Nate Silver's failed predictions ... all in one place

[broadcaster75201]

Nate isn't the worst by any means. But he seems to be a victim of being wedded to his assumptions that never seem to evolve. He killed it in 2008, but hasn't been the golden boy since.

I read him, from time to time, but I am no longer impressed.

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"Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle™ after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election. But as Silver’s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver’s terrible track record since 2008.

Nobody knows if Donald Trump will win. But one thing that has become clear is that prediction models about elections are virtually worthless. Silver’s current hedging about who will win on Tuesday sounds like word salad."

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http://paleofuture.gizmodo.com/nate-silvers-very-very-wrong-predictions-about-donald-t-1788583912

[StrictlyRockers]

1. Yeah, Nate has been totally accurate with his predictions lately.

Except for all of those times when he was flat out wrong. (many)

[MFM008]

2. I'd rather hear from

George the amazing octopus.

[SunSeeker]

3. Repeatedly (mis)predicting Trump would lose in the GOP primary makes Nate overly cautious now.

I think he is overcompensating for his fuck up.

[broadcaster75201]

4. Think you are spot on. n/t

nt