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General Discussion

malaise

(268,930 posts) Sun Sep 10, 2017, 01:03 PM Sep 2017

0

What's going on with Jose?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL122017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/145735_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

17 replies

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Highlight:

What's going on with Jose? (Original Post) malaise Sep 2017 OP

Jose' can you see..... Throck Sep 2017 #1

No way.... Jose. whistler162 Sep 2017 #14

The European model has it in the Gulf of Maine as a strong(62 kt) tropical storm on the 19th jpak Sep 2017 #2

So is it going up the coast? malaise Sep 2017 #6

It's going to do the Coriolis Loop-tee-Loop then head North jpak Sep 2017 #8

Couldn't believe the loop malaise Sep 2017 #10

Those types of tracks are not uncommon jpak Sep 2017 #12

I know but early models suggested that Jose would turn malaise Sep 2017 #13

The European model had Irma hitting North Carolina nine days out bathroommonkey76 Sep 2017 #9

All the early models had it hitting the southern US jpak Sep 2017 #15

I heard they can't really say, because it depends on how Irma peters out muriel_volestrangler Sep 2017 #3

OK then malaise Sep 2017 #7

Round and round it goes. Where it ends up, nobody knows. LisaL Sep 2017 #4

Sure looks that way malaise Sep 2017 #5

The GSM and European models greatly differ on its path today clutterbox1830 Sep 2017 #11

Crazy ant hurricane. hunter Sep 2017 #16

ROFL malaise Sep 2017 #17

Throck

(2,520 posts)

1. Jose' can you see.....

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 02:13 PM

Sep 2017

whistler162

(11,155 posts)

14. No way.... Jose.

Reply to Throck (Reply #1)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 05:32 PM

Sep 2017

jpak

(41,757 posts)

2. The European model has it in the Gulf of Maine as a strong(62 kt) tropical storm on the 19th

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 02:16 PM

Sep 2017

https://www.windy.com/overlays?2017-09-19-18,34.416,-69.170,5,m:eDcaejG

And Ventusky has it just south of Cape Cod as a CAT 2 - yikes!

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=37.3;-73.7;4&l=temperature&t=20170919/18

malaise

(268,930 posts)

6. So is it going up the coast?

Reply to jpak (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 03:41 PM

Sep 2017

What a peak season!

jpak

(41,757 posts)

8. It's going to do the Coriolis Loop-tee-Loop then head North

Reply to malaise (Reply #6)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:07 PM

Sep 2017

Some of the models are scary

malaise

(268,930 posts)

10. Couldn't believe the loop

Reply to jpak (Reply #8)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:14 PM

Sep 2017

Let me go and watch some models.
Today is the apex of peak season

jpak

(41,757 posts)

12. Those types of tracks are not uncommon

Reply to malaise (Reply #10)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:55 PM

Sep 2017

?w=770&h=433

malaise

(268,930 posts)

13. I know but early models suggested that Jose would turn

Reply to jpak (Reply #12)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:57 PM

Sep 2017

not loop around like a pretzel.

bathroommonkey76

(3,827 posts)

9. The European model had Irma hitting North Carolina nine days out

Reply to jpak (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:14 PM

Sep 2017

I wouldn't take those models too seriously right now.

jpak

(41,757 posts)

15. All the early models had it hitting the southern US

Reply to bathroommonkey76 (Reply #9)

Mon Sep 11, 2017, 06:45 PM

Sep 2017

All the current models have Jose coming ashore in the Northeast US or Nova Scotia.

If you live in Maine - like I do - this is a thing.

Latest GFS and Euro models for Tuesday Sept. 20

Euro...ECMWF

https://www.windy.com/?2017-09-20-18,44.864,-68.840,5,m:e0YaelJ

'Merican GFS

https://www.windy.com/?gfs,2017-09-20-15,44.864,-68.840,5,m:e0YaelJ

muriel_volestrangler

(101,306 posts)

3. I heard they can't really say, because it depends on how Irma peters out

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 03:05 PM

Sep 2017

That will influence the pressures that then direct where Jose ends up. It's too mathematically chaotic to say at the moment.

malaise

(268,930 posts)

7. OK then

Reply to muriel_volestrangler (Reply #3)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 03:41 PM

Sep 2017

Makes sense

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

4. Round and round it goes. Where it ends up, nobody knows.

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 03:07 PM

Sep 2017

malaise

(268,930 posts)

5. Sure looks that way

Reply to LisaL (Reply #4)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 03:40 PM

Sep 2017

Damn!

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)

11. The GSM and European models greatly differ on its path today

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Sep 10, 2017, 04:23 PM

Sep 2017

but there are so many factors to determine it. I don't we will know until next weekend.

hunter

(38,310 posts)

16. Crazy ant hurricane.

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Mon Sep 11, 2017, 06:51 PM

Sep 2017

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-rise-of-the-crazy-ants/

malaise

(268,930 posts)

17. ROFL

Reply to hunter (Reply #16)

Mon Sep 11, 2017, 06:56 PM

Sep 2017

I needed that

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