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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 04:38 PM Sep 2017

This Is Terribly Damaging For Trump

By JOSH MARSHALL Published SEPTEMBER 14, 2017 2:48 PM

This may go without saying for some. But I do not think that Democrats are giving Trump some help or throwing him a lifeline at the price of accomplishing something really critical in policy terms – protecting the Dreamers. I think that gets this exactly wrong. I think pressing Trump for this deal is doing immense damage to Trump. Indeed, the more successful it is, the greater the damage.

If this deal falls apart, it will have done Trump – or more specifically his relationship with his core constituency – immense damage. If it comes to fruition, the damage is even worse. Don’t get me wrong. I’m not saying his ‘base’ abandons him en masse and suddenly those approval numbers drop to zero. But this is very, very damaging for Trump, just as it when any politician casually betrays a key agenda item for his or her staunchest supporters.

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http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/this-is-terribly-damaging-for-trump

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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This Is Terribly Damaging For Trump (Original Post) DonViejo Sep 2017 OP
The Deplorables were just reminded... Girard442 Sep 2017 #1
He conned them. Why should they feel left out? sarge43 Sep 2017 #7
Trump betrays everyone: The president has a long record as an unpredictable ally keithbvadu2 Sep 2017 #10
Good. pressbox69 Sep 2017 #2
I think in the long run it's damaging to getting DACA done Alice11111 Sep 2017 #3
Until and unless his poll numbers start climbing as a result. Ligyron Sep 2017 #11
I suppose if he lost his base, he would flip. No compunctions, Alice11111 Sep 2017 #17
Josh is pretty savvy about politics. kentuck Sep 2017 #4
Ironically, it could be true. Alice11111 Sep 2017 #18
The biggest threat to Trump is not Mueller, or the Democratic party. It's his base. bearsfootball516 Sep 2017 #5
Drumpf thinks he is being smart. louis-t Sep 2017 #6
trump lied thru his teeth to his base. he has no ideology. he has no preferences. spanone Sep 2017 #8
If he gets behind it JDC Sep 2017 #9
What did they expect? Wounded Bear Sep 2017 #12
Shhhhhh. They'll hear you ... n/t Whiskeytide Sep 2017 #13
As others say, he has a history of reneging on deals. He's already backtracking on this. Honeycombe8 Sep 2017 #14
Dreamers deserve a break. Don't care if Trump helps them get it. McCamy Taylor Sep 2017 #15
Someone behind the scenes had a really bright idea The_jackalope Sep 2017 #16
Maybe he knows his tenure is limited - until they get the proof Laura PourMeADrink Sep 2017 #19
What deal?, says Trump. PdxSean Sep 2017 #20
My mother taught me if you don't have anything good to say about someone, don't say anything at all louis c Sep 2017 #21

Alice11111

(5,730 posts)
3. I think in the long run it's damaging to getting DACA done
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 04:46 PM
Sep 2017

& other Dem objectives. Trump floated this test balloon, whether intentional or inadvertent, and his base made it clear that he would be crushed. Thus, he is less likely to do such deals. He walked the agreement back.

Ligyron

(7,624 posts)
11. Until and unless his poll numbers start climbing as a result.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 06:04 PM
Sep 2017

Other than the fact he's a racist, he could possibly turn liberal on some policy matters if he got The Love for it.

Alice11111

(5,730 posts)
17. I suppose if he lost his base, he would flip. No compunctions,
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 07:02 PM
Sep 2017

either way. However, given that since the release of the agreements with dems, and the RW meltdown, he has doubled down on the wall, Charletsville, equal blame, ....

Pelosi once said, "not on my watch, referring to impeachment of GWB, " who seems almost benign now, but she also intimated, she would not be interested in impeaching DT for the same reason...we need to get on to the work of the country. I wonder if that has something to do with DT wanting to get to know her, be personable.

kentuck

(111,077 posts)
4. Josh is pretty savvy about politics.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 04:48 PM
Sep 2017

I wonder how much of his base would he have to lose to relieve the pressure off the Republicans running for office. The weaker Trump gets, the stronger the Republican Party gets.

bearsfootball516

(6,376 posts)
5. The biggest threat to Trump is not Mueller, or the Democratic party. It's his base.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 04:49 PM
Sep 2017

This was a massive campaign promise. So far, his base has been pretty much unwavering. But if he were to allow dreamers to stay, it could cause the first real crack in his base and making voters who voted for him in 2016 wonder if they'll do so again in 2020.

Not that they would vote Democratic, but they would just stay home like they did with McCain and Romney.

louis-t

(23,288 posts)
6. Drumpf thinks he is being smart.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 05:21 PM
Sep 2017

He thinks he is way more popular than he really is. Dems will NEVER vote for him and if he loses his base he is toast.

spanone

(135,816 posts)
8. trump lied thru his teeth to his base. he has no ideology. he has no preferences.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 05:24 PM
Sep 2017

he's a 'gut' guy.

he can't remember his lies.

keep it up, don.

JDC

(10,125 posts)
9. If he gets behind it
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 05:46 PM
Sep 2017

I full expect lots of trumpanzees say DACA is ok.

Hearing the likes of Ann Coulter, Dobb's, Hannity or Breitbart print pan him means nothing. These folks weild no power w/ the base - certainly not the power they think they have. It is all *45. hus cult following is the coat tails on which these bozos all ride.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
14. As others say, he has a history of reneging on deals. He's already backtracking on this.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 06:28 PM
Sep 2017

He says he's not granting amnesty or whatever. He's hearing the criticism and the use of the "A" word (amnesty).

Who knows if he'll even honor this deal.

McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)
15. Dreamers deserve a break. Don't care if Trump helps them get it.
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 06:51 PM
Sep 2017

If, by some miracle, he decides that he no longer wants to dance with the ones who brought him (Russia and the fascists) that is a good thing--but he will have to do a whole hell of a lot more dancing with Dems to convince me that he has had a change of heart.

The_jackalope

(1,660 posts)
16. Someone behind the scenes had a really bright idea
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 06:59 PM
Sep 2017

This post is entirely personal speculation. I apologize up front that it's thin on detail and a bit abstract. The plotline is this:

Somewhere out there in the twilight zone of political disruption operatives, a very bright someone or maybe a very small group of people hatched a plan. The plan's outcome would be a psychologically powered arrow that would wound both Trump and his base simultaneously. Being political operatives, the bright guys were connected through a chain of intermediaries to some very senior Democratic Congresspeople. As a result they were able to pitch the idea to politicians who could make decisions. They may have positioned the proposal as a sort of "Hail Mary" play.

The bright guys sold the idea to the pols. Those decision-makers then turned around and worked their Congressional relationships to enlist other Congresspeople and their support staff. When those people were on board, everybody sat down and brainstormed possible developments during the disruption op. When they had a handle on what would and could be required, they all rehearsed their opening parts - and the plan went into play.

The plan was really pretty simple. It involved a series of opportunistic or contrived interactions between prepared Democratic Congresspersons and Trump. Initially they would have used meetings on the regular calendar; after a while they probably requested a series of private meetings with The Don. During these encounters they would have used all the psych profiles that have been developed on him, to perform a set of psychological manipulations that would back Trump into agreeing to the Dreamer Deal. Essentially they played to his ego and inflated his sense of self-importance to the point that he forgot about his base momentarily, and agreed to the deal.

The deal was the arrow - simply being able to announce that there was a deal was a guaranteed strike. Once the news was on the wires, the deed was done - the betrayal had been made public. Now Trump is screwed with his base no matter what he does. Trump could be mortally wounded.

Now, this could be just a godawful lucky event chock full of fortunate coincidences, or somebody played this game to perfection. I like option #2, just for the sake of speculation. Kudos to the bright guys!

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
19. Maybe he knows his tenure is limited - until they get the proof
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 07:06 PM
Sep 2017

they need to indict him and his other cronies.

so, he's in a "whatever" mindset.

or, maybe he is finally trying to broaden his base

 

louis c

(8,652 posts)
21. My mother taught me if you don't have anything good to say about someone, don't say anything at all
Thu Sep 14, 2017, 07:38 PM
Sep 2017

The staunchest Trump supporters are getting fucked.

GOOD

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