Could a UK exit lead to a stronger EU?
I'm wondering about this, it appears that cracks are already forming in the UK for a breakup that will lead to the possibility of Scotland and NI entering the EU and exiting the UK.
The UK has always been a relatively reluctant member of the EU, advocating for a looser union with some of the other states, but being that it voted to leave, that influence will be gone. Scaremongering tactics that are, at best, inaccurate, worked, and a bare majority bought it. Not to mention the largest group to vote for it are the Baby Boomers, who seem to love to fuck over future generations. I digress.
A lot of the right wing, nationalist and xenophobic parties in other countries are already calling for referendums to leave, the question is will they get a lot of traction? Particularly if these countries get an economic boon from Brexit and the UK might fall apart in the next 2-10 years? I'm doubtful on this front, while I do wonder the Brussels will take notice and actually reform the EU. For while the EU is an OK organization, there are a lot of issues that do need to be resolved to alleviate some of the calls for withdrawal in many of these countries, mostly in the form of democratic oversight. If the organization can be responsive to pressure, perhaps the UK can serve as a example of what NOT to do to push for reforms within the EU.
The saddest part of all this is that the people of Wales and England will suffer the most from the fallout of this vote, they are the most dependent, economically, on the EU at this time. It seems odd that they are the countries that voted to leave, but, to draw a comparison with United States domestic politics, the States most dependent on the Federal government for their funding are also the most conservative and are generally the poorest and most likely to vote against their best interests.
But hey, my speculations could be completely wrong, I'm just an ignorant American spouting my opinion.