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NOAA is predictiing a 5-8 foot storm surge with Matthew. (Original Post) jpak Oct 2016 OP
How much of South Florida safeinOhio Oct 2016 #1
Well I lived about 9 miles west of the coast in Palm Beach County titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #2
Is that Palm Beach Hills? safeinOhio Oct 2016 #4
No I lived in West Boca Raton titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #6
This message was self-deleted by its author kestrel91316 Oct 2016 #18
Honestly they should be OK titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #22
Here is where to find an answer! csziggy Oct 2016 #17
We may even get up to 11 feet RockaFowler Oct 2016 #3
Yeah man your area is looking worse than South Florida titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #7
I'm gonna try to stay online RockaFowler Oct 2016 #8
I have a friend in Jacksonville who is brushing off how dangerous this could be mnhtnbb Oct 2016 #14
Well that is always the case with many people titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #16
Send this link to pictures of the Mississippi coast after Katrina csziggy Oct 2016 #24
This message was self-deleted by its author kestrel91316 Oct 2016 #20
Yes further north is worse...and from Melbourne to Daytona it could be REALLy not good. titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #23
Stay safe malaise Oct 2016 #9
Thanks RockaFowler Oct 2016 #11
It is scary mcar Oct 2016 #15
I'm in coastal GA at 25 ft elev and we're leaving today for Augusta. aikoaiko Oct 2016 #5
I hope the folks on the populated barrier islands get out. jpak Oct 2016 #10
When was the last time the Florida east coast took a big hit? TheCowsCameHome Oct 2016 #12
What part of Florida ISN'T low-lying??? Odin2005 Oct 2016 #13
There is a ridge down the center of the state - the Lake Wales or Mid-Florida Ridge csziggy Oct 2016 #21
I've been on other boards and a lot of people are staying maryellen99 Oct 2016 #19
We're 9 feet above sea level and four miles... meaculpa2011 Oct 2016 #25
Wow Huge storm TRUMP-BS-DETECTOR Oct 2016 #26
Best wishes to all and please, please act wisely. JohnnyLib2 Oct 2016 #27

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
2. Well I lived about 9 miles west of the coast in Palm Beach County
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:16 AM
Oct 2016

I was at 11 feet above sea level.

The biggest problem will be homes.business that are on the intercoastal areas and in some areas where the land to the west of the intercoastals my be at or below sea levels.

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
6. No I lived in West Boca Raton
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:42 AM
Oct 2016

My yard was actually butted against the everglades so I was as far west as you could get from the coast. I'm in Ohio now. But just talking to friends down there this morning. Even the local hardcore Floridians are worried about this one.

Response to titaniumsalute (Reply #6)

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
22. Honestly they should be OK
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 10:46 AM
Oct 2016

No worry for storm surge there...probably a lot of rain.

Right now the models are all showing that the storm may be staying slightly more east of PBC which is really good for them.

RockaFowler

(7,429 posts)
3. We may even get up to 11 feet
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:22 AM
Oct 2016

I'm on the Treasure Coast and I'm scared shitless

145 MPH and Storm Surge?!?!?!

I'm about 10 miles inland, but DAMN

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
7. Yeah man your area is looking worse than South Florida
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:44 AM
Oct 2016

It seems to be between about Jupiter and Jacksonville will be hardest hit because of that parallel trajectory to the coast. That usually doesn't happen but the beach erosion, surge, rain, and wind will be felt over a big distance. Keep us posted if you would. Have a lot of friends and former clients along that coast.

RockaFowler

(7,429 posts)
8. I'm gonna try to stay online
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:46 AM
Oct 2016

I can't sleep and I feel nauseous

Winds are starting now - just little bit, not as bad as it will be

mnhtnbb

(31,381 posts)
14. I have a friend in Jacksonville who is brushing off how dangerous this could be
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 09:20 AM
Oct 2016

moved there from Virginia several years ago so has never lived through one of these storms AND probably has long-time Jacksonville neighbors
who aren't taking it seriously enough, either.

I only hope she and her husband come to their senses and get out of there today.

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
16. Well that is always the case with many people
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 09:55 AM
Oct 2016

But at the end of the day it could be very bad. Hopefully a little shear from the west keeps it east.

csziggy

(34,135 posts)
24. Send this link to pictures of the Mississippi coast after Katrina
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 10:53 AM
Oct 2016
https://www.wunderground.com/education/Katrinas_surge_part12.asp

That would convince me to NEVER try to ride out a hurricane near a coast! (As a native Florida resident I have never had any desire to own land near the coast!)

Also send them this Storm Surge Map link: http://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/StorytellingTextLegend/index.html?appid=b1a20ab5eec149058bafc059635a82ee They can zoom in and find where their house is and see how much danger they might be in from the storm surge.

The 145 mph winds will be another matter but if their house was built after Andrew they have a better chance of the roof staying on than with an older house - Florida really increased the building codes after Andrew.

Response to titaniumsalute (Reply #7)

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
23. Yes further north is worse...and from Melbourne to Daytona it could be REALLy not good.
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 10:47 AM
Oct 2016

It is good that those areas have less population but still.

aikoaiko

(34,165 posts)
5. I'm in coastal GA at 25 ft elev and we're leaving today for Augusta.
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 07:37 AM
Oct 2016

Not that I think we will flood, but lower lying areas especially the GA barrier islands, will flood from storm surge and I expect severe power outages and services will need to go to the more needy folks.

I say this because many folks in Florida are in riskier situations and I hope they leave today, too.

Good luck Florida and Georgia coastal folks. Be smart.


jpak

(41,757 posts)
10. I hope the folks on the populated barrier islands get out.
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 08:12 AM
Oct 2016

I was on Sapelo during a tropical storm and watched the surge come in - not a damaging surge, but pretty impressive nonetheless.

Can't imaging an eight foot surge with 10 foot waves...

csziggy

(34,135 posts)
21. There is a ridge down the center of the state - the Lake Wales or Mid-Florida Ridge
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 10:43 AM
Oct 2016

One of the highest point in peninsular Florida is at Bok Tower in Lake Wales, which was built on Iron Mountain, 295 feet above sea level. Most of the ridge is about 60 to 120 feet above sea level.

[link:http://www.archbold-station.org/documents/publicationspdf/Weekley,etal.-2008-FlaSci-LWRboundary.pdf|AN ECOLOGICAL MAP OF FLORIDA’S LAKE WALES
RIDGE: A NEW BOUNDARY DELINEATION AND AN
ASSESSMENT OF POST-COLUMBIAN HABITAT LOSS]

meaculpa2011

(918 posts)
25. We're 9 feet above sea level and four miles...
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 10:57 AM
Oct 2016

from the beach just outside of NYC.

Sandy caused a surge of 13 feet.

I just finishing the repairs now. Almost four years of do-it-yourself renovations.

My parents had eight feet of water in their ground floor. I had to repair their house first. My Mom died soon after and Dad still blames it on the stress caused by the storm.

If you're still in coastal Florida expecting to ride it out... don't. Get out.

Homes can be repaired. Things can be replaced.

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