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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 10:09 AM Feb 2017

2018 United States Senate Election.

Solid Republican
MS (Wicker-R)
NE (Fischer-R)
TN (Corker-R or Halsam-R)
UT (Hatch-R or Chaffetz-R)
WY (Barrasso-R)
Likely Republican
TX (Cruz-R)
Lean Republican
AZ (Flake-R)
Tossup
NV(Heller-R/Marshall-D)
ND (Heitkamp-D/Cramer-R)
Lean Democratic
FL (Nelson-D)
IN (Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
MT (Tester-D)
OH (Brown-D)
WV (Manchin-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
Likely Democratic
ME (King-I/D)
MI (Stabenow-D)
NJ (Menendez-D or Norcross-D)
NM (Heinrich-D)
PA (Casey-D)
VA (Kaine-D)
Solid Democratic
CA (Feinstein-D or Sanchez-D)
CT (Murphy-D)
DE (Carper-D or Markell-D)
HI (Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
MD (Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA (Warren-D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)
RI (Whitehouse-D)
VT (Sanders-I/D)
WA (Cantwell-D)


16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
2018 United States Senate Election. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Feb 2017 OP
Please no Norcross in NJ crazycatlady Feb 2017 #1
Menendez-NJ is going to resign late 2017/early 2018 nkpolitics1212 Feb 2017 #9
I can live with either of them crazycatlady Feb 2017 #10
Source please angrychair Feb 2017 #2
What was "inflammatory" about it? Wikipedia has a page... PoliticAverse Feb 2017 #3
New account angrychair Feb 2017 #5
There are 23 Democratic Senate seats up for election in 2018 and only 9 Republican... PoliticAverse Feb 2017 #6
True angrychair Feb 2017 #7
No, they did not list all the Dems as "lean" hvn_nbr_2 Feb 2017 #11
At the end of the day angrychair Feb 2017 #16
Looks like a meme. DU has been swamped with this 'information' for months now. Kingofalldems Feb 2017 #14
Looks pretty good so far Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2017 #4
Top Tier Senate Republican recruitment in 2018 nkpolitics1212 Feb 2017 #12
Warren is not safe Blue_Adept Feb 2017 #8
Warren defeats Schilling by at least a double digit margin. nkpolitics1212 Feb 2017 #13
Retaking the Senate will be hard but we need to put everything into it to save the nation. hrmjustin Feb 2017 #15

crazycatlady

(4,492 posts)
10. I can live with either of them
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 07:42 PM
Feb 2017

I like Pallone. I used to live in his district (fuck you redistricting for giving me Chris Smith). I voted for him in the 2013 primary to replace the late Lautenberg.

Codey I like too, but I don't see him going to DC. I'd also like to see Barbara Buono make a go for it.

I agree Menendez needs to go (however, lately his office has been great in response to my phone calls).

angrychair

(8,690 posts)
5. New account
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 11:15 AM
Feb 2017

Low post count and no source that shows, implies, that the majority of at risk seats are Dems. Not that much reach. I could care less about Wiki...I wanted to know the specific source for his OP....do not think that is to much to ask.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
6. There are 23 Democratic Senate seats up for election in 2018 and only 9 Republican...
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 11:20 AM
Feb 2017

the OP only listed 2 seats as "tossup" - 1 Republican and 1 Democrat.

angrychair

(8,690 posts)
7. True
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 11:24 AM
Feb 2017

But they listed the majority of Rs as "strong" or "likely " and the all Dems as "lean". I do not think it is to much to ask for a source.

hvn_nbr_2

(6,486 posts)
11. No, they did not list all the Dems as "lean"
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 07:58 PM
Feb 2017

Copied directly from the OP, with bold highlights for the reading impaired:
Lean Democratic
FL (Nelson-D)
IN (Donnelly-D)
MO (McCaskill-D)
MT (Tester-D)
OH (Brown-D)
WV (Manchin-D)
WI (Baldwin-D)
Likely Democratic
ME (King-I/D)
MI (Stabenow-D)
NJ (Menendez-D or Norcross-D)
NM (Heinrich-D)
PA (Casey-D)
VA (Kaine-D)
Solid Democratic
CA (Feinstein-D or Sanchez-D)
CT (Murphy-D)
DE (Carper-D or Markell-D)
HI (Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
MD (Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA (Warren-D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)
RI (Whitehouse-D)
VT (Sanders-I/D)
WA (Cantwell-D)

By my count, that makes 7 "lean Dem", 6 "likely Dem," and 11 "solid Dem".

Not in favor of newbie-bashing, especially with spurious claims based on not reading the post.

angrychair

(8,690 posts)
16. At the end of the day
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 09:45 PM
Feb 2017

I don't think it's to much to ask for a source. The issue would have been mitigated with a reference source.

FWIW: I didn't "bash" anyone. I acknowledge misreading the OP. That said it could have been avoided with a reference link.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,402 posts)
4. Looks pretty good so far
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 10:56 AM
Feb 2017

I note that Politico has an article up today too that a some potentially "strong" GOP contenders are deciding AGAINST challenging sitting Democrats in some states like Wisconsin and Indiana, reportedly because of Trump.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
12. Top Tier Senate Republican recruitment in 2018
Tue Feb 21, 2017, 08:38 PM
Feb 2017

FL-Scott-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administration.
Nelson-D will clobber Scott-R like he did to McCollum in 2000,Harris in 2006, and Mack in 2012.
IN-US House members Banks,Hollingsworth,Messer,Rokita,Stutzman,and Walorski.
Donnelly-D defeats either of those candidates.
ME-LePage-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administration.
King-I/D will clobber King-R
MI-Snyder-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump administrati or US House members Amash,Miller,Rogers, and Upton.
Stabenow-D defeats Snyder by a high single digit margin, but the other potential candidates by a double digit margin
MN-Paulsen-R
Klobuchar-D will clobber Paulsen-R
MO-US House members Graves,Hartzler,Long,and Wagner.
McCaskill-D defeats either of those candidates.
NJ-Guadagno-R if she loses in the 2017 NJ Governors Race
Whoever wins the Democratic nomination will defeat whoever wins the Republican Nomination?
NM-Martinez-R assuming she does not get a position in the Trump A
Heinrich-D defeats Martinez-R
ND-Cramer-R
Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R is a tossup. Is Cramer a stronger or weaker candidate than Berg 2012?
OH-Mandel-R or Kasich-R assuming he does not get a position in the Trump Administration.
Brown-D defeats Mandel-R like he did in 2012.
Brown-D vs Kasich-R is a tossup with Brown narrowly winning.
PA-US House members Barletta or Marino.
Casey-D defeats either of those candidates.
VA- Fiorina-R or Ingraham-R
Kaine-D clobbers either of those candidates.
WV-US House members Jenkins,McKinley or Mooney.
Manchin-D defeats either of those candidates.
WI-US House members Gallagher or Grossman.
Baldwin-D defeats either of those candidates.
Top tier Senate Democratic recruitment in 2018
AZ-Synema-D
Flake-R vs Synema-D is a tossup
Ward-R vs Synema-D is a Lean Democratic gain.
NV-Marshall-D
Heck-R vs Marshall-D is a tossup
TX-Joaquin Castro-D or Beto O'Rourke-D
Cruz defeats either of those candidates.
UT-Matheson-D
A 3 way race between, Matheson-D,McMullin-I, and Chaffetz-R is a race to watch.
How would former US Rep Bright-AL or Davis-AL do against Strange-R?


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