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RandySF

(58,493 posts)
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 12:50 AM Apr 2015

Prediction: Scott Walker will be the Republican nominee.

Scott Walker is where the Republican party is today. He is cruel to unions, the poor and working class Wisconsinites, but can do it calm, photogenic smile. He is not quite as establishment as Jeb nor as outwardly batshit as Cruz. He knows how to channel the resentment of white, working class voters while nestling deep into the Koch Brothers' pockets. The Religious Right and tea baggers both like him. But you know what is most frightening? He knows how to talk to someone who has no health care and, instead of offering to expand medical coverage, he can convince them that the "union bums" don't deserve health health, either. THAT is what the Republican Party wants in 2016.

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EL34x4

(2,003 posts)
11. There's two GOP candidates running:
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 09:21 AM
Apr 2015

Jeb and "Not Jeb". The biggest obstacle Walker faces (Or Cruz, Rubio, Paul and everyone else) is that "Not Jeb" are all competing against one another.

I agree with the OP though. Jeb will get the Wall Street backing but I think he's going to fail to convince Republican voters that this country needs a third Bush at the top of the ticket. His father was never very popular with the base and many Republicans blame GWB for sullying the GOP brand so badly that Ronald Reagan himself couldn't have gotten elected in 2008.

That leaves Walker, who can appeal to both the wingnuts and the more moderate base (the type of people who think Ted Cruz is crazy). I think Paul is running to champion libertarian issues on a national stage and Rubio is running for the VP slot. In the event a "Not Jeb" gets the nod, Marco Rubio is almost guaranteed to be picked for VP. The GOP has no roadmap to victory that doesn't include Florida.

It's still so early to really try to predict who the GOP front runners will be. It is estimated that up to 14 candidates may toss their hats into the ring. Lots of time to stumble and fall or break out into the lead.

 

olddots

(10,237 posts)
3. he is repulsive , arragant and looks like he has a flag pole up his ass
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 01:20 AM
Apr 2015

Yup he will be the maggot candidate .

gotj90

(45 posts)
4. I've given up trying to guess.
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 01:23 AM
Apr 2015

I really don't have a gut feeling about who will emerge from the clown car. I still think there's a chance it could be somebody we aren't even talking about yet. I wouldn't even count out Romney

 

LordGlenconner

(1,348 posts)
6. He's underrated as a contender
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 01:27 AM
Apr 2015

He has the credentials with the far right and can also get those slightly less nutty types as well. Beyond that, he lacks a college education which will be an asset in the primaries. Instant street cred with unimformed and usually angry whites who make up the GOP primary electorate.

How that plays in a general election is less clear.

I still think Jeb is the favorite though.

 

EL34x4

(2,003 posts)
12. I think trying to capitalize on Walker's lack of college degree
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 09:27 AM
Apr 2015

Is ill-advised and may backfire. A lot of voters out there don't have college degrees and playing up the notion that they are somehow "second class" citizens may endear them to Walker even more.

moondust

(19,959 posts)
8. Wall Street likes the Bushes.
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 01:33 AM
Apr 2015

Since Prescott was one of them, and that's where the Bush family fortune comes from, they know a Bush would never do anything against their wishes. Walker could easily win neighboring state Iowa but I'm not sure after that. The billionaires may see Walker as an upstart insufficiently rooted in monied elitism and arrogance.

Gothmog

(144,924 posts)
10. Walker is a college drop out who has a bad record in his own state
Tue Apr 14, 2015, 08:26 AM
Apr 2015

The man has been a bad governor and Wisconsin lags behind the region

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