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Baitball Blogger

(46,699 posts)
Sat Sep 9, 2017, 07:52 AM Sep 2017

As the hurricane predictions swing from east to west across Florida...

This morning I woke up to a track update that Hurricane Irma is now projected to hit the west coast of Florida, and Miami is nearly in the clear. I am in favor of giving people all the information they need to stay safe. I also agree with mandatory evacuations. But I also think of the expense in cost and anxiety, especially when it turns out to be a false alarm. One sad thing about human behavior is that people on the East coast who evacuated, might think twice the next time government officials demand action from them.

Which is why the only lesson here is that we need to increase the funds to our weather prediction organizations. Republicans be damned. Not sure why Europe has taken the lead on this matter, except because Republicans are drowning us in a bathtub.

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As the hurricane predictions swing from east to west across Florida... (Original Post) Baitball Blogger Sep 2017 OP
Who is saying Miami is "nearly in the clear"? bluepen Sep 2017 #1
I was awakened this morning by one of those emergency alerts, Baitball Blogger Sep 2017 #2
They'll still be in the NE quadrant. Really bad for them. bluepen Sep 2017 #4
The hurricane is twice as wide as FL. No on e is in the clear! wasupaloopa Sep 2017 #3
The storm strength diminishes rapidly the further away from the eye though FLPanhandle Sep 2017 #5
EGRI model has always shown a western track for past 2-3 days beachbum bob Sep 2017 #6
We need a president that embraces science in order to Baitball Blogger Sep 2017 #7

Baitball Blogger

(46,699 posts)
2. I was awakened this morning by one of those emergency alerts,
Sat Sep 9, 2017, 08:02 AM
Sep 2017

the update I found on my mobile feed shows the hurricane path going over the keys (which is west of Miami) and swinging up the west coast. Miami wasn't even marked on the hurricane path. I am sure they are going to see surges, but it won't be a direct hit.

bluepen

(620 posts)
4. They'll still be in the NE quadrant. Really bad for them.
Sat Sep 9, 2017, 08:05 AM
Sep 2017

You're right - no direct hit but they're gonna take a big punch.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
5. The storm strength diminishes rapidly the further away from the eye though
Sat Sep 9, 2017, 08:13 AM
Sep 2017

The storm is huge but the most dangerous area is near the eye. Even then its the NE section near the eye were the strongest winds are.

The radar image will show Irma covering the state, but the biggest risk is the eye and out 50 miles.






 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
6. EGRI model has always shown a western track for past 2-3 days
Sat Sep 9, 2017, 10:13 AM
Sep 2017

and I agree, Europe has the leadership on weather models and forecasting. Science and climate change is not ridiculed there like it is here

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