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Brexit means the last, best chance for a united Ireland. (Original Post) AngryAmish Jun 2016 OP
Powerful song. Those were terrible years...just listening and libdem4life Jun 2016 #1
Dewy eyed claptrap. The Wolfe Tones traded on the misery of 30 years of death, stoking up OnDoutside Jun 2016 #19
Ok, then. libdem4life Jun 2016 #25
It also means an end to the Peace Process. Recursion Jun 2016 #2
and EU membership was a needed respite lapfog_1 Jun 2016 #3
Yup. Scootaloo Jun 2016 #7
It is very easy to find yourself in Northern Ireland without even realizing you've crossed over. MADem Jun 2016 #12
It's going to a field day for smuggling. OnDoutside Jun 2016 #20
All the old tunnels will be opened up again, I suppose! MADem Jun 2016 #26
More a case of expansion ! OnDoutside Jun 2016 #30
Who could've predicted that the English would be responsible for the end of the UK? craigmatic Jun 2016 #4
They will lose all of their colonial and territorial holdings and find themselves a single state. TheBlackAdder Jun 2016 #6
Yup -- Gibraltar voted REMAIN - and they want Independence obamanut2012 Jun 2016 #13
vultures enid602 Jun 2016 #27
Without unification, a border wall might be required, with checkpoints. TheBlackAdder Jun 2016 #5
I don't foresee a break up of the UK. roamer65 Jun 2016 #8
They're already looking into asking for another referendum on independence. MADem Jun 2016 #10
I don't think it would pass. roamer65 Jun 2016 #14
I think it would--the last vote was close, and EU participation wasn't on the line in any event. MADem Jun 2016 #16
What currency will they use? roamer65 Jun 2016 #28
It'll take two or three years to "de-couple," so no worries there. MADem Jun 2016 #29
The pound's not exactly attractive right now, in case you hadn't noticed. Denzil_DC Jun 2016 #31
Brexit means that the big money in Northern Ireland will tolerate a fence between the north and MADem Jun 2016 #9
It's not that simple I'm afraid TubbersUK Jun 2016 #11
Hahahahahahahahahahahahah alcibiades_mystery Jun 2016 #15
Exactly, thank you. Plus there is no appetite in the Republic of Ireland to take them in, we OnDoutside Jun 2016 #21
Colonialism is when another occupies and controls your country. Igel Jun 2016 #17
Bullshit Spider Jerusalem Jun 2016 #18
I agree...TAL! Unrepentant Fenian Jun 2016 #22
Ireland's constitution guarantees freedom of religion and no state religion. pampango Jun 2016 #23
Orrrr... auntpurl Jun 2016 #24
 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
1. Powerful song. Those were terrible years...just listening and
Sat Jun 25, 2016, 10:49 PM
Jun 2016

watching here in the US. And yes, that would certainly go a long way. I've read already that Scotland is moving forward. What a stunning historical event...just overnight practically.

OnDoutside

(19,948 posts)
19. Dewy eyed claptrap. The Wolfe Tones traded on the misery of 30 years of death, stoking up
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 02:18 PM
Jun 2016

anger amongst people who really should have known better. And they did very nicely out it.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
2. It also means an end to the Peace Process.
Sat Jun 25, 2016, 10:50 PM
Jun 2016

The CTA will (possibly) survive, but the peace process border negotiations just got thrown out with the bathwater because they were predicated on intra-EU borders.

lapfog_1

(29,192 posts)
3. and EU membership was a needed respite
Sat Jun 25, 2016, 10:53 PM
Jun 2016

from war... one could cross from Ireland to N. Ireland with almost no difficulty...

Now with Brexit, everything could be walled off again and the old passions ignited.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
7. Yup.
Sat Jun 25, 2016, 11:08 PM
Jun 2016

The outcome here is either a drift towards unity, or a drift towards conflict. And since the old conflict never went away and was only quieted down, I think the latter is unfortunately more likely.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
12. It is very easy to find yourself in Northern Ireland without even realizing you've crossed over.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:42 AM
Jun 2016

There are signs but they're easy to miss. If the speed limit is in miles, you are in Northern Ireland (UK). If it's in Km per hour, you are back in the EU (Ireland).

You'll also see signs for money changers, if you want to get rid of your Euros/pounds.

Quite a contrast with how it used to be, with fences and checkpoints.


MADem

(135,425 posts)
26. All the old tunnels will be opened up again, I suppose!
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 03:32 PM
Jun 2016

That wasn't really a root cellar in Mrs. Murphy's back garden...!

TheBlackAdder

(28,167 posts)
6. They will lose all of their colonial and territorial holdings and find themselves a single state.
Sat Jun 25, 2016, 10:58 PM
Jun 2016

.


Bit by bit, their empire is crumbling. The sun now sets on the British Empire.


.

obamanut2012

(26,046 posts)
13. Yup -- Gibraltar voted REMAIN - and they want Independence
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:43 AM
Jun 2016

And, not to be absorbed back into Spain. Sounds like they want a micro-state deal like Monaco.

enid602

(8,594 posts)
27. vultures
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 03:33 PM
Jun 2016

The Argentines now argue that because the Treaty of Lisbon of 2005 (which gives the UK official control of the Malvinas (Falklands)) was signed by an EU member, it is now no longer in effect. Bankers in NYC, Paris and Frankfurt are licking their chops to take over London's lucrative financial sector. The vultures are lining up to pick off the carcass.

roamer65

(36,744 posts)
8. I don't foresee a break up of the UK.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:08 AM
Jun 2016

A more devolved UK with an associate membership in the EU I do see.

Scots won't want to trade the pound for the euro.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
10. They're already looking into asking for another referendum on independence.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:34 AM
Jun 2016

They're a bit annoyed I should think....

Nicola Sturgeon: second Scottish independence poll highly likely
First minister says it is a ‘democratic outrage’ that Scotland would be taken out of European Union against its will


http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/24/alex-salmond-second-scottish-independence-referendum-is-certain

roamer65

(36,744 posts)
14. I don't think it would pass.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:51 AM
Jun 2016

Turnout was 85 pct on the first one and it didn't pass. Turnout for the EU referendum was MUCH lower.

I also highly doubt they will do the referendum while talks are underway with the EU on a redefined membership. The UK will not leave the EU. The Germans won't allow it.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
16. I think it would--the last vote was close, and EU participation wasn't on the line in any event.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:56 AM
Jun 2016

The noise they are making is that they value the EU more than Westminster. Even the Harry Potter author says she's ready to go.

The article at the link is pretty interesting.


roamer65

(36,744 posts)
28. What currency will they use?
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 03:33 PM
Jun 2016

England will tell them they can't use the pound and gearing up to use the euro would take a least two to three years.

Personally, I think leaving the EU is not possible without the approval of Westminster, the Scottish, Welsh and Northern Ireland legislatures.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
29. It'll take two or three years to "de-couple," so no worries there.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 03:55 PM
Jun 2016

There's been some talk of crafting a Scottish currency (like the old Irish punt) that keys off the British pound, but who knows what they'll do? Maybe they'll just continue to circulate the pound for the time being--it would be in (what's left of) UK's benefit to leave things as they are in that way, at least in the near term. It would certainly make the bookkeeping easier. I simply don't see them saying "You can't use our money." How can they even enforce that?

Look at Ecuador--guess what they use for currency? OFFICIALLY, mind you--not black market, like Venezuela.

The US dollar.

Really--not making it up. The official currency of Ecuador is that Mean Mean Green. It has been thus for sixteen years, now, and they like it--much better than their crappy and volatile sucre that they dumped. It's very convenient if you visit--no moneychanging required at all! And it's not like they're our best buds (remember Evo Morales and his plane games in Europe? And who is that fellow sitting in the Embassy of Ecuador across the street from Harrod's in London?) but hey, we've got the most stable currency in the hemisphere, and they know it.

Denzil_DC

(7,222 posts)
31. The pound's not exactly attractive right now, in case you hadn't noticed.
Mon Jun 27, 2016, 12:14 AM
Jun 2016

We have a number of options. One thing about the SNP is that they plan ahead. Poor as it is, the euro might not be the worst option given what's likely to happen in the next couple of years.

All bets are off. You're relying on the result of a referendum where Scots were told very clearly and repeatedly that they had to vote No to independence or they'd be out of the EU.

There's already a sea change in opinion in Scotland. Media that strongly supported No have swung behind Sturgeon's right to have a second referendum on the table. People who voted No are saying they'd now vote Yes. The SNP's membership has started to grow yet again. Expect opinion polls in coming weeks to bear this out.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
9. Brexit means that the big money in Northern Ireland will tolerate a fence between the north and
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:32 AM
Jun 2016

south again, quite possibly.

Here's the problem--for any entity of the UK to vote to leave the Kingdom in order to make arrangements to stay in the EU, they must GET THE PERMISSION of the PM.

Assuming the next PM is a LEAVE THE EU enthusiast, that won't happen.

About the only solution that might work is if there is a great hue and cry and re-evaluation, and the electorate DEMANDS a PM who will ask for a 2nd referendum on the issue.

No one thought this shit would pass--not even the LEAVE guys, I don't think. They also don't realize how they're not going to have all that good, cheap French and Italian wine in the supermarket anymore, and how shit is going to cost much, much more, and all those subsidies that are partially funded by the EU are going to go away.

It's going to be like Thatcher times, without Thatcher. And the rich will get richer--the people who are afraid of those "furriners" are the ones who will be getting poorer.

TubbersUK

(1,439 posts)
11. It's not that simple I'm afraid
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:40 AM
Jun 2016

It was the unionist areas in NI that voted Brexit, the nationalists supported 'Remain'

Walking through West Belfast last week, I was struck by the roads hung with Union Jacks and 1916 flags (no, not that 1916 - these flags mark the sacrifice of soldiers from the 36th Ulster Division in the Somme), and how many also featured Leave posters in residents' windows. A few streets away, on the Falls Road, the Irish tricolour and Irish-language murals were joined by signs urging voters to back Remain.


Anyone who has spent much time in Belfast recently can't have missed the general geographical distribution of "Leave" and "Remain" posters. And within Stormont, the DUP have been campaigning for a Leave vote and Sinn Féin for Remain.


http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2016/06/your-eu-referendum-vote-could-change-things-forever-northern-ireland

Plus, there are ties between UKIP and the unionists in Northern Ireland:

David McNarry (born 25 May 1948) is the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP) in Northern Ireland. He stood for the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) in North Down in the 1982 Assembly elections but failed to be elected. He was first elected as an MLA for the UUP in 2003 and subsequently re-elected in 2007 and again in 2011, before parting company with the party in 2012 and then going on to join UKIP. He is a former UUP chief whip and education spokesman.

A Northern Ireland Office (NIO) memo released in 2012 described him as "a dangerous nuisance".[1] He is the current Assistant Grand Master of the Grand Orange Lodge of Ireland.[2]


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_McNarry






 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
15. Hahahahahahahahahahahahah
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 12:56 AM
Jun 2016

The Protestants all voted Leave. The Catholics voted remain. Let's see how reunification works under those circumstances.

OnDoutside

(19,948 posts)
21. Exactly, thank you. Plus there is no appetite in the Republic of Ireland to take them in, we
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 02:40 PM
Jun 2016

couldn't afford to take them, even if we wanted to. Just on one issue, their dole (unemployment benefit is £73 (about €90), the dole in the Republic is €188 a week. There are 40,000 unemployed in the North, in a country where 30% of the workforce work for the Public Service. Plus, the UK government gives them a subvention of £5bn a year (20% of the N.I. economic output).

Besides all that, the Unionist population don't want it, so it's a dead issue.

Igel

(35,274 posts)
17. Colonialism is when another occupies and controls your country.
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 01:52 PM
Jun 2016

The Protestants have been there long enough that you can't really say they're colonialists and occupiers. It's their country, too.

It's like the Falklands. Take a vote. They stay in or stay out, but either way its not colonialism at this point.

Remember: The Sioux are in the Black Hills because they engaged in war and ethnic cleansing; their warfare and movement into this territory is documented. We think of them as having indigenous rights to the land because they've been there so long, but the Protestants in Ulster set up shop there a century before the Sioux moved into the area around the Black Hills. Same for the Anglo-Americans in New England. This isn't said to constraint the Sioux and make them vacate their land; it's said to point out that longevity in a territory matters, and we tend to be biased for or against certain races and religions and ethnicities in how we interpret that. Being "fair" sometimes requires being humble before our own principles and ideals instead of revising the principles based on the outcome our emotions want.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
18. Bullshit
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 01:57 PM
Jun 2016

the Protestant majority in NI have been there since the 1600s, it's as much their country as the USA is Americans' (give it back to the Native Americans if you think this is a good idea).

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)
24. Orrrr...
Sun Jun 26, 2016, 02:49 PM
Jun 2016

the last, best chance for vicious sectarian violence. What a fun tossup! I love playing guessing games with people's lives.

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