Rasmussen shows a steady decline in support from his base.

[Kaleva]

25% of likely voters today strongly approve of Trump's performance. That's a significant drop from the early weeks of his presidency.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

[PearliePoo2]

1. That's the one to watch. The strongly approval is drifting away to 'somewhat'

The 'somewhat' or 'mostly' approve will likely drift too. These people may sit out and not vote. The rabid hard-cores will probably bottom out in the middle 20's.

[Hortensis]

2. Yes, but only voting numbers count, and 2016 showed

us that a very large majority of Republicans in 2016 would vote for ANYTHING over Democrats. They enable this by demonizing Democrats and denying truth about their candidate. I'm afraid that in 2020 Hitler would look like a viable option.

They speak of values and ideology, and yes they do have them, but all are being set aside on polling day in favor of voting their team.

[Kaleva]

3. Romney got a higher % of the Repub vote then Trump did.

But who won the election in 2012?


2012
https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-2012/

2016
https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/groups-voted-2016/

[Hortensis]

4. Yup. Various factors involved. As long as low-population

states count as much as 3:1 in the electoral college, we need to find ways to overcome this built-in anti-democratic reality.