FiveThirtyEight has issued projections for GOP candidates winning Iowa and New Hampshire...

[brooklynite]

Iowa
Cruz: 44%
Trump: 21%
Rubio: 20%
Bush 5%
Carson: 4%

New Hampshire
Trump: 34%
Rubio: 26%
Cruz: 11%
Katich: 9%
Bush: 9%

Analysis is based on accuracy of polls, polling results and endorsements.

[still_one]

1. wow, bush is no where to be seen.

[saltpoint]

2. There's still time for Jeb to

turn it around. It all depends on how many more of those little turtles he can give out between now and February.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/01/06/politics/jeb-bush-turtle-tortoise-joyful/index.html

[Zen Democrat]

4. I think Jeb had a lot of gall to even dream of being POTUS.

Third person from one nuclear family? Unh-uh. The two previous Bushes started wars in the Middle East; no chance for a third. If he WERE a smart man he should have figured this out. Go home Jeb and enjoy your family. No more Bushes in the White House EVER. And little George P. can forget about any out-of-Texas political future.

The Bush Family = Toxic for America, and ever so be it.

[saltpoint]

6. Yep. Jeb's campaign would have

underscored the adage about "bad news coming in three's," but a third Bush White House would have been unacceptable to progressives. And real, real bad for peace in the Middle East.

Big Money can't fix No Brains.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

9. He should add another exclamation point to his name.

[saltpoint]

12. : ) eom

[Funtatlaguy]

15. Or a colon

In case he pulls victory out of his arse.

[sharp_stick]

3. I'm starting to think Rubio

is going to come out of the pile o' shit as the eventual nominee.

[Hortensis]

8. Very possible. But Trump's still leading in SC and NV.

Last edited Sun Jan 10, 2016, 01:20 PM - Edit history (1)

Florida is a winner-take-all-primary state, and Trump is leading here still - not Rubio.

Funny thing -- the Florida GOP changed from proportional to winner-take-all just before Jeb announced he was running to help get him elected. Now that Jeb has fizzled, they face the real prospect that Trump is going to carry Florida. Dreadful mistake for that reason and also because now the other GOP candidates are mostly not even bothering to campaign in a state which has Trump leading and two candidates from Florida.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

10. That's what the GOP "establishment" wants

They've given up on Bush as a lost cause. Christie is still way in the rearview mirror. They fear that Cruz and Trump could damage the brand for a generation. Rubio talks a good game; could attract Latinos back to the GOP; brings Florida; and -- most important -- will take marching orders from the establishment once elected.

Also -- don't be shocked if he puts Jebster on the ticket as Veep

[FLPanhandle]

5. Fuck. Cruz is the worst of lot.

I hope this doesn't mean he gets momentum if Trump fades.

[PSPS]

7. None of this really matters since all of them will be crushed in the general election.

There's a reason it is being referred to this cycle as, "the booby prize of the GOP nomination."

[Galileo126]

11. I pay no heed...

There are 48 other states. I just don't see how the M$M continues to dictate that Iowa and New Hampshire are relevant, and representative of 300 million people.

Vote! (early and often).

[Vogon_Glory]

13. The Southern Primaries Should Prove Interesting

The Southrn primaries should prove interesting; that's where much of the Rethuglican electoral backbone is found.

I suspect some Iowa or New Hampshire Presidential primary winner is going to find his electoral horse falling well behind.

[Stinky The Clown]

14. I see there's a new guy running in NH: "Katich"

Good thing we have crack news teams following all of this. For sure I never knew there was a new guy who made it to the ballot there.