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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRepublican Chances in 2016 on Suicide Watch
It is amazing when you consider that when the Republican Party was formed in the late 1850s, its one unifying theme was abolition, the banning of slavery in the United States. By any measure, at the time the elimination of slavery was a very liberal concept. Gradually over time the party of Lincoln moved further and further to the right. That process was greatly accelerated by the defections of very conservative Southern Democrats to the Republican ranks. As the GOP shifted ever further to the right, ultra conservative groups began targeting the most moderate prominent Republicans and drove them one by one from office. The public face of the Republican Party became more and more stridently conservative.
However, throughout this process the Republican establishment remained in control. While voicing the message of social conservatism sacred to many of its rank and file, most of the party leaders concentrated on achieving conservative economic goals and, most importantly, winning control of Presidency and both Houses of Congress. Backed by the big business campaign funding required to win major elections, Republican leaders have been able to keep the radical right extremists at the core of their party centered on nominating electable candidates for national office. Now, however, infuriated by the lack of success of Republican leaders in pushing conservative agendas through Congress and the failures of past establishment Republican Presidential candidates, the rabble rousers of the far right are now in full rebellion.
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yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)Anything can happen with this electorate. Voters are very mysterious and very much unpredictable and love change!
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Rigged elections are the GOP's only hope
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)Left Ear
(81 posts)Hillary wins the Democratic nomination, the Republicans chances jumps up to 65-70%.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)All of the casino's have Hillary as a heavy favorite to take the Democratic nomination. Bernie comes in a very poor second place, but you can get great odds on him.
However, obviously you can get much better odds on Bernie in the general election. They have Hilary out in front while Sanders is in 6th place behind Hilary, Trump, Bush, Biden, (and we don't know if he is running yet), and Rubio.
If you have faith in your predictions, you can turn them into real money. Let us know how much you have won when the elections are over.
demosincebirth
(12,536 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)and I didn't want to see him lose out on a chance to make some real money.