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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIt’s Hillary Clinton’s Election to Lose
Dylan Byers: On Nov. 8, 2016, Clinton will start start with a minimum 247 of the 270 electoral votes she needs to win. If you give her Colorado and Virginia which many political strategists would, given the Hispanic population in one and the rising influence of the northern-centered population in the other shell start with 269. That means Clinton doesnt need Ohio or Florida. She just needs one small state like Iowa, Nevada or New Hampshire to put her over the edge. And because shes got a boatload of money and no viable primary challenger, shell have plenty of time and resources to lock up at least one of those states.
In order to shift the map, the Republican nominee would have to find a way to win Colorado and/or Virginia. That means winning over Hispanics, which will be a difficult task for a nominee who has spent a months-long primary trying to win over the conservative grass roots. It also means winning over enough members of Virginias white working class to counter the more populated liberal-urban centers in the north. Not impossible, of course, but hard.
http://politicalwire.com/2015/05/07/its-hillary-clintons-election-to-lose/
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Florida may be a toss up.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)NYC_SKP
(68,644 posts)There are so many problems with a Clinton candidacy and the primary battle hasn't even started, really.
Articles like this are a fucking joke.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)No thanks necessary...I love you...
Va Lefty
(6,252 posts)davidn3600
(6,342 posts)...Now I can relax, not campaign, not contribute, heck don't even have to vote.
I mean...it's in the bag, right? So we don't have to worry.
Stargleamer
(1,989 posts)I can get to 245 with these states: CA, MA, NY, PA, WA, OR, ME, NM, DC, CT, IL, MI, NJ, DE, VT, HI, MN, RI, WI and MD.
I go here to tabulate: http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/map/predict.html#states=08G2802Gw00G0aw0y8