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applegrove

(118,589 posts)
Tue Jul 25, 2017, 06:54 PM Jul 2017

Trumps approval rating is below 50% across the Midwest and in Texas

by Matthew Yglesias at Vox

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/7/25/16019560/trump-approval-by-state

"SNIP............


Gallup rolled together all of its daily tracking polls of Donald Trump’s approval rating since January (a massive sample of 81,000 adults) to create a state-by-state map of average approval across the first six months. Trump’s numbers have generally been worse in his second quarter than they were in his first, so this map probably somewhat overestimates Trump’s level of support across the board, but the basic message that he’s moderately unpopular should be the same either way.


...... (Map)


One thing this map shows is that for all the anecdote-rich longform journalistic voyages into “Trump country,” there’s nothing magical going on here. Part of being moderately unpopular nationwide is being moderately unpopular in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa. At the same time, even a moderately unpopular Trump remains very popular in the GOP strongholds of Appalachia and the Great Plains. It’s striking that Trump, who fared unusually poorly with Mormons in 2016 for a Republican, appears to have been “normalized” in the eyes of the people of Utah.

At the same time, especially when you dive into the detailed state-by-state numbers, you do see a sign of the ongoing shifts in the American political map.

Trump is more popular in Maine and New Hampshire — two states that John Kerry carried in 2004 even while losing the election — than he is in Colorado and Virginia, two Bush states that Trump lost even while winning the election. Northern New England, in short, is losing its political distinctiveness from other demographically similar states even while some other states are becoming solidly blue.


.............SNIP"

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Trumps approval rating is below 50% across the Midwest and in Texas (Original Post) applegrove Jul 2017 OP
Virginia is becoming more urban and better educated. spooky3 Jul 2017 #1
Rural whites I would think account for shifts in other states. Willie Pep Jul 2017 #4
I saw that trump was below 50% in Texas Gothmog Jul 2017 #2
+1, when I saw Dallas County get hit with 7 of the black listed Russian IP address's ... uponit7771 Jul 2017 #5
Texas is not a typical Red state, its purple like GA with extreme gerrymandering uponit7771 Jul 2017 #3

spooky3

(34,427 posts)
1. Virginia is becoming more urban and better educated.
Tue Jul 25, 2017, 07:13 PM
Jul 2017

I think that's why it's bluer. Not sure whether these factors would account for the subtle shifts in other states.

Willie Pep

(841 posts)
4. Rural whites I would think account for shifts in other states.
Tue Jul 25, 2017, 07:33 PM
Jul 2017

Maine and New Hampshire have a lot of rural whites who fit the profile of people who are trending Republican even though they may have voted for the Democrats in the past.

uponit7771

(90,329 posts)
5. +1, when I saw Dallas County get hit with 7 of the black listed Russian IP address's ...
Tue Jul 25, 2017, 07:34 PM
Jul 2017

... before the election (forget the article) I knew micro purging is going on.

Good thing is Clinton won a district outside of houston by 160k Obama won it be around 1500 k...

There's room to make this state blue and all hell will break lose then

uponit7771

(90,329 posts)
3. Texas is not a typical Red state, its purple like GA with extreme gerrymandering
Tue Jul 25, 2017, 07:30 PM
Jul 2017

... and treasonous levels of voter suppression and micro purging.

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