The impact of the Mormon vote U.S. wide

[duncang]

As with all groups there percentages that only vote democratic or repub.. Some of my in-laws are "liberal" Mormons and they are consistent democratic voters. The father is a union steward and will be voting for Hillary. My sister-in-law converted to Mormonism when they got married. The normally red state Utah race has moved to a tie according to the latest polls. But what affect could the Mormon vote have in other states.

I don't think the other will make much of a change in the electoral vote. With a few exceptions of solidifying Hillary's lead. Some Mormon votes may be added to Hillary's count and others may take votes away from donnie.

The apparent reason for this is the Mormon Deseret news has gone against dipshit, Along with the Salt Lake news, and most of the well known Utah politicians have also revoked endorsements for dipshit.

Percent of population of Mormon faith. I just looked at states with higher then 3% Mormon population. I used the present adjusted numbers from 538 to compare possible changes.

Arizona 6.1%
538 is showing 51% Hillary to donnie's 48%. With individual polls showing leads of 1 to 9% bouncing back and forth between Hillary and dipshit. The Mormon vote could solidify Arizona for Hillary

Hawaii 5.1%
Hawaii is solid blue already.

Idaho 26.4%
Adjusted polls for Idaho have dipshit winning by a margin of 5 to 30%. I don't think it could turn blue.

Montana 4.8%
I am pretty sure there will be little impact here. Most polls have dipshit ahead by 2-22%

Nevada 6.3%
Nevada is light blue with Hillary in the lead on polls anywhere from 1-14%. This could shore up the state for her.

Oregon 3.8%
Already strong blue so doesn't affect Hillary's win here. It may just add to her vote total there.

Wyoming 11.5%
Way to red to have a effect on the state.

Saved Utah with a 68% Mormon population for the last.
Polls are already showing a tie. If more trump tapes or information not sure what impact it would have. Hopefully some more will come out and increase Hillary's chances there. But 538 still shows donnie having a better chance of winning the state.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Church_of_Jesus_Christ_of_Latter-day_Saints_membership_statistics_(United_States)
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

[IllinoisBirdWatcher]

1. Deseret News is YUUUGE.

The Deseret News is owned by the LDS Church. When they take a position we can be assured it is the position of the Church. Their repudiation of tRump and call for him to withdraw is huge for Mormon voters.

Today's Salt Lake Tribune endorsement of Secretary Clinton is also huge, but still not as earthshaking as the Deseret editorial.

[whatthehey]

2. To be honest, Democrats are incidental to this though

Clinton's much-ballyhooed tie is not because people are voting for her. She's polling <2% better than Obama did in 12 against an actual Mormon and 8% lower than he did in 08 against an establishment R.

The only reason this poll is a tie is that Trump pissed off the strait-laced, hardly a trivial slice of the LDS bloc, and because they have a Mormon spoiler candidate on the ballot. The third party slice will collapse a bit and be split probably mostly between Trump and the Mormon golden boy. The most likely end result being a Trump victory just one much narrower than normal Rs get. McMullin is probably the next most likely, as if he can grab Johnson votes (votes dammit votes) he can demonstrate the most loudly that not being acceptable to the LDs has consequences. UT giving its EVs to Clinton as a tiny cherry on the huge slice of Victory Gateau doesn't quite waggle the finger of Moroni as eloquently in the face of the GOP as the first 3rd party EVs since George Wallace nigh half a century ago.