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brooklynite

(94,358 posts)
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 06:10 PM Jan 2016

Trump quietly builds a data juggernaut

Politico:

Donald Trump’s rivals cling to the hope that the surprise GOP presidential front-runner lacks the know-how to lure supporters to the polls, but POLITICO has learned that his campaign several months ago assembled an experienced data team to build sophisticated models to transform fervor into votes.

The team is led by two low-profile former Republican National Committee data strategists, Matt Braynard and Witold Chrabaszcz, and includes assistance from the political data outfit L2, according to multiple sources familiar with the effort. The data push is focused on integrating information Trump has collected, through his campaign website and at voter rallies, on nontraditional or unregistered supporters. It also includes commercial data obtained from the RNC and other sources, in an effort to mobilize voters in key early states, the sources said.

Trump’s campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, who has significant experience in voter registration, declined to comment on the data program. “We don’t discuss internal procedures; however, Mr. Trump has been underestimated through every step of this campaign, to many people’s demise,” said Lewandowski, who ran a pilot registration project for Americans for Prosperity in 2014.

Braynard and Chrabaszcz did not respond to interview requests.


I've stopped believing that Cruz would eventually knock him off his perch in Iowa.
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Trump quietly builds a data juggernaut (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2016 OP
This actually concerned me quite a bit. Shandris Jan 2016 #1
Numbers guys can only increase marginal numbers of voter turnout. geek tragedy Jan 2016 #4
Interestingly, the article indicates that trump's crew are both ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2016 #2
His numbers guys are telling him he's going to lose Iowa, hence the attacks on Cruz. geek tragedy Jan 2016 #3
 

Shandris

(3,447 posts)
1. This actually concerned me quite a bit.
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 06:12 PM
Jan 2016

I'd been clingling to the (diminishing) hope that it was all a joke or publicity stunt. But if he's done this months ago, he's serious. Gulp.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
4. Numbers guys can only increase marginal numbers of voter turnout.
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 07:14 PM
Jan 2016

They can't overcome 5+ points of difference in the polls.

Maybe 2%.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
2. Interestingly, the article indicates that trump's crew are both ...
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 07:09 PM
Jan 2016

seasoned Data Pros and little known neophytes. It's hard to know what to make of this development ... other than, trump is semi-serious about this run.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
3. His numbers guys are telling him he's going to lose Iowa, hence the attacks on Cruz.
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 07:14 PM
Jan 2016

The real question isn't whether he is going to lose Iowa--he will.

The real question is whether he loses NH as well.

If he loses NH, then he's a two-time loser, and a guy whose entire campaign is premised on the fact that he's a winner really can't have that.

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