In 2018, Republicans May Win A Filibuster Proof Senate Majority

[TomCADem]

In 2018, 33 Senate seats will be up for grabs in 2018, 25 of which are currently occupied by Democrats, or Independents who caucus with the Democrats. Only 8 available seats are currently occupied by Republicans. Likewise, House districts have been filibustered to the point that even though Democrats have garnered more votes, Republicans still win more seats. The United States has become a country of progressive apartheid here a minority of extremely conservative voters have managed to consolidate all the power in the U.S.

Yet, if Republicans managed to expand their Congressional majorities in 2018, doesn't this imperil Democratic Presidential chances in 2020 with a Trump administration backed by a Republican Congress using the resources of the Federal Government, and perhaps aided by foreign actors, to persecute Democrats, minorities and progressive groups.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/309295-what-the-2016-election-can-tell-us-about-2018-midterms

Here’s an understatement: The 2016 election was a bit of an anomaly.

Now, that doesn’t mean there aren’t still valuable lessons to learn as we look toward future elections, and we shouldn’t be waiting until 2020 to apply what we’ve learned. The 2018 midterms will be upon us before we realize it, and we’ve already learned plenty that will be helpful in this upcoming cycle.

We have seen the diminishing effectiveness of television advertisements, and have witnessed the newly exposed inaccuracy of current polling methods. We can expect mobile advertising to continue rising in popularity, and TV ads to focus more on addressable advertising, which allows advertisers to serve different ads to different audiences within the same program. We can also expect political advertisers to lean more heavily on data from digital and mobile platforms in the run-up to future elections.

* * *

The polling problem won’t be solved overnight. We’ve learned that polls are not as reliable as we once thought and need to find new ways of supplementing our understanding of voters. In fact, advertisers have been using mobile data for this type of analysis for years. Campaigns must find smart ways to utilize their data, especially now that we can see the cracks in the polling foundation.

[gwheezie]

1. Unless trump has a meltdown

I am concerned about the same thing. Dems will be in worse shape in the midterm. Trump is like an idiot savant & if he can keep up just enough con I don't think he'll have enough time to totally crash.

[TeamPooka]

2. I'll miss America. nt

[uponit7771]

3. Dems will make it easy for them if they don't fight voter suppression

[TomCADem]

4. They Can Fight, But Does It Matter? Republicans Control All Three Branches

They are a minority party, and the Republicans are pretty ruthless about ignoring democratic norms in order to stay in power.

[Wiseman32218]

5. I think it gives the Orangeman and his cronies 2 years for the voters to realize the mess

they caused and will have a lot of regrets. Many Dem seats are up for re-election but I think we can pull it together before then and get a turnout.

[MattP]

6. That's why they are delaying agenda items for 2 years

[roamer65]

7. Bingo.

They are scared of 2018.

[Ohioblue22]

8. If dems don't start falling in line behind the Democratic

Nominee in the general election they will. Maybe they should till they learn to get their sh1t together and stop will the b.s. of "just voting for someone with a d by their name isn't working for me any more." Or "i need something to vote for and not against" or "dems haven't excited me to vote" or I'll vote 3rd party cause I didn't get what I wanted fast enough.
It's ironic how we were talking about the con party falling apart and that they were going the way of the wigs not that long ago.

[JimBeard]

9. I have been worried about this sometime. About the Supreme Court and the Senate. This was the year w

we were supposed to take control of the Senate again and I saw that drifting away and I became very nervous about Hillary a few weeks before the election but everyone here had drank the grape Kool Aid. This was my old name of Jim Beard. It is now the same name without the space. Meltdown problem login back on.

It really hit me because I knew immediately knew what was going to happen.

[Dawson Leery]

10. Cook sees Democrats at an advantage since Rethugs are in power.

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/799701526302380032

[TomCADem]

12. If the Numbers Were Equal, I Would Agree...

...but there are more Democratic seats in play in States that Trump won. Not saying that it is impossible.

[Historic NY]

11. If people don't take mid-terms seriously it will take decades to

return to the accomplishments of 2009-2016....millennial's will be middle aged with college debt.

[hfojvt]

13. sad but true

Democrats could easily lose in
Montana, North Dakota, Missouri, Indiana, and West Virginia - fairly deep red states with Democrat incumbents.
Republicans would seem to have an easier time in many of "their" contested states - Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Texas and Mississippi, and are Tennessee, Nevada, and Arizona really vulnerable, as much as Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Mexico and Florida are for the Dems? 5 of those states went for Trump.

By then though, a bunch of those Trump voters will be feeling some remorse I would guess.

I think it is sad to write off House districts as hopelessly gerrymandered. Some of them may be as tough to win as Wyoming, or North Dakota.

But hey, Obama lost North Dakota in 2012 by 58% to 39% while at the same time a Democrat won the Senate seat!!! If we have the right candidate and/or the right message we can even win in ND.

[davidn3600]

14. Not out of the question considering how bad this party is at mid-terms

Too many people in this party just dont want to vote.