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La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:43 PM Oct 2015

Gun Suicides Plummet in State After New Licensing Law, Skyrocket After Law Repealed in Other State

More stringent gun laws can save lives, while less stringent ones can lead to more deaths. That is the implication of a new study by researchers at Johns Hopkins, who found that gun suicides plummeted after a law in Connecticut requiring background checks for handgun purchases was passed. Gun suicides in Missouri, meanwhile, spiked after a similar law was repealed there.

“Contrary to popular belief, suicidal thoughts are often transient, which is why delaying access to a firearm during a period of crisis could prevent suicide,” said study author Daniel Webster, director of the Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research, in a press release announcing the study’s findings on Tuesday. “Just as research indicates that handgun purchaser licensing laws are effective in reducing firearm homicides, they could reduce suicides by firearms as well.”


http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/09/01/new_study_shows_how_gun_suicides_plummeted_in_connecticut_after_stricter.html

But let's just keep focusing on the one old lady who shot a burglar in the foot
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Gun Suicides Plummet in State After New Licensing Law, Skyrocket After Law Repealed in Other State (Original Post) La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 OP
This is common sense, but nice to see it in writing. randys1 Oct 2015 #1
it's always nice when data demonstrates what we have always been arguing for La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #2
That article fails to mention it has nothing to do with the recent law CT passed for assault weapons iamthe99 Oct 2015 #8
the article was talking about the 1995 data and not the current assault weapons law La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #13
That law is over 25 years old iamthe99 Oct 2015 #3
yes, and? La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #4
Read the article they are trying to use the recent 2013 assault weapons ban passed in CT iamthe99 Oct 2015 #10
no, they are not. here is the relevant paragraph of what the authors of the study did La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #12
Sorry I'm an idiot iamthe99 Oct 2015 #16
Was that all suicides rates or gun? Mojorabbit Oct 2015 #59
Dishonest framing. Suicide is the highest it's been since 1991 and is rising rapidly. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #5
So you support gun-assisted suicide... Human101948 Oct 2015 #41
Of course I do. I should have that right, and so should everyone. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #42
Most people who jump off bridges have a moment as they plummet down regretting their decision... Human101948 Oct 2015 #43
And? Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #44
You believe that Jews are somehow different than people in this country? Human101948 Oct 2015 #46
Of course they are. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #47
Okay, so how are they different that this doesn't apply? Human101948 Oct 2015 #53
Expect the denialists to insist there is *no connection...* villager Oct 2015 #6
You forgot the "5, 4, 3, 2, 1..." Eleanors38 Oct 2015 #11
I take it you're not the sort that regards it as a good thing when suicides choose another method... friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #35
"All Suicides Matter." Eleanors38 Oct 2015 #56
Not to certain posters here... friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #60
But you remembered! villager Oct 2015 #45
Reminds me of Cape Canaveral. Eleanors38 Oct 2015 #57
Are gun suicides more dead where you live? friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #32
Did the overall suicide rate change? MosheFeingold Oct 2015 #7
Yes; Suicides increased and are at the highest rate in over 25 years. n/t Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #9
Some states lower than national average: GA, TX, LA (food's too good to die young!) Eleanors38 Oct 2015 #14
True, and the state medical examiner confirms it: friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #33
The magazine article did get one thing wrong though. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #37
Which magazine article? Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #39
The article in post #5 NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #40
The middle aged lady shot the burglar in both legs, not the foot. pintobean Oct 2015 #15
In CT a private gun owner could sell a handgun to someone iamthe99 Oct 2015 #17
No permit required to own, only to buy. nt NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #19
now it is iamthe99 Oct 2015 #20
Nothing changed on handguns after Sandy Hook. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #21
I think you might be wrong on this iamthe99 Oct 2015 #22
Here. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #23
There are two types of permits. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #25
Yup, but I think you're posting at the wrong fella. I just give links for education purposes. :) n/t Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #26
I just wanted to provide clarity for anyone else reading. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #27
Well it's not that they're draconian. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #28
I can understand the issue with the cost. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #29
See, there's something we can agree on. Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #31
I live in Connecticut and own guns. NutmegYankee Oct 2015 #24
The worst part about CT permits Kang Colby Oct 2015 #34
But did suicides plummet? whatthehey Oct 2015 #18
The number of suicides increased per the state medical examiner: friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #30
So - negative lives saved by draconian gun control laws yet again? whatthehey Oct 2015 #49
More people overall killed themselves, just not with guns. This is a good thing? n/t Decoy of Fenris Oct 2015 #36
no, given the direction that CT suicide rates were going they sharply declined La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #51
Only suicides by gun decreased- overall, suicides by all methods increased friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #52
at a lower rate than the projected rate. had these laws not been implemented the rate of suicide in La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2015 #55
Try another excuse- no "projected rate" was mentioned in the article. friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #61
Its even worse than that Travis_0004 Oct 2015 #38
I find it shocking that anyone would buy into this easily refutable "study" Kang Colby Oct 2015 #48
Suicide is the real open and shut case to me Recursion Oct 2015 #50
How could this be so, given that suicide by other means more than 'took up the slack'? friendly_iconoclast Oct 2015 #62
I see the gun apologists are out in force. alarimer Oct 2015 #54
Of course they are. The same personality matrix that clings to guns also demands the smothering... villager Oct 2015 #58
 

iamthe99

(70 posts)
8. That article fails to mention it has nothing to do with the recent law CT passed for assault weapons
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:56 PM
Oct 2015

The handgun law has been in place in CT 25 years

Some years suicides have spiked , some years it has gone down.

Has nothing to do with the recent assault weapons ban passed in 2013 in CT

 

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
4. yes, and?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:52 PM
Oct 2015

they had to wait till similar conditions were created in a separate state, otherwise it would be hard to compare the results.

 

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
12. no, they are not. here is the relevant paragraph of what the authors of the study did
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 05:01 PM
Oct 2015
The study, published by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research in the October issue of Preventive Medicine, found a 15.4 percent reduction in firearm suicide rates in Connecticut after the passage of a 1995 law requiring individuals to obtain a permit or license to purchase a handgun after passing a background check. Similarly, “Missouri’s repeal of its handgun purchaser licensing law in 2007 was associated with a 16.1 percent increase in firearm suicide rates.”
 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
5. Dishonest framing. Suicide is the highest it's been since 1991 and is rising rapidly.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:54 PM
Oct 2015
http://www.connecticutmag.com/Blog/Connecticut-Today/January-2015/Connecticut-Has-One-of-Nations-Highest-Suicide-Rates-Seeing-Deaths-on-Rise/


Sure, they're not using guns; they're using other means.

To quote someone recently, "it's always nice when data demonstrates what we have always been arguing for".
 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
41. So you support gun-assisted suicide...
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:42 PM
Oct 2015
Perhaps the rate of suicide would have been even higher with easy access to guns.

We know that decreasing access to firearms can reduce suicide rates.


The Israeli Defense Forces, much like American troops, was seeing a disturbing number of suicides in the ranks in 2006. In an effort to bring down the numbers, the IDF banned soldiers from bringing their rifles home with them on the weekends. Suicides fell by 40 percent, according to a study by Israeli psychiatrists.
http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2013/03/suicides-vs-handgun-background-checks

I assume you never had a suicidal thought that passed as the sun came out the next day.
 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
42. Of course I do. I should have that right, and so should everyone.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:45 PM
Oct 2015

If someone -wants- to take their own life, they should have that ability. I've lost three friends to firearm suicides; I stand by my convictions that it was their right to die as they wished.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
43. Most people who jump off bridges have a moment as they plummet down regretting their decision...
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 07:01 PM
Oct 2015
Some survive and go on to have a happy life. With a gun there is very little chance of surviving.

Survivors often regret their decision in midair, if not before. Ken Baldwin and Kevin Hines both say they hurdled over the railing, afraid that if they stood on the chord they might lose their courage. Baldwin was twenty-eight and severely depressed on the August day in 1985 when he told his wife not to expect him home till late. “I wanted to disappear,” he said. “So the Golden Gate was the spot. I’d heard that the water just sweeps you under.” On the bridge, Baldwin counted to ten and stayed frozen. He counted to ten again, then vaulted over. “I still see my hands coming off the railing,” he said. As he crossed the chord in flight, Baldwin recalls, “I instantly realized that everything in my life that I’d thought was unfixable was totally fixable—except for having just jumped.”

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2003/10/13/jumpers

And you ignored the information about the Israeli ban on taking guns home.
 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
44. And?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 07:03 PM
Oct 2015

They should still retain the right to off themselves if they so choose.

And I casually discounted the Israeli thing simply because, last I knew, this wasn't Israel.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
46. You believe that Jews are somehow different than people in this country?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 07:56 PM
Oct 2015

That dangerous territory you're traveling in.

 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
47. Of course they are.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 07:58 PM
Oct 2015

In the same way that Africans in Uganda are different than Americans in America, or Japanese in Japan are different than Americans in America.

You can try to bait me all day long, but people are different. They come from different cultures, hold value in different things, and culture matters.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
53. Okay, so how are they different that this doesn't apply?
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 07:17 AM
Oct 2015

There's some sort of Israeli cultural thing that prevents their soldiers from committing suicide if they don't have a gun? Yet in this country people would be completely different?

 

villager

(26,001 posts)
6. Expect the denialists to insist there is *no connection...*
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:54 PM
Oct 2015

...as per the circa-90's faxed "talking point" sheet they're all still working off of...

 

friendly_iconoclast

(15,333 posts)
35. I take it you're not the sort that regards it as a good thing when suicides choose another method...
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:25 PM
Oct 2015

...even when the overall number of them increases?

What the hell is wrong with you?

<SARCASM MODE> to <OFF>

MosheFeingold

(3,051 posts)
7. Did the overall suicide rate change?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 04:56 PM
Oct 2015

Or were people not jumping off bridges anymore, preferring a shotgun?

Sorry to be crass, but the means of suicide to me is not particularly important; it's the impetus to doing so.

People so inclined will find a way --- I know; I lost a dear relative who was troubled and managed to commit suicide while restrained in a hospital.

NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
37. The magazine article did get one thing wrong though.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:30 PM
Oct 2015

Connecticut is nowhere near the top in the country. It's actually on the low end.

375 suicides in 2014 divided by the 3.597 million people is a rate of 10.4 suicides per 100,000 people. The national average is 12.94 in 2015.

 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
39. Which magazine article?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:36 PM
Oct 2015

Sorry mate, I'm all over the place with links and whatnot today and I've got about 38 tabs open. Care to nudge me in the right direction?

 

iamthe99

(70 posts)
17. In CT a private gun owner could sell a handgun to someone
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 05:09 PM
Oct 2015

without checking to see if the person had a pistol permit.

That changed in 1995 , now to buy or own a handgun you must have a permit

NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
21. Nothing changed on handguns after Sandy Hook.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 05:52 PM
Oct 2015

The 1990s law was just expanded to long guns and the assault weapons ban got stricter. The only other change was a permit to buy ammo, if you already didn't have a separate permit to buy pistol or long guns. There is no handgun registration law and no license to own handguns. The only document required of any gun is the certificate of registration if you have an assault weapon prior to the ban. All owners can keep the assault weapons, they just registered them.

 

iamthe99

(70 posts)
22. I think you might be wrong on this
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 05:54 PM
Oct 2015

I'm pretty sure to even own a handgun in your home you need a permit in CT

NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
25. There are two types of permits.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:00 PM
Oct 2015

One is the eligibility certificate to buy, valid for 5 years. The other is the Concealed Carry Permit, which is considered the "Gold" permit in CT as it's allows for buying both handguns and long guns with no waiting period as well as ammo. And of course, one can carry concealed if they wanted to - typically it's acquired only to transport a handgun by car to a range, a quirk in CT's law originally introduced to combat gangs.

NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
27. I just wanted to provide clarity for anyone else reading.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:06 PM
Oct 2015

People have a tendency to think CT's laws are far more draconian than they really are. They are pretty easy to live with.

 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
28. Well it's not that they're draconian.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:07 PM
Oct 2015

They're thorough, sure, but hardly draconian. My only beef with them is the financial aspect; the government should cover most if not all of the costs of the red tape for owning firearms.

Other than that though, I have only few and middling issues with CT-style gun control.

NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
29. I can understand the issue with the cost.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:13 PM
Oct 2015

Though at the same time, handguns aren't cheap to begin with and are way more than the cost of the permitting (eligibility is $35). I don't want poor people to get disenfranchised at the same time so I wish the state provided the safety courses for free. I'd consider that a good use of taxpayer money to improve safety.

 

Decoy of Fenris

(1,954 posts)
31. See, there's something we can agree on.
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:19 PM
Oct 2015

Personally, I think a government tax break for the purchase and use/inspection of gun safes would be a fantastic way to help cut down on accidental casualties (think children here), but a lot of people won't spend money on things like gun safes or gun locks simply because they're added costs on top of an object that's already rather expensive on the whole.

And Gods know there are a whole bunch of instructors out there like myself who would gladly do free safety courses. If we got paid by the government, then great, but I'd be honored to teach the class without any financial incentives. I know a lot of instructors would do the same.

-That- is the sort of positive "gun control" stuff I can get behind fully.

 

Kang Colby

(1,941 posts)
34. The worst part about CT permits
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:22 PM
Oct 2015

is that local police departments continue to make up "extra requirements" for the application process defined by the state. Despite being told to stop by state officials, they continue to do it. Imagine living in Enfield, and some LEO calls your employer because you want to purchase a firearm.

Then again, with respect to concealed carry Maryland is worse. As a general rule permits aren't issued to the peasant class.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
18. But did suicides plummet?
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 05:13 PM
Oct 2015

Or are the gun suicides extra-dead? Does it matter if people couldn't get guns but used tall buildings or poisons instead? There are many methods of suicide that put other people at more risk than guns.

 

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
51. no, given the direction that CT suicide rates were going they sharply declined
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 01:03 AM
Oct 2015

had they kept going at the rates prior to the 95 laws, we would see far more suicides now.

 

friendly_iconoclast

(15,333 posts)
52. Only suicides by gun decreased- overall, suicides by all methods increased
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 01:26 AM
Oct 2015

It doesn't make it better simply because guns weren't used- the dead are still dead,
and there's more of them:

http://www.ct.gov/ocme/cwp/view.asp?a=2165&q=295120

 

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
55. at a lower rate than the projected rate. had these laws not been implemented the rate of suicide in
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 01:38 PM
Oct 2015

CT would be much higher now.

 

friendly_iconoclast

(15,333 posts)
61. Try another excuse- no "projected rate" was mentioned in the article.
Sat Oct 17, 2015, 01:05 AM
Oct 2015

Suicide is suicide, and it is not 'better' simply because another method is used

 

Travis_0004

(5,417 posts)
38. Its even worse than that
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 06:34 PM
Oct 2015

The law banning handgun permits was passed in 2007.

In 2008, suicide rates went up in ALL OF THE US AND EUROPE.

Since I know nothing about causation and correlation, I can only assume that repealing one gun law in one state led to an increase of suicides in half the globe.

There was also a global financial meltdown, but lets ignore that, since slate says it was caused by one state repealing one law. I can then assume that if we re-pass the law suicides will go back down in half the globe. Except for Japan, they manage suicide just fine without access to guns.

 

Kang Colby

(1,941 posts)
48. I find it shocking that anyone would buy into this easily refutable "study"
Thu Oct 15, 2015, 09:53 PM
Oct 2015

but then I remember how strong confirmation bias is. Gun control advocates are true believers, thus anything that confirms that belief is held up as gospel. Regardless of where it came from.

Who authored this study? Daniel Webster. Daniel Webster has spent his entire professional career in gun control advocacy. http://www.experts.scival.com/jhu/expert.asp?u_id=970

Where does Daniel Webster work? Oh, the *Bloomberg* School of Public Health. A gun control advocate, working in a public health school that is named after the world's most wealthy gun control baron...former NYC mayor Michael Bloomberg.

I don't post "studies" from the NRA for the same reason I would hope gun control advocates would question their own "studies". I haven't read the actual "study" in this case because I can't find it, but Daniel Webster's group often uses basic statistics to cherry pick correlations that align with the gun control world view.

I will present the actual Connecticut suicide data and some basic calculations I performed with Excel. The raw data was taken from here:http://www.ct.gov/ocme/cwp/view.asp?a=2165&q=295126

I adjusted for population changes each year, and the source of the data was taken from here: https://www.google.com/#q=Conneticut+population

The statistics below show the change in the population adjusted suicide rate year over year. For example, between 1990 and 1991 there was a 5.73% increase in the population adjusted suicide rate and between 1991 and 1992 there was a 14.36% decrease in the population adjusted suicide rate.

Additionally, I included summary statistics for 1995-2014 to evaluate the effectiveness of the purchase permit program implemented in 1995 as to align with the "study". I thought it was responsible to include earlier years in the PY change data to show fluctuations prior to the implementation of the gun control law.


PY Change = Change From Prior Year

Year PY Change
1991 5.73%
1992 -14.36%
1993 2.26%
1994 0.32%
1995 1.26%
1996 -10.56%
1997 -0.69%
1998 -5.94%
1999 5.20%
2000 6.66%
2001 -7.40%
2002 -0.35%
2003 -2.09%
2004 12.46%
2005 -7.47%
2006 -5.98%
2007 -7.42%
2008 16.79%
2009 3.92%
2010 12.58%
2011 3.63%
2012 0.27%
2013 -11.29%
2014 6.97%

Geometric Mean Yearly Increase (Compound Annual Growth Rate): .23% (1995-2014)
Mean Yearly Increase: .53% (1995-2014)
Total Increase in the Population Adjusted Suicide Rate (1995-2014) 3.36%


So what did we learn? Total population adjusted suicides increased between 1995-2014 3.36%.

So let me get this straight, suicides go up .23% per year on average, and somehow this is supposed to illustrate that gun control lowers the suicide rate? Looking at this you could come away thinking that gun control increased the population adjusted suicide rate 3.36% between 1995-2014. Now, you'd be wrong, but you would't be any more wrong than the gun control "researchers".

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
50. Suicide is the real open and shut case to me
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 12:57 AM
Oct 2015

There's simply no way to sincerely doubt that correlation: availability of guns leads to higher "successful" suicides, period. And since that's 2/3rds of US gun deaths, a policy that puts suicide front and center could save the most lives.

alarimer

(16,245 posts)
54. I see the gun apologists are out in force.
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 09:40 AM
Oct 2015

Since the CDC is not allowed to fund studies on guns as a public health issue, this is the best we can do for now. I suspect gun nuts don't want really studies because it will show them that in reality, guns are far more dangerous to public health than a lot of other things.

67 children killed accidentally this year. One kid killed another because she wouldn't show him her puppy, because his stupid redneck parents kept a gun within easy reach. One 2-year old shot his grandmother when he found a gun in the seat back of the car.
Again, stupid fucking gun nut people keeping guns unsecured.

How many is enough? Is this kind of collateral damage okay??? Just how many deaths due to guns is okay? 1? 1 million? I guess no amount is too high. Blah, blah, blah "It's MA RIGHTS" Blah blah blah.

 

villager

(26,001 posts)
58. Of course they are. The same personality matrix that clings to guns also demands the smothering...
Fri Oct 16, 2015, 03:05 PM
Oct 2015

...of any meaningful discussion/exchange on the issue.

No "cracks in the edifice" must be allowed!

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