Survey USA: Surprisingly close in Oregon between Obama & Romney

[WI_DEM]

In a November match-up between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney for President of the United States, Obama today edges Romney, 47% to 43%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, when the Republican primary was still competitive, Obama is down 3 points; Romney is up 4. Among women, Obama leads by 13; among men, Romney leads by 6 -- a 19-point gender gap. Independents break 4:3 for Obama. In 2008, Obama defeated John McCain by 16 points in Oregon.

Respondents unreachable on a home telephone (17% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. In this research, cell respondents and home phone respondents vote differently. Obama's advantage over Romney comes entirely from cell-phone respondents. Cell respondents are 17 points more likely to vote Obama than are home-phone respondents. Among respondents interviewed on their home phone, the Obama-Romney contest is tied. 68% of the interviews for this survey were completed before President Obama announced his support of same-sex marriage. 32% of interviews for this survey were completed after Obama's announcement.


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=19eb906a-ae83-463b-9daa-3c3bda489d7d

[Old Codger]

1. I doubt

Very seriously doubt that poll, I would have to question where they took the poll for sure, there are small enclaves of ruthugs (I live in one) but Obama will smoke him in Oregon.

[Arugula Latte]

2. Portland and Eugene will smack Willard down hard. He won't win here.

[Dawson Leery]

3. Obama will take at least 54% of the vote in the state.