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Sun Dec 21, 2014, 06:32 PM

Hillary Clinton slips in presidential poll: Was 2014 a bad year for her?



When a politician drops 10 percentage points in the polls in a year, a reasonable assumption is that it has probably not been a very good year.

Then again, “reasonable” has not really applied to Hillary Rodham Clinton’s presumed run for the presidency in 2016.

Since January, Hillary Rodham Clinton has seen the percentage of Democrats and Democratic leaning independents who would vote for her in a primary or caucus drop by 10 points, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Buzz/2014/1221/Hillary-Clinton-slips-in-presidential-poll-Was-2014-a-bad-year-for-her

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)


Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 06:36 PM

2. She's no Elizabeth Warren.

 

She's a hawk and a wall street shill. Yeah, she would be better than Jeb. But dang, we need some fresh blood and fresh ideas. The candidate who runs on fixing income inequality, bolstering civil liberties and healing wounds caused by our justice system will be the candidate who gets my vote.

Hillary isn't that candidate.

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Response to _Blue_ (Reply #2)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 08:24 PM

13. Don't worry, no doubt Hillary's takin acting lessons to start sounding more like Elizabeth. You watch, it's comin.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 06:37 PM

3. No, she has an expected lead.

 

Things will move when the primary is in full force.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 06:40 PM

4. Come primary time...

 

She'll be a distant fifth place among real progressives who will be leading the pack.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 06:43 PM

5. Propaganda! Nothing to discuss.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:10 PM

6. I don't think Hillary will ever be president n/t

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Response to doc03 (Reply #6)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:36 PM

9. Why? As the article says...she STILL towers over the field both the Dems and Reps.

 

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:14 PM

7. Interesting question.

What does 10 points mean right now ? Not much if anything at all. If anything it is an indicator of what not to expect. The last thing the country needs is a repeat of what we saw in the last presidential election. What I mean by that is the sense on entitlement that was clearly evident in the republican stand.Mitt as you may recall seemed to believe the presidency was simply his for the taking. All indicators seemed to point to that,and it was seemingly apparent he wasn't at all prepared for the loss that came down upon them.

And if Hilliary Rodham Clinton is prepared to get out there on the campaign trail in a long exhaustive campaign in the real sense in it,she may very well win the nomination and perhaps the election. And if she demonstrates even just a little bit that it is thought among st insiders that it is a sure thing-meaning a demonstration of a sense of entitlement ,than surely she will lose .

So, it just means it is not simply Jeb Bush's turn or Hillary Clinton's turn to occupy the white house. Every state becomes the show me state .

After all didn't Ted Kennedy say,there is nothing wrong with healthy competition ? He did say that didn't he ? What he didn't say is,- ask this- what would it be without it ?

Clearly you can see it is not all about Hillary on here is it ?

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:35 PM

8. was it a good year for Democrats in general?

 

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:48 PM

10. Regardless of how great her 2015 is, she is likely to leave the year with a much smaller lead.

This is called gravity.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 07:58 PM

11. Only time will tell and the 10 point drop was likely inevitable because the % was and still is high.

The reason I say that only time will tell is that I suspect that her chances in the general election may depend on where Obama's popularity is. If it is low and people say they want a change is is not good for any Democrat. The good news is that - at least with the Gallop poll, his numbers have risen since the election - probably due to the things he has done with executive privilege.

Other than that, I would say that it has been very good for her -- nothing that made her look bad gained much traction and there is still very little competition on the Democratic side and in most polls she beats all Republicans.

Not to mention, personally 2014 had to be a good year for her -- she is a grandmother and she and Bill seem in good health.

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 08:13 PM

12. About a year from now I would expect

One year from now I would expect the polls to look like this:

Clinton 40%
Warren 25%
Biden 15%
Sanders 10%
Others 10% combined

Take Warren out and I think you see Sanders up around 20% and Hillary around 45%

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Response to Jesus Malverde (Original post)

Sun Dec 21, 2014, 08:47 PM

14. These are points and not percentages, and as more throw their hat in the ring it

May change in the future. I know there are predictions and the primary has not happened so too much jumping to know what will happen. I am going with Hillary, she has experience and a good record behind herself, if others want to run they will be held to the same standard.

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