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kpete

(71,984 posts)
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 01:41 PM Mar 2016

Democrats Are Now Favored To Win Back The Senate Thanks To Trump and Cruz

Stuart Rothenberg examined the shift in the battle for control of the Senate:

Up to this point, the burden of proof has been on Democrats to demonstrate that they can oust four or five Republican senators and win control of the chamber. But now, with Republicans in disarray and the party flirting with selecting a weak general election nominee, the benefit of the doubt has shifted away from the GOP and to the Democrats.

….

At least five incumbent GOP senators from Democratic-leaning or competitive states were facing difficult re-election races this year even under the most favorable circumstances – Mark Kirk of Illinois, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire and Rob Portman of Ohio. A Republican open seat in Florida also looked at great risk.

Add in the deep division within the Republican Party, and the possibility of Trump or Cruz leading the national GOP ticket, and all – or at least almost all – of those races suddenly look much more uphill. In addition, states like North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri and Arizona look more interesting.


http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/democratic-senate-takeover-moves-possible-probable/?dcz

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Democrats Are Now Favored To Win Back The Senate Thanks To Trump and Cruz (Original Post) kpete Mar 2016 OP
I wonder when sharp_stick Mar 2016 #1
what would make their heads explode d_r Mar 2016 #2
Yay! Hatchling Mar 2016 #12
Regardless of the presidential candidate Thav Mar 2016 #3
This is very important. And I don't ignore the House even jwirr Mar 2016 #6
We won't get a filibuster proof majority... Wounded Bear Mar 2016 #14
I don't count my chickens before they are hatched, You and I know that a ton of money will be hollysmom Mar 2016 #4
Each of us should take a good look at our own states to see jwirr Mar 2016 #7
Great idea hollysmom Mar 2016 #8
On the gerrymandered areas we can hope and support the jwirr Mar 2016 #9
Heh I am in NJ helping out my sister backing a candidate in North Carolina hollysmom Mar 2016 #10
Yes, so far I have donated to only one candidate from my jwirr Mar 2016 #11
We have two Dems here in Wash... Wounded Bear Mar 2016 #15
Thank you. jwirr Mar 2016 #16
Just an FYI... Wounded Bear Mar 2016 #17
K&R Zorra Mar 2016 #5
Kander in Missouri looks stronger every day. xmas74 Mar 2016 #13

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
1. I wonder when
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 01:48 PM
Mar 2016

the GOP will decide that they better start looking at some Supreme Court nominees?

The closer this gets to reality the further left the next nominee is going to be. Right now they still have some say in the process, not much but some.

If they lose the Senate the next nominee is going to make Ginsburg look like a centrist.

d_r

(6,907 posts)
2. what would make their heads explode
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 02:19 PM
Mar 2016

is the next president submitting the name Michelle Obama to the democratically controlled senate

Thav

(946 posts)
3. Regardless of the presidential candidate
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 02:30 PM
Mar 2016

THIS is probably a more important outcome of the election. Unless the GOP is unseated from their thrones of do-nothing in the house and senate, we'll get the same old obstruction and lack of any congressional action for the next 4 years. At this point, I'm sure Truman is apologizing to the 80th congress. "I'm sorry folks, but it appears you're downright industrious compared to the current congress."

We cannot sit home this November. We must get out and vote for any senators or representatives we can. Unless congress changes, nothing will.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
6. This is very important. And I don't ignore the House even
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 03:14 PM
Mar 2016

though gerrymandering has made it impossible to take it back. We can get as many good people as possible in the House every election until the next census. Every little improvement is a step closer to change.

Wounded Bear

(58,647 posts)
14. We won't get a filibuster proof majority...
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:24 AM
Mar 2016

I almost hope they nuke that. It has been far overused. I think I'm for a rules change.

hollysmom

(5,946 posts)
4. I don't count my chickens before they are hatched, You and I know that a ton of money will be
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 02:39 PM
Mar 2016

poured into those elections by PACS while Wasserman will only hep out DINOS.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
7. Each of us should take a good look at our own states to see
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 03:17 PM
Mar 2016

if we have real progressives to support in down ticket races. And we need to let others know. I have a list that are connected to Bernie that I am already donating to. Sometimes just young Democratic politicians on the state level.

We need to work on taking the states back also.

hollysmom

(5,946 posts)
8. Great idea
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 03:33 PM
Mar 2016

state wise too many old pols. have to look and see if anyone new is running, mostly I have been redistricted into a republican district so do not see a lot of progressives here,

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
9. On the gerrymandered areas we can hope and support the
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 03:36 PM
Mar 2016

other areas of the state.

I often donate to a candidate more because I want to kick their opponent out than that I know the candidate. For instance I am donating against DWS by donating to her opponent.

Wounded Bear

(58,647 posts)
15. We have two Dems here in Wash...
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:25 AM
Mar 2016

and the one running looks to have an easy path so far.

Can't flip anything here. Hope it happens in some other states, though.

xmas74

(29,674 posts)
13. Kander in Missouri looks stronger every day.
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:16 AM
Mar 2016

Young, handsome, current Secretary of State, nice looking family, etc. (Doesn't always matter about what he believes-sometimes the looks sell.) Proud Democrat who is ready to help his party and wants to help the people. Currently the youngest statewide elected official in the U.S. (Born in '81.)Oh, and the big one-he served. He was an Army Captain, working military intelligence in Afghanistan. His opponent? Roy Blunt. Blunt received deferment after deferment and it's now biting him in the butt. People like a young, handsome, intelligent man with a pretty and highly intelligent wife, an adorable son and a military background to boot.

He's going to give Blunt a run for his money and it's already fun to watch.

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