
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 12:45 PM
Apr 2012

"The software compared that audio to Zimmerman's voice. It returned a 48 percent match. Owen said to reach a positive match with audio of this quality, he'd expect higher than 90 percent.
"As a result of that, you can say with reasonable scientific certainty that it's not Zimmerman," Owen says, stressing that he cannot confirm the voice as Trayvon's, because he didn't have a sample of the teen's voice to compare."

http://m.cbsnews.com/storysynopsis.rbml?&pageType=general&catid=57407964&feed_id=999&videofeed=999&nb_splitPage=2

 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
14. Geez that doesn't sound like a very good gauge.
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 02:06 PM
Apr 2012

Just saying I haven't seen a 98% probability presented.

Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)
23. Go to the 1:30 mark on this video
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 02:05 AM
Apr 2012

After a few seconds he says the voice comes back with a 99% certainty that isn't not Zimmerman's.

 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
25. That is the reporter trying to explain what the expert says.
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 03:34 AM
Apr 2012

I found this on the 99% probability but I don't know what it meas exactly.

"The controversial killing of teenager Trayvon Martin by neighborhood watch member George Zimmerman has become a national flashpoint for discussions of race and violence. Technology has now entered into the narrative, after an expert in biometric voice analysis said the screams on the 911 most likely did not belong to Zimmerman.

The test was conducted by Tom Owen, of Owen Forensic Services LLC and chair emeritus for the American Board of Recorded Evidence, who was contacted by the Orlando Sentinel. Owen used a software called Easy Voice Biometrics to compare Zimmerman’s voice to the 911 call screams. ”I’ve run it against 300 voices and it was better than 99 percent in all cases,” Owen told MSNBC.

When Owen ran Zimmerman’s voice against the scream on the 911 call he got a 48 percent match. He would have expected a more than 90 percent match if the voice was Zimmerman’s, as the audio on the call is quite good. Owen said he couldn’t compare the screams to Trayvon Martin’s voice, as he did not have an audio sample of the teenager."

http://venturebeat.com/2012/04/02/biometric-voice-analysis-trayvon-martin-george-zimmerman-screams-911/

Solomon

(12,310 posts)
3. What could make a straight line cut like that?
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 11:14 AM
Apr 2012

Zimmerman should get a job doing professional wrestling. They use razor blades like that all the time.

crazylikafox

(2,752 posts)
6. Running thru the bushes when he was chasing Travon
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 11:34 AM
Apr 2012

That's what it looks like to be. There's no bruising, which would have been apparent if it had been the sidewalk.

 

Hell Hath No Fury

(16,327 posts)
12. You are NOT seeing a "straightline cut" --
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 12:59 PM
Apr 2012

What you are seeing is a vertical blood trail. As I mentioned in another thread, I did make-up for film and had to recreate head injuries. The blood trails show he had his head face down at some point while he was bleeding and the trail followed gravity and ran towards his ear. The two small wound origins are quite clear.

 

Hell Hath No Fury

(16,327 posts)
17. Yes.
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 02:15 PM
Apr 2012

At the every least, two neighbors saw Zimmerman straddling Trayvon's body with his hand on his back -- that would mean his head was facing towards the ground and the blood flow followed. He very well could have been onto of Trayvon prior to what the witnesses saw.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
4. My theory ...
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 11:17 AM
Apr 2012

Is similar to your's, except in one respect.

As you state, we know by the 911 recordings that Zimmerman was stalking Martin; but for the purpose of trial, it really doesn't matter whether zimmerman held any particular feelings toward Black folk ... he has not been charged with a hate crime.

The fact that the dispatcher told zimmerman that they did not need him to follow Martin can be used in airing the case before the jury ... "Would a reasonable person take that statement to mean 'don't follow Martin?'."

But a most reasonable explanation came out yesterday. An un-named family friend reported that she believed what she was told by the family, immediately after the killing ... that "it was self-defense ... the gun went off when Martin attempted to wrestle the gun from [zimmerman]." {or words to that effect}

This would suggest that zimmerman followed/stalked Martin and when he caught up to Martin him drew his weapon ... probably to hold Martin captive until the police arrived. Martin, then, did what anyone would do when confronted by an armed stranger, defended himself.

zimmerman had not right to draw a weapon on anyone engaged in lawful conduct, even if he suspected that the person had committed a crime, much less, based on his opinion that the person was acting "suspicious" and "probably on drugs."

IMHO, zimmerman was properly charged and cannot legitimately assert SYG or self-defense, both of which are premised on the shooter being the non-aggressor.

 

WingDinger

(3,690 posts)
7. Further, pulling that gun would be a crime. thus, even if T was mistakenly shot
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 11:45 AM
Apr 2012

Z is responsible, in the same way as a cop killing an innocent in a high speed chase, is charged against the fleeing suspect.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
8. Absolutely ...
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 12:06 PM
Apr 2012

I defendant is responsible for anything that foreseeably flows from their unlawful actions.

Following someone that is not involved in crime conduct, then pulling a gun, even if to hold that person captive until the police arrive, on someone not involved in crime conduct, is on its face unlawful conduct.

And, it is completely foreseeable that your unlawful conduct (armed detention of someone not involved in criminal conduct) might result in your having to use that gun ... even if your firing the shot is to defend yourself from being attacked.

joe1991

(178 posts)
5. a scuffle, not an ass whipping.
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 11:26 AM
Apr 2012

These wounds look more like scratches, perhaps by Trayvon's fingernail, brushes, or a rub against rocks/pavement simiar to a skinned knee.

If the paramedics on scene had thought Zimmy had had his banged against the sidewalk, they would have insisted on taking him to the hospital. When you bang your head, you usually get a "goose egg" (swelling) immediately. If you don't, the worry is that the swelling will happen internally.

We know that the paramedics, who are usually overcautious, didn't even apply a single bandaid, much less insist he be taken to a hospital for observation/treatment.

It will be very interesting to get their testimony. It appears they probably wiped away a few drops of blood that didn't even get down to his shirt, and rubbed or sprayed a topical antibiotic.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
11. One acronym. AMA. When I see one produced
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 12:57 PM
Apr 2012

But we haven't. You are right, medics are I've cautious.

So we got a bloodied zimmy.

noiretextatique

(27,275 posts)
16. logic escapes the racist brain
Fri Apr 20, 2012, 02:14 PM
Apr 2012

black male = automatic threat. it doesn't matter if he has skittles or a cell phone or a wallet, the racist will assume he is criminal.

 

Life Long Dem

(8,582 posts)
21. Racism Vs. Stereotyping
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 01:38 AM
Apr 2012

Difference Between racism and Stereotyping

Racism and stereotyping are quite different from each other. The biggest difference between these is that the racism is unlawful, while the stereotype is even harmful to society, but not punishable.

Stereotyping can be a characteristic of an individual. A person can belong to any religion, nation or race. Racism pertains to origin of a person, his nationality or his group. General characteristics or behaviors are not included in the definition of Racism

Racism

Before 1930, the word was not into much use. It’s about the fact that people think that the functions of different individuals or groups are determined by genetic makeup. This results in a specific genetic race or nationality or ethnic origin and belief that one race is somehow better than the other. This idea or concept or belief that one race is superior to the other is the root of racism. It applies generally, oppression, prejudice, hate or discrimination against a group of people.

In practice, racism, that causes some effects on society are known as racial discrimination. UN considers the racial and ethnic discrimination at the same level. There are many forms of racial discrimination, including institutional racism and economic racism.

Institutional racism refers to the benefits, rights and preferential treatment of a particular race or denial of it to another.

Economic racism refers to the economic benefits of a particular race or the economic benefits declined to a certain race

Stereotyping :.

The word “stereotype” was first used in 1798. Firmin Didot was the person who invented this word and used it for printing. It refers to a print copy of something original in the world of printing.

Stereotyping refers to the belief entertained by the people of a certain type, or a belief in a social group. It is based on certain assumptions that were made for many years and still exist. In simple language, it can be explained as an imprint in the mind of a person or a group of people over another person or group of persons. The reason for stereotyping is a lack of knowledge of the other

Summary :.

1.Racism is based on religion, ethnicity and nationality of a person or group. Stereotyping is based on an idea that is believed by a set of people for another group or a person, regardless of their origin.

2.Racism is illegal, stereotypes are not punishable, even if it has serious consequences.

http://vspages.com/racism-vs-stereotyping-7265/


http://au.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20120104033624AAtSzYw

Not to reflect on the original OP. Just thought this was interesting after reading another post.

I think your right. And if they have witnesses saying it was Trayvon screaming, then I wish Zimmerman luck.

Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)
22. I think it's very plausible that both yelled for help but at different times in the struggle
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 01:51 AM
Apr 2012


Two witnesses clearly saw someone on top in white beating up the other guy early on. Witness John said "the guy on the bottom yelled out to me for help". At this point John and the other witness go inside and locked their doors and the tide of the fight seems to shift to a Zimmerman advantage. My guess is that Martin saw the gun and this is when we really hear him start screaming for help, again this is long after John has gone inside. Martin screams for help realizing this is now a life and death situation. Zimmerman breaks free and shoots.

I see this as man slaughter because with Martin screaming for his life he is clearly signaling he no longer has the upper hand. Zimmerman had a moral obligation to find restraint but instead he fired.

shimonitanegi

(114 posts)
26. My take
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 04:14 AM
Apr 2012

Zimmerman was so frustrated and angered by Martin walking around his neighborhood that he just wanted to do something with this asshole, fucking punk. He didn't know if Martin had a gun or not, but he didn't care because he had a loaded gun. He just snapped out of his murderous anger. When he snaps, he snaps.

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