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FORBES: GOP Grand Scheme On Obamacare Repeal & Tax Reform Quickly Going South
. . .
Follow the bouncing legislative ball.
The January 27 date the budget resolution gave the committees with jurisdiction over Obamacare to report repeal legislation has come and gone with none of the committees reporting anything. More important, because of the deep divisions among and between House and Senate Republicans and the White House on whether to repeal and replace at the same time and what the repealed health plan should be replaced with, it seems increasingly likely that this first reconciliation isn't going to happen any time soon.
In one sense that's not a problem: there's no penalty if Congress misses a reconciliation deadline set in a budget resolution. No matter what the budget resolution says, it has almost unlimited time to comply with the instructions.
The key is "almost." The repeal instructions and the no-filibuster protections from the FY17 budget resolution will only remain in effect until the FY18 budget resolution is adopted.
This is where the grand scheme becomes a huge (or should that be yuge?) problem for the GOP. Congress normally would have a year before it considered the next budget resolution. But, because the scheme calls for the FY18 budget resolution to be considered in about 3 months, Congress has a real problem. If the FY17 reconciliation isn't adopted soon, Republicans might not be able to use reconciliation and would face a certain-to-succeed Democratic filibuster on ACA repeal.
Follow the bouncing legislative ball.
The January 27 date the budget resolution gave the committees with jurisdiction over Obamacare to report repeal legislation has come and gone with none of the committees reporting anything. More important, because of the deep divisions among and between House and Senate Republicans and the White House on whether to repeal and replace at the same time and what the repealed health plan should be replaced with, it seems increasingly likely that this first reconciliation isn't going to happen any time soon.
In one sense that's not a problem: there's no penalty if Congress misses a reconciliation deadline set in a budget resolution. No matter what the budget resolution says, it has almost unlimited time to comply with the instructions.
The key is "almost." The repeal instructions and the no-filibuster protections from the FY17 budget resolution will only remain in effect until the FY18 budget resolution is adopted.
This is where the grand scheme becomes a huge (or should that be yuge?) problem for the GOP. Congress normally would have a year before it considered the next budget resolution. But, because the scheme calls for the FY18 budget resolution to be considered in about 3 months, Congress has a real problem. If the FY17 reconciliation isn't adopted soon, Republicans might not be able to use reconciliation and would face a certain-to-succeed Democratic filibuster on ACA repeal.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/stancollender/2017/02/12/gop-grand-scheme-on-obamacare-repeal-tax-reform-quickly-going-south/#211f91cd7ec7
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