2018 Midterms Will Depend on National Mood

[DonViejo]

February 9, 2017 By Taegan Goddard48 Comments

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “So much of what happens next year in the House will be determined by the national environment. But Republicans can take heart that as they go into a midterm under a Republican president, they are not nearly as overextended in the House as Democrats were going into 2010. In that election, Democrats were defending 48 seats that John McCain carried in 2008, and they ended up losing the House. Republicans today are only about half as overextended, and it’s an open question as to whether Democrats can legitimately contend for many of these Clinton-Republican seats. And Republicans should have at least a few appealing targets of their own, such as some of the Trump-Democratic districts.”

“Then again, going into the 2006 midterm, Democrats were defending 40 seats that George W. Bush won two years earlier, while Republicans were only defending 18 seats that John Kerry had won in 2004. So the Democrats were overextended based on the previous presidential results in these districts, but it didn’t stop them from taking control of the House.”

###

https://politicalwire.com/2017/02/09/2018-midterms-will-depend-national-mood/

[beachbum bob]

1. 12 months of destruction of american way of life will be enough to spur 2018 change

and democrats must prepare,organize and do it...cut out the whining and handwringing...we have a war to win

[Blue_true]

4. The DNC Chair must hit the ground running.

That person need to identify good local candidates across the country, that requires a lot of work with local democrats all over the country.

[MFM008]

2. Glad the future of the world

Depends on the "mood" of a bunch of morons who voted for him to begin with......

[alarimer]

3. Nah. With any luck, Dems will turn out and Reps will not.

That will matter more than "mood". Or, possibly he's right. Dems will be pissed off and fired up and Reps will be demoralized. This is what I am hoping for, at least.

[sarcasmo]

5. 2018 comes down to the people who didn't vote showing up.

[DavidDvorkin]

6. That's a safe prediction because it's always true.