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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDems need to gain 24 seats in 2018 - Find your target now.
Last edited Wed Feb 1, 2017, 12:56 PM - Edit history (1)
Democrats need to gain 24 seats to win back the House a relatively large number given the way districts were drawn at the beginning of the decade. But if the outlook is challenging for Democrats, it certainly isnt impossible.
There are 27 Republican House members sitting in districts in which Mitt Romney drew less than 50 percent of the vote. In another 19 districts, Romney drew between 50 percent and 52 percent.
Not all of those seats will be at great risk for the GOP next year. While Romney drew only 46.3 percent of the vote in 2012 and Trump just 39 percent in Ileana Ros-Lehtinens 27th District, the Florida congresswoman is so personally popular and entrenched that she might win re-election regardless of Trumps popularity.
But it isnt difficult to come up with a quick 20 seats that could be at serious risk if 2018 sees a normal midterm election, with disappointed or angry voters turning out to send a message of dissatisfaction to the president.
That list would include: Arizonas 2nd (Martha McSally). Californias 10th (Jeff Denham), Californias 21st (David Valadao), Californias 25th (Steve Knight), Californias 49th (Darrell Issa), Colorados 6th (Mike Coffman), Floridas 18th (Brian Mast), Floridas 26th (Carlos Curbelo), Iowas 1st (Rod Blum), Iowas 3rd (David Young), Illinois 12th (Mike Bost), Maines 2nd (Bruce Poliquin), Minnesotas 2nd (Jason Lewis), New Yorks 1st (Lee Zeldin), New Yorks 19th (John Faso), New Yorks 22nd (Claudia Tenney), Pennsylvanias 6th (Ryan Costello), Pennsylvanias 8th (Brian Fitzpatrick), Texas 23rd (Will Hurd) and Virginias 10th (Barbara Comstock).
http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/trumps-fast-start-likely-puts-the-house-in-play-in-2018
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fleur-de-lisa
(14,615 posts)bighart
(1,565 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Zing Zing Zingbah
(6,496 posts)But we need some else to run against him. Emily Cain has run against him twice and lost both times.