Democrats to Win in a Landslide in 2016, According to Moody's Election Model

[kpete]

Election Model Forecasts Democratic Landslide

“A small change in the forecast data in August has swung the outcome from the statistical tie predicted in July, to a razor-edge ballot outcome that nevertheless gives the incumbent party 326 electoral votes to the Republican challenger’s 212.”

Just three states account for the change in margin, with Ohio, Florida and Colorado swinging from leaning Republican to leaning Democrat. The margin of victory in each of these important swing states is still solidly within the margin of error though, and will likely swing back and forth in Moody's monthly updates ahead, underlining the closeness of the election to come. Furthermore, three of the candidates for the Republican nomination enjoy favorite-son status in Ohio or Florida, potentially making the outcome of those important states even more unpredictable.

MORE:
http://www.thestreet.com/story/13271435/1/democrats-to-win-in-a-landslide-in-2016-according-to-moody-s-election-model.html

[hobbit709]

1. Without the House and Senate it won't mean much.

No matter who the Democrat elected is, if we don't get control of at least one house of Congress, it will be obstructionism as usual.

[JoePhilly]

2. And if we lose the WH, the GOP goes right back to destroying the country.

[hobbit709]

3. What you mean, go back?

They haven't stopped trying since 1980-or even 1968.

[JoePhilly]

4. They'll be able to do it ... not just try.

Bush nearly destroyed this country in 2 terms.

And every GOP candidate running today wants to finish the job.

If nothing else, a Dem holding the WH prevents them from succeeding.

[Peacetrain]

5. +1111111

Well said..

[onehandle]

6. With a Hillary landslide, we have a good chance of taking back the Senate.

The House is gerrymandered probably until 2022.

[tomm2thumbs]

7. 'The model successfully predicts every election back to 1980...'

... including a perfect electoral vote prediction in the 2012 election.

That was my favorite part

[frylock]

8. So this means that Sanders CAN win the GE.