General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2018 United States Senate Election.
Solid Republican
MS (Wicker-R)
NE (Fischer-R)
TN (Corker-R or Halsam-R)
UT (Hatch-R or Chaffetz-R)
WY (Barrasso-R)
Likely Republican
TX (Cruz-R)
Lean Republican
AZ (Flake-R)
Tossup
NV(Heller-R/Marshall-D)
ND (Heitkamp-D/Cramer-R)
Lean Democratic
FL (Nelson-D)
IN (Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
MT (Tester-D)
OH (Brown-D)
WV (Manchin-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
Likely Democratic
ME (King-I/D)
MI (Stabenow-D)
NJ (Menendez-D or Norcross-D)
NM (Heinrich-D)
PA (Casey-D)
VA (Kaine-D)
Solid Democratic
CA (Feinstein-D or Sanchez-D)
CT (Murphy-D)
DE (Carper-D or Markell-D)
HI (Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
MD (Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA (Warren-D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)
RI (Whitehouse-D)
VT (Sanders-I/D)
WA (Cantwell-D)
crazycatlady
(4,492 posts)nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)How about Codey or Pallone?
crazycatlady
(4,492 posts)I like Pallone. I used to live in his district (fuck you redistricting for giving me Chris Smith). I voted for him in the 2013 primary to replace the late Lautenberg.
Codey I like too, but I don't see him going to DC. I'd also like to see Barbara Buono make a go for it.
I agree Menendez needs to go (however, lately his office has been great in response to my phone calls).
angrychair
(8,690 posts)New account with an inflammatory post
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)on the 2018 Senate election with similar info and several sources:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018
angrychair
(8,690 posts)Low post count and no source that shows, implies, that the majority of at risk seats are Dems. Not that much reach. I could care less about Wiki...I wanted to know the specific source for his OP....do not think that is to much to ask.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)the OP only listed 2 seats as "tossup" - 1 Republican and 1 Democrat.
angrychair
(8,690 posts)But they listed the majority of Rs as "strong" or "likely " and the all Dems as "lean". I do not think it is to much to ask for a source.
hvn_nbr_2
(6,486 posts)Copied directly from the OP, with bold highlights for the reading impaired:
Lean Democratic
FL (Nelson-D)
IN (Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
MT (Tester-D)
OH (Brown-D)
WV (Manchin-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
Likely Democratic
ME (King-I/D)
MI (Stabenow-D)
NJ (Menendez-D or Norcross-D)
NM (Heinrich-D)
PA (Casey-D)
VA (Kaine-D)
Solid Democratic
CA (Feinstein-D or Sanchez-D)
CT (Murphy-D)
DE (Carper-D or Markell-D)
HI (Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
MD (Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA (Warren-D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)
RI (Whitehouse-D)
VT (Sanders-I/D)
WA (Cantwell-D)
By my count, that makes 7 "lean Dem", 6 "likely Dem," and 11 "solid Dem".
Not in favor of newbie-bashing, especially with spurious claims based on not reading the post.
angrychair
(8,690 posts)I don't think it's to much to ask for a source. The issue would have been mitigated with a reference source.
FWIW: I didn't "bash" anyone. I acknowledge misreading the OP. That said it could have been avoided with a reference link.
Kingofalldems
(38,444 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,402 posts)I note that Politico has an article up today too that a some potentially "strong" GOP contenders are deciding AGAINST challenging sitting Democrats in some states like Wisconsin and Indiana, reportedly because of Trump.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)FL-Scott-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administration.
Nelson-D will clobber Scott-R like he did to McCollum in 2000,Harris in 2006, and Mack in 2012.
IN-US House members Banks,Hollingsworth,Messer,Rokita,Stutzman,and Walorski.
Donnelly-D defeats either of those candidates.
ME-LePage-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administration.
King-I/D will clobber King-R
MI-Snyder-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administrati or US House members Amash,Miller,Rogers, and Upton.
Stabenow-D defeats Snyder by a high single digit margin, but the other potential candidates by a double digit margin
MN-Paulsen-R
Klobuchar-D will clobber Paulsen-R
MO-US House members Graves,Hartzler,Long,and Wagner.
McCaskill-D defeats either of those candidates.
NJ-Guadagno-R if she loses in the 2017 NJ Governors Race
Whoever wins the Democratic nomination will defeat whoever wins the Republican Nomination?
NM-Martinez-R assuming she does not get a position in the Trump A
Heinrich-D defeats Martinez-R
ND-Cramer-R
Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R is a tossup. Is Cramer a stronger or weaker candidate than Berg 2012?
OH-Mandel-R or Kasich-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump Administration.
Brown-D defeats Mandel-R like he did in 2012.
Brown-D vs Kasich-R is a tossup with Brown narrowly winning.
PA-US House members Barletta or Marino.
Casey-D defeats either of those candidates.
VA- Fiorina-R or Ingraham-R
Kaine-D clobbers either of those candidates.
WV-US House members Jenkins,McKinley or Mooney.
Manchin-D defeats either of those candidates.
WI-US House members Gallagher or Grossman.
Baldwin-D defeats either of those candidates.
Top tier Senate Democratic recruitment in 2018
AZ-Synema-D
Flake-R vs Synema-D is a tossup
Ward-R vs Synema-D is a Lean Democratic gain.
NV-Marshall-D
Heck-R vs Marshall-D is a tossup
TX-Joaquin Castro-D or Beto O'Rourke-D
Cruz defeats either of those candidates.
UT-Matheson-D
A 3 way race between, Matheson-D,McMullin-I, and Chaffetz-R is a race to watch.
How would former US Rep Bright-AL or Davis-AL do against Strange-R?
Blue_Adept
(6,397 posts)Don't count on any solid Democratic. Really, that's just bad in general.