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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBlowout victory over the GOP on the horizon
For months, Democrats have been watching the GOP presidential primaries with a mixture of amazement and glee, as Republicans went through the process of chaining themselves to an egotistical bully with a disdain for facts and a penchant for statements seemingly designed to alienate major voting blocs. Victory was assured. Democrats only had to ponder how big their triumph over the unelectable Donald Trump would be: Big enough to capture states that have been Republican strongholds, such as Arizona and Georgia? Big enough to deliver Democratic control of the Senate or even the House? Big enough to cause a fatal splintering of the Republican Party?
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/editorials/ct-edit-president-clinton-trump-0601-jm-20160531-story.html
MFM008
(19,803 posts)Endorsed Bush.
A little biased.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)1....Koch Bros monies NOT going to Trump but to the libertarian candidate Johnson...millions and millions...
2.....RNC fundraising has been near NON EXISTENT since trump secured the nomination, the big GOP money is sitting put as they know it will be just thrown away on trump
3....trump is 40 million in debt to himself and now seeking bailout from RNC....unlikely as RNC DOES NOT FUND primary candidates campaigns....
4. the likely hood of $1 billion superpac monies available for trump (like there was for romney) aint happening
5....the likely trump voter and supporter has better things to spend their money on like beer and ammo....
and of course we trump himself...who has declared war on the media and the journalists....pretty dumb tactic when YOU need them more than they need you..Trump can't and won't keep his mouth shut....and he CAN'T be managed....
THE only way trump could win would be for massive and I mean massive numbers of democrats not voting and that is pretty much impossible...as everything that comes out of trumps mouth spurs all democrats to come out to vote.
the likely scenario is hillary wins with between 350 and 400 electoral votes, the conservatives lose congress back to the Democrats....unprecedented numbers of women, hispanics as well as all other minorities vote overwhelmingly for hillary...Gary Johnson takes between 6-8% of the vote with 90% coming from those who might have voted for any other conservative candidate.....several red states move into the purple world...states like Texas, Georgia, South Carolina...hillary could actually win those if Johnson picks up votes in the 8% range....
Amishman
(5,554 posts)I think winning the senate is more likely than the white house.
Even though Hillary is an awful candidate, I still think she will beat Trump
I just don't see us winning back the house though, the deck is severely stacked against us on that one
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)what I see is the massive numbers of women, hispanics, etc that will be voting will also bring the closer House races into the democratic column....we need something like 17 or 18 seats to change hands and hold the ones we already have to gain back the house...Im thinking we could get as many as 24 or 25....as many elections were by 6% or less for the conservative...so a small shift can have major results
DetlefK
(16,423 posts)Trump doesn't need "data" and "research"... He can win this thing by charisma!!!
treestar
(82,383 posts)Refusal to compromise, extremism. That is not a formula for winning.