General Discussion

C Moon

(12,212 posts) Mon Sep 7, 2015, 01:10 PM Sep 2015

I guess weather patterns are still very difficult to predict past a week...

This prediction came out at the end of August (and appears to be way off). In southern California, we're well into the first week of September (as we all are) and we have another recording breaking week of high temps coming, because the jet stream positioned itself in such a way that allows the highs into the west (again), and the colder fronts move down into the mid-west (again). I just hope the jet stream positioning itself like this, won't affect the El Niño event California has been predicted to get. We really need rain.

September Forecast Calls For Warm East, Cool West...
http://www.weather.com/forecast/national/news/september-2015-temperature-forecast

9 replies

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I guess weather patterns are still very difficult to predict past a week... (Original Post) C Moon Sep 2015 OP

Heat coming for northern California, too. Adsos Letter Sep 2015 #1

Saw that. C Moon Sep 2015 #4

The only way to predict weather is through accumulated historical data lunatica Sep 2015 #2

+1000 C Moon Sep 2015 #3

This is another aspect of climate change that I don't think many people understand. n/t ion_theory Sep 2015 #8

Hey California, I'm also in the West and it is in fact much cooler than it was a couple of weeks ago Bluenorthwest Sep 2015 #5

Hope so. I just meant in the past few years, this has been the problem... C Moon Sep 2015 #6

Don't need a forecast to know it'll be hot in September in California REP Sep 2015 #7

It is always—one of the hottest, actually.. But Weather.com was predicting a cool September. C Moon Sep 2015 #9

Adsos Letter

(19,459 posts)

1. Heat coming for northern California, too.

Reply to C Moon (Original post)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 01:26 PM

Sep 2015

105* by Wednesday.

C Moon

(12,212 posts)

4. Saw that.

Reply to Adsos Letter (Reply #1)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 02:27 PM

Sep 2015

lunatica

(53,410 posts)

2. The only way to predict weather is through accumulated historical data

Reply to C Moon (Original post)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 01:34 PM

Sep 2015

But when weather stops acting like it used to, then it's a whole new ball game.

It's like trying to predict how high the new global warming ocean tides will be. It's unknowable, and will continue to be unknowable as global warming causes weather not seen ever before. High tide will simply find it's own level, again and again.

C Moon

(12,212 posts)

3. +1000

Reply to lunatica (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 02:27 PM

Sep 2015

ion_theory

(235 posts)

8. This is another aspect of climate change that I don't think many people understand. n/t

Reply to lunatica (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 05:22 PM

Sep 2015

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)

5. Hey California, I'm also in the West and it is in fact much cooler than it was a couple of weeks ago

Reply to C Moon (Original post)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 03:05 PM

Sep 2015

here. That link talks about the West not about So Cal. You get what you want out of El Nino Oct - Jan, it spikes in that part of the year. I would expect rain.

C Moon

(12,212 posts)

6. Hope so. I just meant in the past few years, this has been the problem...

Reply to Bluenorthwest (Reply #5)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 04:55 PM

Sep 2015

the jet stream has been positioning so that all the storms move around California in the fall/winter/spring.
But, I don't know enough at all, so hopefully you're right!

REP

(21,691 posts)

7. Don't need a forecast to know it'll be hot in September in California

Reply to C Moon (Original post)

Mon Sep 7, 2015, 05:16 PM

Sep 2015

It always is. May and September are always hot as fuck here.

C Moon

(12,212 posts)

9. It is always—one of the hottest, actually.. But Weather.com was predicting a cool September.