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Jemmons

(711 posts)
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 04:09 AM Jun 2016

Blowout victory over the GOP on the horizon

For months, Democrats have been watching the GOP presidential primaries with a mixture of amazement and glee, as Republicans went through the process of chaining themselves to an egotistical bully with a disdain for facts and a penchant for statements seemingly designed to alienate major voting blocs. Victory was assured. Democrats only had to ponder how big their triumph over the unelectable Donald Trump would be: Big enough to capture states that have been Republican strongholds, such as Arizona and Georgia? Big enough to deliver Democratic control of the Senate — or even the House? Big enough to cause a fatal splintering of the Republican Party?



http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/editorials/ct-edit-president-clinton-trump-0601-jm-20160531-story.html
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Blowout victory over the GOP on the horizon (Original Post) Jemmons Jun 2016 OP
Conservative paper MFM008 Jun 2016 #1
A blowout victory by DNC would be good. Thinkingabout Jun 2016 #2
this is the way I see it.... beachbum bob Jun 2016 #3
I think we will almost certainly take the senate Amishman Jun 2016 #4
that is most likely a sure one! beachbum bob Jun 2016 #5
Plus, Trump's campaign is negligent towards data and ground-game, contrary to other campaigns DetlefK Jun 2016 #6
The Republicans have shown they are a failure treestar Jun 2016 #7
 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
3. this is the way I see it....
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 06:57 AM
Jun 2016

1....Koch Bros monies NOT going to Trump but to the libertarian candidate Johnson...millions and millions...
2.....RNC fundraising has been near NON EXISTENT since trump secured the nomination, the big GOP money is sitting put as they know it will be just thrown away on trump
3....trump is 40 million in debt to himself and now seeking bailout from RNC....unlikely as RNC DOES NOT FUND primary candidates campaigns....
4. the likely hood of $1 billion superpac monies available for trump (like there was for romney) aint happening
5....the likely trump voter and supporter has better things to spend their money on like beer and ammo....

and of course we trump himself...who has declared war on the media and the journalists....pretty dumb tactic when YOU need them more than they need you..Trump can't and won't keep his mouth shut....and he CAN'T be managed....


THE only way trump could win would be for massive and I mean massive numbers of democrats not voting and that is pretty much impossible...as everything that comes out of trumps mouth spurs all democrats to come out to vote.


the likely scenario is hillary wins with between 350 and 400 electoral votes, the conservatives lose congress back to the Democrats....unprecedented numbers of women, hispanics as well as all other minorities vote overwhelmingly for hillary...Gary Johnson takes between 6-8% of the vote with 90% coming from those who might have voted for any other conservative candidate.....several red states move into the purple world...states like Texas, Georgia, South Carolina...hillary could actually win those if Johnson picks up votes in the 8% range....

Amishman

(5,554 posts)
4. I think we will almost certainly take the senate
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 07:03 AM
Jun 2016

I think winning the senate is more likely than the white house.

Even though Hillary is an awful candidate, I still think she will beat Trump

I just don't see us winning back the house though, the deck is severely stacked against us on that one

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
5. that is most likely a sure one!
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 07:09 AM
Jun 2016

what I see is the massive numbers of women, hispanics, etc that will be voting will also bring the closer House races into the democratic column....we need something like 17 or 18 seats to change hands and hold the ones we already have to gain back the house...Im thinking we could get as many as 24 or 25....as many elections were by 6% or less for the conservative...so a small shift can have major results

treestar

(82,383 posts)
7. The Republicans have shown they are a failure
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 07:18 AM
Jun 2016

Refusal to compromise, extremism. That is not a formula for winning.

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