December 12, 2017 AL US Senate Election is going to decide whether Democrats regain control of

[nkpolitics1212]

the US Senate in 2018.
Scenario 1- Jones-D wins the December 12 2017 AL US Senate Election against Moore-R or Strange-R. Democrats hold onto FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R),IN,MO,MT,ND (Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R),OH,PA,and WV and pick up AZ (Sinema/Stanton-D) and NV (Rosen-D).

[JI7]

1. Democrats are not going to win in Alabama

[nkpolitics1212]

4. I respectfully disagree-look at the 2010 MA US Senate Special Election.

Before Coakley-D and Brown-R won their party's nomination in December 2009, Coakley-D was leading Brown-R in the public opinion polls by 26 to 31 percent margin. It was in January 2010 when Brown-R started and continued to lead Coakley-D in public opinion polls. Brown-R defeated Coakley-D in the January 19, 2010 general election.
Going back to 2017 AL US Senate Special Election. The loser in the September 26 2017 Republican primary runoff is not going to enthusiastically support the winner during the general election campaign. Strange-R or Moore-R can run as a write in Independent candidate in the December 12, 2017 General Election.

[JI7]

5. That's massachsettes and coakley lost because she did not campaign

And scott Brown campsigned as a moderate.

[nkpolitics1212]

8. FYI-Doug Jones is not going to campaign as a progressive.

Luther Strange-R or Roy Moore-R can expect a coronation like Coakley-D did in Massachusetts.

[JI7]

10. I hope the democrat wins but i disagree that a loss in alabama is a sign of anything

Other than how they are expected to vote as a very ted state.

[Blue_true]

6. Coakley ran a horrid race. She expected a coronation.

Brown flat out worked her 5x.

[nycbos]

2. I know there is a poll showing Jones close,

but the Dems could nominate Jebus himself and they wouldn't vote for him. He would say "feed the poor and heal the sick" Republicans would attack him as a socialist.

[Frances]

3. Agree

I remember when Democratic senators were as racist as Republicans are today, but at least they brought home the bacon
I and many students from all the other states got good National Education Loans because of a bill sponsored by Senator Lister Hill of Alabama

[Trumpdumper]

15. Lister Hill

Hill was viewed as a liberal, at least in nonracial terms. Not the worst guy the South ever produced -- look at the irredeemable Eastland in Mississippi. Even George Wallace was more progressive on race until he learned that he couldn't win without appealing to the knuckle-draggers.

[BlueStater]

7. Not going to happen.

As much as it makes me sick, that aging christonut is going to become a senator and the dignity of our government will take yet another hit.

[DFW]

9. I wish I had such rose-tinted glasses

But thinking we get to hold our Senate seats in Indiana, Missouri, Montana and North Dakota while picking up both Arizona and Nevada is a best case scenario that is better hoped for than betting on. Hoping we elect a Senator from Alabama puts one in the same category of optimist as Vladimir and Estragon.

[nkpolitics1212]

11. Winning AL in December 2017 makes it easier for Democrats to win in AZ,IN,MO,MT,NV,and ND in 2018.

If we don't win in AL which is the likely outcome, we have to work hard to hold onto IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ and NV. We have to hope for 2 AZ US Senate Races to take place in 2018(The Flake seat and The McCain seat) to regain control of the US Senate in 2018 or McMullin-UT running as an Independent and Jim Bennett running for the US Senate as the United Utah party nominee-splitting the Republican vote allowing the Democratic nominee to narrowly win or Cruz-TX making a Macaca gaffe.

[nycbos]

14. We won't win Texas Or Utah even if there is a third party candidate.

There was a strong third party candidate in 2016.

We will likely loose Missouri and Indiana. I would put North Dakota there was well.

[GaryCnf]

12. I learned my lesson

analyzing McCaskill's chances as non-existent based soley upon what I still believe will be poor turnout in AA communities when someone pointed out that she is still in a statistical tie with the best GOP prospect, so I don't want to get caught playing the know it all. Heitkamp might have a wall in front of her but I do think there is a reason for hope based on Trump's hollow energy promises. The Bakken Shale is drying up and so are jobs. By the time the pipeline starts hiring on any scale there will be a bunch of angry oil field workers and that won't be good for Trump.

Regardless, we have to fight regardless of whether it's Alabama, Missouri, or South Dakota.

[FreeState]

13. The Russians will hack it again

seriously the GOP is in charge and isn’t doing anything to stop them.

[Calista241]

16. I think we have a better shot at the House than the Senate.

The Repubs are going to pick up North Dakota. I think they might also get Indiana and / or Michigan (only if Kid Rock runs).

I do think we could flip the house though, which would be amazing. Total victory for Nancy Pelosi.

[brooklynite]

17. AL Senate race will provide no significant guidance about 2018 races.

..and I'll provide exactly as much supporting data as you did.