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Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 05:17 PM Jun 2016

WaPo: Trump hits poll numbers lower than any candidate in the last THREE General Elections.

"There’s no way to look at Trump’s national polling that avoids the grim reality that he is at a lower ebb than any general election candidate has hit in the last three elections," the National Review's Dan McLaughlin wrote last week.

Not only are Trump's poll numbers slipping, they are at a low that no one, Republican or Democrat, has seen in the past three election cycles. Looking at the window of time between 200 and 100 days before each of those elections, you can see that Trump has consistently polled worse than George W. Bush in 2004, John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012. He caught up briefly after clinching the GOP nomination — and then sank again.



The margin by which he trails Hillary Clinton now mirrors McCain's deficit to Barack Obama in 2008. McCain rebounded after the Republican convention — but it's important to remember that we're comparing Trump to the worst Republican performance in a general election since 1996.



There's every reason to think that those numbers will get worse. Trump essentially has no campaign at this point; there's no sign that he has started staffing up significantly. We looked this month at how his staffing compared with the two final Democratic candidates. His campaign was never a traditional, national effort.

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WaPo: Trump hits poll numbers lower than any candidate in the last THREE General Elections. (Original Post) Miles Archer Jun 2016 OP
But he's turning that around. Latest poll shows him surging to 40% support Bucky Jun 2016 #1
"Surging" to 40%!! JoePhilly Jun 2016 #2

Bucky

(53,928 posts)
1. But he's turning that around. Latest poll shows him surging to 40% support
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 07:52 PM
Jun 2016

And his disapproval rating has dropped down to 70% again.

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