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HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 08:34 PM Mar 2016

Why Do Many Reasonable People Doubt Science?

We live in an age when all manner of scientific knowledge—from climate change to vaccinations—faces furious opposition.
http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2015/03/science-doubters/achenbach-text

"...

We live in an age when all manner of scientific knowledge—from the safety of fluoride and vaccines to the reality of climate change—faces organized and often furious opposition. Empowered by their own sources of information and their own interpretations of research, doubters have declared war on the consensus of experts. There are so many of these controversies these days, you’d think a diabolical agency had put something in the water to make people argumentative. And there’s so much talk about the trend these days—in books, articles, and academic conferences—that science doubt itself has become a pop-culture meme. In the recent movie Interstellar, set in a futuristic, downtrodden America where NASA has been forced into hiding, school textbooks say the Apollo moon landings were faked.

In a sense all this is not surprising. Our lives are permeated by science and technology as never before. For many of us this new world is wondrous, comfortable, and rich in rewards—but also more complicated and sometimes unnerving. We now face risks we can’t easily analyze.

We’re asked to accept, for example, that it’s safe to eat food containing genetically modified organisms (GMOs) because, the experts point out, there’s no evidence that it isn’t and no reason to believe that altering genes precisely in a lab is more dangerous than altering them wholesale through traditional breeding. But to some people the very idea of transferring genes between species conjures up mad scientists running amok—and so, two centuries after Mary Shelley wrote Frankenstein, they talk about Frankenfood.

The world crackles with real and imaginary hazards, and distinguishing the former from the latter isn’t easy. Should we be afraid that the Ebola virus, which is spread only by direct contact with bodily fluids, will mutate into an airborne superplague? The scientific consensus says that’s extremely unlikely: No virus has ever been observed to completely change its mode of transmission in humans, and there’s zero evidence that the latest strain of Ebola is any different. But type “airborne Ebola” into an Internet search engine, and you’ll enter a dystopia where this virus has almost supernatural powers, including the power to kill us all.

.."


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A good read, which is absolutely fair.

130 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Why Do Many Reasonable People Doubt Science? (Original Post) HuckleB Mar 2016 OP
Because if the earth was round, we'd slide off. Nailzberg Mar 2016 #1
Poor science. HuckleB Mar 2016 #16
No such thing Major Nikon Apr 2016 #97
Because science isn't a priority in school curricula any more. NV Whino Mar 2016 #2
When I was teaching high school social studies Bigmack Apr 2016 #84
They are not reasonable people malaise Mar 2016 #3
Don't dis DRAMA! HuckleB Mar 2016 #4
you struck the nail on the proverbial head TimeToEvolve Mar 2016 #10
Precisely malaise Mar 2016 #24
My thoughts exactly. we can do it Mar 2016 #75
My own uninformed opinion is that its influenced by poor science reporting and lack... Humanist_Activist Mar 2016 #5
I suspect your hypothesis is worth exploring. HuckleB Mar 2016 #6
The media has never helped. Archae Mar 2016 #14
I would add movies and tv along with that Proud Liberal Dem Mar 2016 #35
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #7
Nice try - here's your new hat hatrack Mar 2016 #8
Oh, boy. HuckleB Mar 2016 #11
they are called the laws of thermo-fucking-dymanics!!!!!! TimeToEvolve Mar 2016 #12
the main graph from the Mann paper Angel Martin Mar 2016 #19
That's like "my cancer isn't spreading as fast as the doctors said, so I must not have cancer" progressoid Mar 2016 #20
No, what the data in the Mann paper means Angel Martin Mar 2016 #25
Volcanic activity? Ghost Dog Mar 2016 #27
Temperatures have more or less flatlined? SheilaT Mar 2016 #53
That's the mantra of denialists. HuckleB Mar 2016 #54
Uhhh... NO. You did not read the concluding remarks. Adrahil Mar 2016 #70
+1 HuckleB Mar 2016 #71
+1 n/t Gormy Cuss Apr 2016 #86
Your graph is out of date muriel_volestrangler Mar 2016 #26
Climate science is more complex than you think. Here's is an explanation. Chemisse Apr 2016 #126
Reality is what's still there whether anyone believes it or not bhikkhu Mar 2016 #15
somebody better tell Antartica edhopper Mar 2016 #29
"had put something in the water" awoke_in_2003 Mar 2016 #9
yet it is the Pb they should be worried about it. TimeToEvolve Mar 2016 #13
I was making a awoke_in_2003 Mar 2016 #18
1. They're not reasonable and 2. An outsider describes it best - Richard Dawkins said MillennialDem Mar 2016 #17
Not so fast. EllieBC Mar 2016 #56
Unfortunately, many people with non-science higher educations... HuckleB Apr 2016 #125
The saddest aspect of life right now... progressoid Mar 2016 #21
+1,000... 000 HuckleB Mar 2016 #41
also from Asimov... alp227 Apr 2016 #101
many otherwise reasonable people have a lot invested in doubting science 0rganism Mar 2016 #22
Answer seems simple to me. Money. There's money to be made. Festivito Mar 2016 #23
except the vast majority of people who deny science edhopper Mar 2016 #28
Conservatives don't hate facts. They don't trust facts. DetlefK Mar 2016 #32
good post. edhopper Mar 2016 #63
Didn't mean to say they did. Check out the leader's income from donations. Festivito Mar 2016 #49
I agree that the motivation for edhopper Mar 2016 #62
Because science is everywhere, but few people actually understand it. DetlefK Mar 2016 #30
The scientific method, I don't doubt get the red out Mar 2016 #31
Yes, this is a problem is science reporting. alarimer Mar 2016 #38
Reasonable people do not exist. AngryAmish Mar 2016 #33
They're not reasonable rjsquirrel Mar 2016 #34
Three possible reasons whatthehey Mar 2016 #36
Some aspect of Dunning-Kruger, possibly. alarimer Mar 2016 #37
Science is not about belief. nt bemildred Mar 2016 #39
I don't think numbers have changed, with the intertubes though every fucking idiot has a voice snooper2 Mar 2016 #40
some of it is overreaction to exposed junk science Amishman Mar 2016 #42
It's amazing that the press miscovers most actual science, and then hypes the junk. HuckleB Mar 2016 #43
Because they don't understand it. Avalux Mar 2016 #44
Education in this country is in need of serious reform seanjoycek476 Mar 2016 #45
Look how many people attack GMO foods. former9thward Mar 2016 #46
The article addresses that topic. HuckleB Mar 2016 #50
No, they have all sorts of evidence Major Nikon Apr 2016 #106
It's a disc on elephants riding on the Great Sky Turtle, Atuin. GoneOffShore Mar 2016 #47
In this country we stupidly venerate "faith" over facts. Arugula Latte Mar 2016 #48
It took me about 3 years to convince a friend of my who is smart that "reality TV" LiberalArkie Mar 2016 #51
Oh, goodness. HuckleB Mar 2016 #52
To begin with, science is often not very well taught in high school in the first place. SheilaT Mar 2016 #55
Your explanation doesn't cover the other half. EllieBC Mar 2016 #57
Even in non Bible belt SheilaT Mar 2016 #59
And a lot of it is that even the well educated EllieBC Mar 2016 #61
Yes. Logic and logical thinking SheilaT Mar 2016 #67
Because science is sometimes wrong. kwassa Mar 2016 #58
You've outlined the ways that pseudoscience promoters push mistrust of science. HuckleB Mar 2016 #64
You are incorrect, sir. kwassa Mar 2016 #76
And then you continue to add to the ways that pseudoscience demonizes logic and science. HuckleB Apr 2016 #80
I am not demonizing science at all ... kwassa Apr 2016 #81
Oh, goodness. HuckleB Apr 2016 #82
What are you talking about? kwassa Apr 2016 #83
You're running the pseudoscience justification module to the T. HuckleB Apr 2016 #85
and you are labeling my argument without supplying a cogent and coherent rebuttal. kwassa Apr 2016 #91
I'm not trying to rebut anything. HuckleB Apr 2016 #93
of course not, because your argument doesn't hold water ... kwassa Apr 2016 #94
You don't have an argument. The "science was wrong fallacy" is, well, a fallacy. HuckleB Apr 2016 #99
That wasn't my argument. kwassa Apr 2016 #110
It was, and I understand it perfectly well. HuckleB Apr 2016 #111
Well, continue on in your misbelief. kwassa Apr 2016 #113
You really think you can fool people that easily? HuckleB Apr 2016 #115
Science --> pseudoscience ? Care to give some examples ? Bonx Apr 2016 #95
It was recognized as non-science, or bad science, after it was disproved. kwassa Apr 2016 #96
But none of those were good science to begin with. Bonx Apr 2016 #98
They were good science for their time and place. kwassa Apr 2016 #108
Scientific theory =/ science Major Nikon Apr 2016 #107
I don't disagree. kwassa Apr 2016 #109
The sun may not come up tomorrow Major Nikon Apr 2016 #112
+1 HuckleB Apr 2016 #116
You failed to point out that its the scientific process that corrects for these errors... Humanist_Activist Apr 2016 #87
True, however the history of such reversals creates doubt .... kwassa Apr 2016 #89
If they are doing it due to conflicting evidence or the lack of evidence, that's one thing... Humanist_Activist Apr 2016 #92
I agree completely. kwassa Apr 2016 #114
Folks have been raised to get the truth one time... TipTok Mar 2016 #60
We have to teach the need for challenging our own beliefs, indeed. HuckleB Mar 2016 #65
Thinking is hard! yortsed snacilbuper Mar 2016 #66
Because there is no law in nature that states people have to agree with you or use common sense. Rex Mar 2016 #68
Your gifs are mesmerizing. HuckleB Mar 2016 #73
Thanks, we have some talented gif makers! Rex Mar 2016 #74
Because they are not really "reason"able. Adrahil Mar 2016 #69
You certainly have a good point. HuckleB Apr 2016 #78
It goes against their reliigion! yortsed snacilbuper Mar 2016 #72
In the case of liberals, it's an issue of trust and conflation chade Mar 2016 #77
It's because they aren't reasonable. Act_of_Reparation Apr 2016 #79
Why do so many reasonable people think they will win the lottery when the value goes up? Rex Apr 2016 #88
That's where it starts. HuckleB Apr 2016 #120
Some believe that gut instinct is better than objective evidence sakabatou Apr 2016 #90
In some instances frustrated_lefty Apr 2016 #100
Because science doesn't have a public relations or communications arm. cheapdate Apr 2016 #102
You are definitely on to something here. HuckleB Apr 2016 #103
This is a large part of the problem, one reason it is hard to talk logic to RWingers. Rex Apr 2016 #117
Because they believe science is Satan's religion? B Calm Apr 2016 #104
Or Satan's Helper? HuckleB Apr 2016 #105
To some degree, the "everybody wins" mentality says that the opinion of people who Thor_MN Apr 2016 #118
You're spot on. HuckleB Apr 2016 #119
The letters to the editor are some funny if not depressing reads. Rex Apr 2016 #121
It's called motivated reasoning caraher Apr 2016 #122
A good size chunk of the population LadyHawkAZ Apr 2016 #123
Yeah, that does not help! HuckleB Apr 2016 #124
Because tomorrow's science will disprove today's science... egduj Apr 2016 #127
It can, but that's not necessarily so. HuckleB Apr 2016 #128
Science is a conservative, constructive enterprise. longship Apr 2016 #129
+1 HuckleB Apr 2016 #130
 

Bigmack

(8,020 posts)
84. When I was teaching high school social studies
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 02:29 PM
Apr 2016

my students told me that their science teacher(s) never taught them anything about evolution! I always started my ancient history class with the theory of evolution, and the evolution of hominids... I couldn't believe that the science teachers didn't teach about evolution, but my students swore that they didn't! I always prefaced the bit about evolution with an observation that I didn't care if they "believed" in evolution, but that they had to understand the theory of it! Ms Bigmack

malaise

(268,904 posts)
3. They are not reasonable people
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 08:40 PM
Mar 2016

Millions read nothing -maybe some know a chapter of the bible and their bills -some read the obits and the rest gravitate to the crazy websites because make up shit is way more exciting than 'hurting their heads', by thinking.

TimeToEvolve

(303 posts)
10. you struck the nail on the proverbial head
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:40 PM
Mar 2016

there was always ample good reading material at my home since i was a kid and from that is how i learned the wonders of science.

for these luddites/troglodytes, their epistemological limit both start and end at their local crazy church.

 

Humanist_Activist

(7,670 posts)
5. My own uninformed opinion is that its influenced by poor science reporting and lack...
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 09:13 PM
Mar 2016

of critical thinking skills, in addition to misuses of words like "science" and "scientific".

The media really doesn't help here, perpetuating this silly idea that people's opinions have equal weight with or without evidence backing it up.

Archae

(46,314 posts)
14. The media has never helped.
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:46 PM
Mar 2016

The news media is run by headlines and sound bites, and science doesn't work that way.

Also, outdated and nonsense terms are still used, like "missing link."

Lastly, Entertainment media mostly denigrates science, either someone in science is portrayed as a "mad scientist" who will destroy the world, or a nerd who never gets the girl/guy.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,403 posts)
35. I would add movies and tv along with that
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:00 AM
Mar 2016

Although movies and tv shows don't necessarily pretend to be truthful/real, I think that more people gravitate to "life" as presented in media as it seems more exciting and fulfilling than most average people's existence.

Response to HuckleB (Original post)

TimeToEvolve

(303 posts)
12. they are called the laws of thermo-fucking-dymanics!!!!!!
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:42 PM
Mar 2016

-albedo- -read up on it!! you might learn something

Angel Martin

(942 posts)
19. the main graph from the Mann paper
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 01:28 AM
Mar 2016

the blue, orange and light orange lines are actual temperatures

the black line is the global warming model forecast temperatures.

the forecast is diverging from the actuals. And the actual is now outside the shaded grey area, so the difference is statistically significant = MODEL FAILURE !

the increase in CO2 is not causing the expected temperature increases. Therefore, "Climate Scientists" do not understand the relationship between CO2 and temperature and need to go back to the drawing board.

http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v6/n3/fig_tab/nclimate2938_F1.html

Angel Martin

(942 posts)
25. No, what the data in the Mann paper means
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 06:23 AM
Mar 2016

is that to the extent that there is any warming at all in recent years, it is not connected to rising CO2 in the way that was previously believed.

Temperatures have more or less flatlined, while CO2 concentrations have continued to increase.

This is not bad news, it's good news.

If it is just a delay in warming, then we will have more time to make the necessary changes.

If the warming is not going to happen, then we can stop fretting about "carbon footprints", and just get on with our lives.

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
27. Volcanic activity?
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:00 AM
Mar 2016
... a newly-published study by Massachusetts Institute of Technology scientists reveals that relatively small volcanic eruptions may be mitigating the increases in output of greenhouse gases and slow the rate of global warming by as much as half. In fact, the effect of such volcanic activity may help to explain why the pace of warming has decreased in recent years and fallen short of matching the level predicted by the amount of carbon going into the atmosphere.

The paper, published in the journal Geophysical Review Letters, focused on the effect of the aerosol particles that are pumped into the atmosphere. The scientists used balloons, laser radar, and ground-based measurements to calculate the impact.

The scientists discovered that about a dozen modest-sized eruptions worldwide over the past 15 years may have reduced the warming effect of greenhouse gas emissions by about 0.005 to 0.12 degrees Celsius. Over roughly that same time period, the rate of global warming has slowed, though surface temperatures have continued to rise.

Volcanic eruptions spew sulfur dioxide, which in the atmosphere forms tiny droplets of sulfuric acid — also known as volcanic aerosols, which can block sunlight. While previous studies have noted that effect from small volcanoes, the new study found that the effect is bigger than previously thought...

/... http://news.discovery.com/earth/global-warming/are-volcanic-eruptions-slowing-global-warming-150112.htm
 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
53. Temperatures have more or less flatlined?
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 04:02 PM
Mar 2016

I thought February, last month, was the warmest month on record, followed by January, two months ago.

There has not been a flatlining of the warming, despite what the change deniers want to believe.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
70. Uhhh... NO. You did not read the concluding remarks.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:42 PM
Mar 2016

It has NOTHING to do with that. It's because the models did not properly consider other terms sufficiently. If you're gonna make a claim like that, at least read the whole paper.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,296 posts)
26. Your graph is out of date
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 06:55 AM
Mar 2016

Here, for instance, is the HADCRUT4 graph, up to Jan 2016:



Notice that it has now reached nearly 0.2 degrees C above the peaks it had reached between 1998 and 2011 - ie more or less back at the midpoint of the expected range. Similar results apply to the other data lines.

Chemisse

(30,807 posts)
126. Climate science is more complex than you think. Here's is an explanation.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 04:51 PM
Apr 2016

Notice how this black line starts at a dip in 1993, shoots up toward a peak in 1998, then continues up at that same angle to project the future temperature change. So it starts at the lowest point in that decade, goes to highest point, then predicts the temperature will continue to increase at that same pace.

As it happens, the dip in 1993 was due to a large volcanic event, which blocked a lot of sunlight. The peak in 1998 was thanks to an El Nino year of unusual warmth (we know what that is like right now, don't we?).

Still, the projection does exceed what's happened. How could that be? OMG, is climate warming a hoax.

Well, rather than resort to hyperbole and denial, let's look again at science. Climate is very complex. Scientists did note a flattening period. Possible explanations of factors that could work independently to counteract the CO2 increase effect on temperature are: 1. Oceans may be absorbing the extra heat (and there is evidence for that). 2. The banning of CFCs and consequence rethickening of the ozone layer may have blocked a bit more of the sun's energy from reaching the earth. 3. Eruptions of at least 17 volcanoes since 2000 have blocked varying degrees of sunlight.

That is the problem with deniers. They try to use science, but really don't understand the complexities involved.

bhikkhu

(10,715 posts)
15. Reality is what's still there whether anyone believes it or not
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:51 PM
Mar 2016

Currently, not believing in global warming requires not believing in thermometers, or imagining a vast global conspiracy to lie about the local temperatures.

TimeToEvolve

(303 posts)
13. yet it is the Pb they should be worried about it.
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:46 PM
Mar 2016

if intelligence could be translated into electrical power; CT'ers would not have enough to light a red surface-mount LED to half brightness.

 

MillennialDem

(2,367 posts)
17. 1. They're not reasonable and 2. An outsider describes it best - Richard Dawkins said
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 12:17 AM
Mar 2016

Americans treat DENIAL of science and ignorance of science as not even neutral, but as a badge of honor.

EllieBC

(3,013 posts)
56. Not so fast.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 04:15 PM
Mar 2016

I live in an allegedly enlightened heaven- Vancouver. The water is NOT fluoridated and plenty of educated folks won't vaccinate their kids.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
125. Unfortunately, many people with non-science higher educations...
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 04:20 PM
Apr 2016

... Think they can do science better than actual scientists.

alp227

(32,015 posts)
101. also from Asimov...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 04:38 PM
Apr 2016

"The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that 'my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."

0rganism

(23,937 posts)
22. many otherwise reasonable people have a lot invested in doubting science
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 02:17 AM
Mar 2016

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!" -- Upton Sinclair

Festivito

(13,452 posts)
23. Answer seems simple to me. Money. There's money to be made.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 03:56 AM
Mar 2016

Climate changing: maybe we should cut oil use -- NOT! Oil in pipes means residuals, or as we call it, MONEY!

ACA Obama care: What? And lose billions in income scaring people literally to death into buying overpriced health care. Those CEOs of heath insurance companies make tons mega tons of ... MONEY.

Creationism: Oil must be replenishable since I am told the world is only 6000 years old. So, let's use oil and not bother with wind, tides and solar so that Oil companies can continue to make MONEY.

People don't really hate science, they just hate not loving MONEY.

edhopper

(33,561 posts)
28. except the vast majority of people who deny science
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:01 AM
Mar 2016

are not monetarily gaining from it.
Religion seems to be a much bigger factor.
And in this country, Republicans in general hate facts.

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
32. Conservatives don't hate facts. They don't trust facts.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:11 AM
Mar 2016

Because facts are wild and unpredictable. You cannot tame facts, you cannot bribe them, you cannot coerce them. Facts cannot be controlled and that makes them scary.

Festivito

(13,452 posts)
49. Didn't mean to say they did. Check out the leader's income from donations.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 02:29 PM
Mar 2016

And, the larger organization. They know where their bread is buttered too.

The parishioners follow the leader. They can find themselves shunned if they do not follow, thus, they hate facts.

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
30. Because science is everywhere, but few people actually understand it.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:09 AM
Mar 2016

And so we get half-assed conspiracy-theorists who think it's okay to cherry-pick what data you use when doing science.

Or people who hear "some chemicals are bad" and jump to the conclusion "all chemicals are bad".



People don't understand, people feel powerless, people are secretly afraid.
And so they come up with conspiracy-theories how somebody is using this barely-understood thing to hurt them.

It's basically witch-hunts.

get the red out

(13,461 posts)
31. The scientific method, I don't doubt
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:10 AM
Mar 2016

Nor do I doubt it's evidence in the topics mentioned in the OP. I have seen some studies show up in the media that turn out to be funded by an entity that benefits from a certain outcome and then I wonder if the scientific method was properly employed. This doesn't explain some people's disbelief in science, but it isn't helpful.

alarimer

(16,245 posts)
38. Yes, this is a problem is science reporting.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 09:01 AM
Mar 2016
http://undark.org/

This is a new online science mag that is designed to talk about some of the issues in science reporting. They also have a podcast and in that podcast they talked about some of these. One was press release from the University of Maryland supposedly about a study that showed a certain type of chocolate milk had a protective effect against concussion. Turns out, there was no such study and the university had a relationship with the company.

So, I do have a issue with science funding by corporations. Even if there is no influence there, it does call the legitimacy into question. It shouldn't be allowed for corporations to fund real science outside of the company itself. They should not be allowed to fund university labs or researchers or museums, period. But this is a problem of funding. The government should be funding more science than it is. And for certain topics, it is prohibited from providing funds (stem cell research, guns). So what is the answer in those cases? Money from donors and organizations that may have a vested interest in the outcome. It's really hard. Science is so important, yet we as a people do not provide the finding we need, so it come from questionable sources. And if the government does provide the funding, the Republicans (and others, sometimes) complain about the studies as being silly or frivolous or useless because they don't understand.
 

AngryAmish

(25,704 posts)
33. Reasonable people do not exist.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:35 AM
Mar 2016

For human reasonable means they agree with me.

People be
I've things they want to believe. Everything else is ignored.

 

rjsquirrel

(4,762 posts)
34. They're not reasonable
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:53 AM
Mar 2016

They live in a panicky fear filled world full of bad GMOs and gluten and vaccines and other cry jngs that trouble their beautiful bourgeois natural minds.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
36. Three possible reasons
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:35 AM
Mar 2016

In descending order in the US at least:

1) They are desperately clinging to religious superstition that they know is shown to be nonsense by science, so they reflexively reject the latter.

2) They are just flat out ignorant of basic science and its principles

3) They are desperately clinging to new-agey woo-woo superstition that they know is shown to be nonsense by science, so they reflexively reject the latter.

alarimer

(16,245 posts)
37. Some aspect of Dunning-Kruger, possibly.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:50 AM
Mar 2016

People are too dumb to know how dumb they are.

I also see a lot of logical fallacies, especially confusing correlation with causation and confirmation bias.

But I also think we are not taught critical thinking skills and how to evaluate methodology. I only learned when I took stats.

Someone breathlessly reporting that some chemical is found in, say, 90% of people. But they don't evaluate the study on its merits; sample size for instance, statistical significance, or the actual numbers involved. We have a lot of chemicals in our bodies, but that doesn't mean they are all dangerous at the levels that occur. The dose makes the poison, as they say. Oxygen is poisonous at high enough concentrations.

Something like GMO labeling sounds good, on its face. After all, who doesn't want to know what's in our food? The problems becomes how do you define it, because there are a lot of different methods out there that all fall under the label, none of which have been shown to be harmful and some (golden rice, as I keep harping on) might actually be very beneficial.

 

snooper2

(30,151 posts)
40. I don't think numbers have changed, with the intertubes though every fucking idiot has a voice
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 09:36 AM
Mar 2016

twenty years ago they would have been mumbling to themselves standing outside looking at chemtrails...


Now they can organize

Amishman

(5,555 posts)
42. some of it is overreaction to exposed junk science
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 11:06 AM
Mar 2016

I've seen rebuttals that point out SCIgen and the randomly generated scientific papers that were accepted for publication. And attempts to discredit the scientific process by pointing out things like often conflicting food / health studies.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
43. It's amazing that the press miscovers most actual science, and then hypes the junk.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 11:54 AM
Mar 2016

It's no wonder people who don't know that they need to look further are confused, I guess.

Of course, fear mongers like Food Babe, Mercola, etc... don't help either.

Avalux

(35,015 posts)
44. Because they don't understand it.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 12:00 PM
Mar 2016

Not everyone really gets how the scientific method works; how evidence is used to support hypotheses.

A person may be reasonable, or even educated; doesn't mean they understand.

 

seanjoycek476

(54 posts)
45. Education in this country is in need of serious reform
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 12:17 PM
Mar 2016

I mean, what other country even teaches creationism in their classroom?

Major Nikon

(36,827 posts)
106. No, they have all sorts of evidence
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 07:57 PM
Apr 2016

I've seen quite a bit of it. Some of it is anecdotal accounts of accidentally eating GMO and a psychosomatic reaction. Quite a bit of it is evidence of some kind of "evil" perpetrated 60 years ago. Most of it is from nutbag conspiracy theorists websites parroting out junk science published in obscure predatory "scientific" journals that lack any sort of recognizable peer review and will publish anything so long as you pay their fee.

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
48. In this country we stupidly venerate "faith" over facts.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 01:55 PM
Mar 2016

"Faith" in evidence-less and utter nonsense (myths, supernatural beings, stories from primitive cultures) is treated as a noble trait -- something for all good Americans to strive for -- and anything with a whiff of intellectualism or science is suspect and somehow anti-American.

It's easier to just believe that the omnipotent ruler of the universe has a master plan for the particular species of hairless apes (especially the American hairless apes!) on one little planet in one little galaxy amongst 100 billion galaxies, and leave it at that

LiberalArkie

(15,709 posts)
51. It took me about 3 years to convince a friend of my who is smart that "reality TV"
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 03:56 PM
Mar 2016

is not reality at all. My head still hurts.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
55. To begin with, science is often not very well taught in high school in the first place.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 04:06 PM
Mar 2016

Too often the football coach is the biology teacher, although I know not always. Then, a lot of high schools require only one or two years of a lab science to graduate, so the kids aren't exposed to very much science at all. Third, a lot of school districts/school boards have terrorized teachers into not teaching real science They can't talk about evolution. They can't talk about the real age of the Earth or the Universe.

At home mom and dad probably have forgotten what little they themselves ever learned, and if the family buys into fundamentalist religion, then science is scorned.

The truly incredible thing is that despite all that, this country still turns out world-class scientists and research, and still tends to own the Nobel Prize.

EllieBC

(3,013 posts)
57. Your explanation doesn't cover the other half.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 04:26 PM
Mar 2016

The west coast of of the US and Canada isn't exactly the Bible Belt. not even close.

Yet vaccination compliance rates are higher in Bible Belt states. They are. Considerably lower in west coast states. They are lower in my province, BC. Our compliance rate lags behind eastern canadian provinces.

They don't debate fluoridating water in say...Alabama. But it's enough to give the crunchy well educated west coast dwellers fits. We spend money on fluoride tablets up here because the not even close to religious residents are terrified of fluorine in their water. So we don't have it.

Make no mistake. What should be well educated enlightened people are very prone to being anti-science.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
59. Even in non Bible belt
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 05:15 PM
Mar 2016

areas, teachers are often not comfortable going completely out there with evolution. They just don't want to deal with the crap that they might get from the parents of just one student.

Which comes back to the science not being well taught in the first place, coupled with sometimes lousy textbooks, and a fairly low science requirement of high school students. Even in pretty good public schools.

EllieBC

(3,013 posts)
61. And a lot of it is that even the well educated
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 06:16 PM
Mar 2016

fall victim to the BS from the anti science crew of "Dr" Mercola, Vani Hari, the vaccine-autism douchebag, and the people that think organic food and coconut oil/thieves oil/insert aromatic oil here cure everything from a cold sore to Ebola. They have this weird neo-natural thing where anything produced on a mass level is inherently evil.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
67. Yes. Logic and logical thinking
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:19 PM
Mar 2016

aren't taught in schools, and they should be.

How to recognize various fallacies, for instance.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
58. Because science is sometimes wrong.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 04:57 PM
Mar 2016

The current scientific mantra for healthy living might be reversed tomorrow, for instance.

There is also suspicion of bias when the objectivity of the scientists might be influenced by the views of their employer.

And, there are areas where people want answers that science can't currently provide.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
76. You are incorrect, sir.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 09:11 PM
Mar 2016

Skepticism must be applied to all areas of knowledge, including current scientific claims, with such knowledge subject to revision or rejection.

Ever hear of eugenics? That was considered science, in its era.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
80. And then you continue to add to the ways that pseudoscience demonizes logic and science.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 11:59 AM
Apr 2016

Skeptics understand all of that, but it doesn't mean you can ignore the science.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
81. I am not demonizing science at all ...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 12:05 PM
Apr 2016

But science has a way of becoming pseudoscience when a previously strongly held theory is suddenly disproven. Instantly.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
91. and you are labeling my argument without supplying a cogent and coherent rebuttal.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 03:54 PM
Apr 2016

You are basically engaged in name-calling without responding to my points.

This casts doubt on your OP.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
99. You don't have an argument. The "science was wrong fallacy" is, well, a fallacy.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 04:23 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Fri Apr 1, 2016, 07:32 PM - Edit history (2)

There is nothing to rebut. I have called a spade a spade. I'm sorry you aren't honest enough to acknowledge that.

http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Science_was_wrong_before

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
110. That wasn't my argument.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 09:04 PM
Apr 2016

You just don't understand it. Others here understand what I am saying, and actually respond to it as I laid it out.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
111. It was, and I understand it perfectly well.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 09:05 PM
Apr 2016

I also understand the fact that you won't acknowledge reality here.

I don't care. I've dealt with people like you over and over again.

Bonx

(2,053 posts)
95. Science --> pseudoscience ? Care to give some examples ?
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 04:03 PM
Apr 2016

My thinking says it wasn't science to begin with if it becomes pseudoscience.

Major Nikon

(36,827 posts)
107. Scientific theory =/ science
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 08:27 PM
Apr 2016

A scientific theory is simply an inductive model that attempts to explain something that's observable but isn't provable. Science is the methods used to document evidence of the universe.

Opinions can and should change when new and better evidence becomes available. Some scientific theories will inevitably be disproved once new evidence becomes available. This isn't a weakness of science itself, but rather one of its strengths.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
109. I don't disagree.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 08:47 PM
Apr 2016

Yet lay people are asked to trust scientific authority when it might well be wrong.

Major Nikon

(36,827 posts)
112. The sun may not come up tomorrow
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 09:06 PM
Apr 2016

That's not a good reason to assume it won't. Sometimes it's better to assume what we have is correct until proven otherwise because the consequences of not accepting a reasonable conclusion is greater than doing nothing while waiting for something to be proven which may never be provable. While it may be easy to point out past failures of widely held but flawed ideas, it's a bit harder to imagine where we would be had we not accepted certain premises.

 

Humanist_Activist

(7,670 posts)
87. You failed to point out that its the scientific process that corrects for these errors...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 03:17 PM
Apr 2016

Peer review is specifically designed so that the bias of individuals are minimized as much as possible.

Scientists and science in general does not have all the answers, if it did, it would stop.

Science is best summed up as tentative conclusions about what we think the world is like, and yes, the "scientific mantra" about "healthy living" if there was such a conclusion, could be reversed tomorrow due to the examination of evidence pointing to a different conclusion. So what? That's the strength of science, not its weakness. You seem to want certainty, well you are not going to find it in science, look into religion for that.

kwassa

(23,340 posts)
89. True, however the history of such reversals creates doubt ....
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 03:52 PM
Apr 2016

and as such, people can certainly and reasonably doubt certain conclusions of science. Or at least be reasonably skeptical.

 

Humanist_Activist

(7,670 posts)
92. If they are doing it due to conflicting evidence or the lack of evidence, that's one thing...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 03:56 PM
Apr 2016

but far too many "doubt" science for ideological reasons, which is, to put it bluntly, stupid.

 

TipTok

(2,474 posts)
60. Folks have been raised to get the truth one time...
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 06:12 PM
Mar 2016

... And that was that.

Science grows, evolves and is occasionally turned on its head.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
65. We have to teach the need for challenging our own beliefs, indeed.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:07 PM
Mar 2016

I'm still working on it, but doing so has led me back from multiple pseudoscience based beliefs.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
68. Because there is no law in nature that states people have to agree with you or use common sense.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:25 PM
Mar 2016

Why did people believe NASA bombed the moon? People come up with all kinds of crazy notions and then confirmation bias kicks in.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
74. Thanks, we have some talented gif makers!
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:46 PM
Mar 2016

I've been having fun embedding youtube videos and watching Grumpy Cat and Trump move their hands with the beat!

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
69. Because they are not really "reason"able.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:33 PM
Mar 2016

Most people, ultimately, are outcome-based thinkers. They decide what the desired answer is, and then interpret (or ignore) the facts into order to justify the desired outcome.

Just spend a day in GD-P.

chade

(103 posts)
77. In the case of liberals, it's an issue of trust and conflation
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 09:41 PM
Mar 2016

I think, even if the science holds up, something like GMO's can be a tough pill to swallow for liberal-minded people. Think of all of the institutions that have betrayed us, the ones that we are fighting against every day - the monkey business the financial industry has engaged in, labor's struggles, political corruption. Example after example of big industries using their weight to manipulate our systems of government can be demonstrated. So when the agriculture industry says their stuff is safe, it's a pretty understandable that there be a negative reaction and mistrust to that.

I trust in science, but I think it takes a lot of convincing to overcome those negative thoughts about industry, and I'm honestly not really sure how to go about addressing that.

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)
79. It's because they aren't reasonable.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 11:46 AM
Apr 2016

Intelligent, perhaps, but not reasonable.

These people have no scientific expertise and yet think they know better than people who do. That's not a reasonable position to take.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
88. Why do so many reasonable people think they will win the lottery when the value goes up?
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 03:22 PM
Apr 2016

After thinking about it for a few days, I am sticking with confirmation bias.

frustrated_lefty

(2,774 posts)
100. In some instances
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 04:29 PM
Apr 2016

it may have something to do with blatant conflict of interest.

Association of financial or professional conflict of interest to research outcomes on health risks or nutritional assessment studies of genetically modified products. Food Policy. Volume 36, Issue 2, April 2011, Pages 197–203.

Abstract

Since the first commercial cultivation of genetically modified crops in 1994, the rapidly expanding market of genetically modified seeds has given rise to a multibillion dollar industry. This fast growth, fueled by high expectations towards this new commercial technology and shareholder trust in the involved industry, has provided strong incentives for further research and development of new genetically modified plant varieties. Considering, however, the high financial stakes involved, concerns are raised over the influence that conflicts of interest may place upon articles published in peer-reviewed journals that report on health risks or nutritional value of genetically modified food products. In a study involving 94 articles selected through objective criteria, it was found that the existence of either financial or professional conflict of interest was associated to study outcomes that cast genetically modified products in a favorable light (p = 0.005). While financial conflict of interest alone did not correlate with research results (p = 0.631), a strong association was found between author affiliation to industry (professional conflict of interest) and study outcome (p < 0.001). We discuss these results by comparing them to similar studies on conflicts of interest in other areas, such as biomedical sciences, and hypothesize on dynamics that may help explain such connections.

Research highlights

► Observed relation between conflict of interest and GMO study outcome. ► Funding was not declared in 52% of the analyzed articles. ► Observed relation between funding declaration and author affiliation. ► At least one of the authors was connected with industry in 44% of the articles. ► 8% of articles received funding from industry.

cheapdate

(3,811 posts)
102. Because science doesn't have a public relations or communications arm.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 04:43 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Fri Apr 1, 2016, 10:03 PM - Edit history (1)

The many ways that scientific knowledge is poorly communicated are too numerous to count. It's poorly communicated by accident and by intent. It's miscommunicated to sell products. It's exaggerated to sell fear, and it's dismissed to promote ideologies.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
117. This is a large part of the problem, one reason it is hard to talk logic to RWingers.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 11:27 PM
Apr 2016

Cruz said there has been a “disproportionate increase” since 2009 in funding of earth sciences. There has been an increase — and it is larger than some other NASA areas — but spending on earth sciences is lower now as a percentage of NASA’s budget than it was in fiscal 2000. And the increase reflects an effort to restore funding that had been cut.

Cruz also suggested that the “core mission” of NASA does not include earth sciences. In fact, studying the Earth and atmosphere has been central to NASA’s mission since its creation in 1958.

In criticizing NASA’s spending on earth sciences, Cruz also said the agency needs to “get back to the hard sciences” — meaning space exploration and not earth and atmospheric research. The term “hard sciences” refers to fields including physics and chemistry, which are central to the research being done as part of NASA’s earth science programs.

http://www.factcheck.org/2015/03/cruz-distorts-nasas-mission-budget/

Cruz shuts down Congress and mothballs NASA. The man is a menace.

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
118. To some degree, the "everybody wins" mentality says that the opinion of people who
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 11:30 PM
Apr 2016

don't or won't understand science is just as important as the people who have invested in the knowledge.

People who used to demeaned as idiots now have a place at the table. People like Louie Gohmert, James Inhofe, Jim Sensenbrenner who would have once had careers that didn't require much knowledge now are elected to congress.

The Internet hasn't helped in this. People who once couldn't get a letter to the editor published in a newspaper have the ability to spew their ignorance to the world.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
119. You're spot on.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 12:29 AM
Apr 2016

Ignorance no longer matters, as long as you talk loud and proud on the Interwebs!

It's depressing to see it among progressives, however.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
121. The letters to the editor are some funny if not depressing reads.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 12:20 PM
Apr 2016

You are on to something here, Louie Gohmert might (big might) have the ability to run a gas station at best.

caraher

(6,278 posts)
122. It's called motivated reasoning
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 12:33 PM
Apr 2016

It seems plausible that these people are not reasonable, or scientifically illiterate. Research bears out neither conclusion. Instead, it's worth remembering that we are social animals, and having a secure place in our social order is no trifling matter. So when a scientific finding threatens that order, or one's place within it, at best there is a dilemma - and often the individual's calculation (conscious or not) will fall on the side of maintaining that order.

Research on science literacy and beliefs about climate change, for instance, shows that if you look at Democrats, increased science literacy correlates with stronger beliefs in the threat of human-caused climate change, while for Republicans the opposite is true - science literacy actually increases polarization, rather than acceptance of the science. It seems likely this is because the more science-literate Republicans are also more adept at employing that literacy in the service of convenient self-deception. They can pick at the evidence, convince themselves of alternative explanations, etc.

Yale researcher Anthony Leiserowitz has done a lot of fascinating work on this problem in the context of climate change. Most logical-sounding, simple explanations of the rejection of science actually do not survive scientific scrutiny!

LadyHawkAZ

(6,199 posts)
123. A good size chunk of the population
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 12:58 PM
Apr 2016

is still taught, while still in diapers, that the earth is 6000 years old and evolution is a lie- then they grow up with that subconscious mistrust of science.

egduj

(805 posts)
127. Because tomorrow's science will disprove today's science...
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 05:03 PM
Apr 2016

Just as today's science disproves yesterday's science.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
128. It can, but that's not necessarily so.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 05:24 PM
Apr 2016

And you can't just ignore science and make things up because of that POV.

longship

(40,416 posts)
129. Science is a conservative, constructive enterprise.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 06:17 PM
Apr 2016

New theory does not so much replace old theory as much as it modifies it, improves it.

For instance, Einstein's general theory of relativity is a better theory of gravitation than Newton's. However, that does not stop Newton's theory being good enough to put space probes in orbit -- and land them -- on distant planets. Also, Einstein's version is a bitch to work with.

There are many other examples. The reality is that modern science does not generally throw out the old theories because they still work, within their domains.

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