Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Calculating

(2,955 posts)
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:33 PM Oct 2017

Is it possible that someone coerced the Vegas shooter to do it?

I'm not usually one to cry conspiracy, but something really doesn't add up here. This guy doesn't fit the usual description of a rampage killer at all. Most are frustrated young males with a mental health history, angry political activists, or religious nuts doing it for political purposes.

This guy was wealthy, upper middle aged, had lived a good life, and didn't seem at all weird to people who knew him. This attack also took a very high level of planning, which implies the shooter still had his mental wits to some extent.

What if some group or individual had some kind of terrible leverage against him and forced him to do this? Maybe they had somebody important to him and threatened to torture the person and send him a piece every month unless he did this?

61 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Is it possible that someone coerced the Vegas shooter to do it? (Original Post) Calculating Oct 2017 OP
Check your thinking... HopeAgain Oct 2017 #1
Hey! Stop that, you hater! ret5hd Oct 2017 #10
Again I ask...What "very high level of planning"? ret5hd Oct 2017 #2
he had to acquire his weapons and ammo lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #16
I agree with "planning"...I disagree with "very high level planning". ret5hd Oct 2017 #18
yes, in another post I outlined some of the obvious "plans" lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #24
Well, if we find out a light bulb needed changing, then the gig is up. kcr Oct 2017 #43
The guns could have been acquired over time exboyfil Oct 2017 #21
If he was a high stakes gambler lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #30
Ahhhh...so THAT'S how you do it!!! ret5hd Oct 2017 #35
yeah, but the point was... if he was the gambler that people say he was lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #48
Exactly. No "high level" of planning needed. I keep hearing that same thing too. brush Oct 2017 #27
Exactly -- it was the same planning as taking a mini vacation obamanut2012 Oct 2017 #58
Nice try, but that guy? It's extremely unlikely, he was a very typical The_Casual_Observer Oct 2017 #3
Oops...eplied to wrong post. ret5hd Oct 2017 #7
I'm kind of disappointed you didn't tell me I wear my ignorance as a badge proudly. The_Casual_Observer Oct 2017 #13
It's been like 24 hours. The story is not written yet. ksoze Oct 2017 #4
They coerced him to kill himself? That makes no sense wasupaloopa Oct 2017 #5
i'm not buying the conspiracy angle, but it's certainly possible to coerce people to kill themselves unblock Oct 2017 #12
very unlikely lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #6
He had 48 firearms... titaniumsalute Oct 2017 #8
Or he was a gun nut and wasn't acquiring guns for this purpose initially? moda253 Oct 2017 #22
Nah. Many who have guns collect them over time. Something just sent him over the edge. brush Oct 2017 #29
Why are we armchair quarterbacking this anyway?? titaniumsalute Oct 2017 #31
I know he went over the edge. Sane people don't kill 59 and injure 500 plus. brush Oct 2017 #32
Idle speculation. Benign curiosity. LanternWaste Oct 2017 #39
He fits the profile of somebody who snaps very well. yardwork Oct 2017 #9
No. Itchinjim Oct 2017 #11
He fits the profile to me. He probably lost a lot of money and was angry at the world. Maybe he was SweetieD Oct 2017 #14
Richard Cory ChicagoRonin Oct 2017 #15
Edwin Arlington Robinson wrote that 1897. Dave Starsky Oct 2017 #55
I'm wondering if some kind of brain injury or recently developed Laurian Oct 2017 #17
Is toxic masculinity so ingrained in our culture that people can't even see it? WhiskeyGrinder Oct 2017 #19
I'm betting.... Xolodno Oct 2017 #20
So...Special forces...SAS were in on it.. HipChick Oct 2017 #23
You need to get a grip. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #25
It's just reckless speculation Bradical79 Oct 2017 #26
Actually , every neighbor reporters have talked to octoberlib Oct 2017 #28
ALCOA! FSogol Oct 2017 #33
MKUltra 2.0 yodermon Oct 2017 #34
Maybe he was framed ... GeorgeGist Oct 2017 #36
The accounts given by those who knew him delisen Oct 2017 #37
Just stop -- I cannot believe I am seeing this stuff on here obamanut2012 Oct 2017 #38
I agree. I've seen posts from right wingers AND left wingers trying to link this guy to ISIS anneboleyn Oct 2017 #57
gambling problem that got real bad fast? eShirl Oct 2017 #40
Also, no, this didn't take any more planning than planning a vacation obamanut2012 Oct 2017 #41
Oh please. cwydro Oct 2017 #42
sure, it was the "Deep State Democrats" maxsolomon Oct 2017 #44
Wealthy, upper middle aged, lived a "good life" logosoco Oct 2017 #45
I'm curious to find out his true financial situation. MLAA Oct 2017 #46
It's always possible somebody forced Oswald to kill JFK, but I doubt it. nt raccoon Oct 2017 #47
Yes... Just like flapping my arms and flying to the moon is "possible" Blue_Tires Oct 2017 #49
George Soros made him do it. BannonsLiver Oct 2017 #50
Fox News, the NRA, Trump? redstatebluegirl Oct 2017 #51
NBC says he wired $100,000 to the Philippines last week. QED Oct 2017 #52
Two threads here on that." cwydro Oct 2017 #53
Is there something troubling you you'd like to admit to us...? LanternWaste Oct 2017 #54
"propter" -- studied Latin so I apologize for bringing it up but I see "prompter" and "eckcetra" anneboleyn Oct 2017 #59
very high level planning.... Thomas Hurt Oct 2017 #56
Puh-lease. WinkyDink Oct 2017 #60
O.J made him do it.. HipChick Oct 2017 #61

HopeAgain

(4,407 posts)
1. Check your thinking...
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:35 PM
Oct 2017

You seem to be in disbelief that a white middle class elderly male can just be that fucked up.

ret5hd

(20,487 posts)
2. Again I ask...What "very high level of planning"?
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:36 PM
Oct 2017

As I posted on another thread:

it seems to me that if he knew there was going to be a concert on a particular date, just call and make a reservation for a "nice room, high up, facing east (or west or whatever direction). Check in and get the room key, park the car and go to the room with the guns (maybe several trips).

Is there something I'm not grasping?

lapfog_1

(29,196 posts)
16. he had to acquire his weapons and ammo
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:43 PM
Oct 2017

if they were newer semi-auto, he had to purchase the "bump stocks" or other means to convert them to near auto.

I bet he scouted the location first. He may have sent his GF out of the country or waited until she left.

Yes, he could have done even more planning... but this amount that we either know or can readily assume shows that this wasn't an impulse shooting... I don't believe that he woke up one morning and said to himself "Why don't I go get like 19 assault rifles and bump stocks and few thousand rounds, check into the Mandalay Bay and shoot up a concert across the street"

ret5hd

(20,487 posts)
18. I agree with "planning"...I disagree with "very high level planning".
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:46 PM
Oct 2017

This didn't take some kinda James Bond effort. Maybe somewhere north of Al Bundy, but not James Bond.

lapfog_1

(29,196 posts)
24. yes, in another post I outlined some of the obvious "plans"
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:52 PM
Oct 2017

someone could have easily done... especially if they wanted to "get away" with this (at least for a little while).

But he did exhibit a level of planning that precludes "impulse shooting".

The gambling losses could have mounted recently, potentially causing problems with his relationship with his GF, and that could have been the trigger for a "death by cop" scenario... and for some reason, the decision to take as many innocent people with him.

Financial records and the interview with GF should tell the tale on that.

kcr

(15,315 posts)
43. Well, if we find out a light bulb needed changing, then the gig is up.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:36 PM
Oct 2017

We'll definitely know we aren't being told the whole story

exboyfil

(17,862 posts)
21. The guns could have been acquired over time
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:48 PM
Oct 2017

as a hobby. Trust me there are many where this is a hobby including recreational shooting (see Youtube).

Still I think there was some level of planning. In some ways he seems like a ghost in our modern age (very few photographs, no social media). You have to wonder if he didn't have another occupation - spy, hit man??

lapfog_1

(29,196 posts)
30. If he was a high stakes gambler
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:00 PM
Oct 2017

as has been reported by his brother...

The Casinos not only have his photo everywhere, but they have people who know him on sight.

The casinos pay people to cater to the "whales" and high rollers. I used to go to Vegas, deposit $100,000 with the casino, and get comped to everything (rooms, buffet, shows, etc). Play the 5$ slots for around 30 minutes or so, either lose or win around $3000 to $4000, and then take the casino limo back to the airport after my weekend.

Over time... I would lose an average of around $500 a weekend doing that... but I got a great little "high roller" vacation out of it.

lapfog_1

(29,196 posts)
48. yeah, but the point was... if he was the gambler that people say he was
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:50 PM
Oct 2017

the casinos will have him on camera... a lot... plus there will be casino hosts who "know" him (at least enough to know his face and name and that he was a high stakes gambler).

I'm further guessing that they are intentionally staying off the TV right now for fear of negative publicity.

brush

(53,759 posts)
27. Exactly. No "high level" of planning needed. I keep hearing that same thing too.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:56 PM
Oct 2017

He was sent over the edge by something and booked a room and got the guns and ammo up there with several trips from his car in the hotel garage.

Nothing high level about it.

I hope his companion will be able to shed some light on the why.

It'll come out.

 

The_Casual_Observer

(27,742 posts)
13. I'm kind of disappointed you didn't tell me I wear my ignorance as a badge proudly.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:41 PM
Oct 2017

Or that I'm a Marxist!. But this isn't Facebook I guess.

ksoze

(2,068 posts)
4. It's been like 24 hours. The story is not written yet.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:37 PM
Oct 2017

Too early to determine this guy is not responsible for this massacre. Some of the conspiracy stuff I have seem this morning on FB is frightening. Might want to give a few days to build the background on this guy to determine things.

unblock

(52,169 posts)
12. i'm not buying the conspiracy angle, but it's certainly possible to coerce people to kill themselves
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:41 PM
Oct 2017

most obviously by threatening to kill their loved ones if they don't.

again, no reason to think that happened here, just saying that people can be coerced into killing themselves.

this is the case for some some suicide bombers.

lapfog_1

(29,196 posts)
6. very unlikely
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:37 PM
Oct 2017

given the lenght of time to acquire the guns that he owned, the planning that was involved, the near certainty of his own death, etc.

Doesn't mean that this should be dismissed out of hand, but I don't see it.

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
8. He had 48 firearms...
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:38 PM
Oct 2017

That doesn't happen overnight. This was planned over some time. Maybe he was brilliant in that he was able to plan something so heinous and didn't tell anyone.

 

moda253

(615 posts)
22. Or he was a gun nut and wasn't acquiring guns for this purpose initially?
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:49 PM
Oct 2017

ONce he had the guns then he bore out his plot?

Entirely possible (and probably likely) that he didn't have the plot before he bought the guns.

brush

(53,759 posts)
29. Nah. Many who have guns collect them over time. Something just sent him over the edge.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:00 PM
Oct 2017

No brilliant, long-range planning in that.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
39. Idle speculation. Benign curiosity.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:29 PM
Oct 2017

"Why are we armchair quarterbacking this anyway??"

Idle speculation. Benign curiosity.

Thought that was damned obvious. Maybe not.

yardwork

(61,588 posts)
9. He fits the profile of somebody who snaps very well.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:38 PM
Oct 2017

Seems likely that he had a resentment against Las Vegas. It’s not difficult to guess what that was, since he was a high stakes gambler.

Also, his girlfriend was out of the country. Maybe she left him.

Lots of potential triggers there. Some people like to make a big name for themselves on their way out.

SweetieD

(1,660 posts)
14. He fits the profile to me. He probably lost a lot of money and was angry at the world. Maybe he was
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:41 PM
Oct 2017

a psychopath like his father. Sounds like he was mostly a loner except for the one female friend, who happened to work as a high limit casino host, which is probably how he met her. His brother didn't know his life that well.

Also everyone says he is wealthy and that is subjective. We don't know how much his properties were mortgaged for and what debts he owed to casinos, banks, or individuals.

Dave Starsky

(5,914 posts)
55. Edwin Arlington Robinson wrote that 1897.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 02:00 PM
Oct 2017

Upright pillars of society who suddenly snap and lose their shit is not a new thing.

Laurian

(2,593 posts)
17. I'm wondering if some kind of brain injury or recently developed
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:45 PM
Oct 2017

neurological disease/condition may have caused his rampage.

Whatever......restricted access to guns is the ONE thing that could have limited the horrific outcome.

WhiskeyGrinder

(22,315 posts)
19. Is toxic masculinity so ingrained in our culture that people can't even see it?
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:46 PM
Oct 2017

"Forced him to do this"? JFC, listen to yourself.

Xolodno

(6,390 posts)
20. I'm betting....
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:47 PM
Oct 2017

...he gambled everything he had away and was broke. Decided to take it out on everyone else.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,839 posts)
25. You need to get a grip.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:54 PM
Oct 2017

That's so much more complicated than: he lives in a culture that glorifies violence. Movies frequently show that going off on a shooting rampage is an appropriate way to solve problems.

Plus, don't the neighbors ALWAYS say, "He was such a good, normal person," even when it was well known that he set cats on fire in his spare time? (And no, I'm not referencing any specific individual here.)

Plus, if some group or individual had "some kind of terrible leverage against him" there would probably have been clues of that by now. Again, it's only in fiction (movies, TV, books) that these things occur very easily.

 

Bradical79

(4,490 posts)
26. It's just reckless speculation
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:54 PM
Oct 2017

Lots of things are possible, but unless you are personally involved in the investigation and trained to build profiles of killers, any "it doesn't add up" or "he doesn't fit the profile" comments aren't really worth discussing.

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
28. Actually , every neighbor reporters have talked to
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 12:56 PM
Oct 2017

thought he was weird. They described him as aggressively unfriendly and he kept the blinds drawn all the time.

delisen

(6,042 posts)
37. The accounts given by those who knew him
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:29 PM
Oct 2017

don't seem to indicate that. His close relatives are accounted for, he had no children.

The other killers who come to mind are Charles Whitman (Texas tower) and the two teenagers at Columbine.

Paddock, shooting down at a crowd. seems further removed from his victims than Charles Whitman, who aimed at isolated individuals, or the two teenagers-who knew their victims and felt estranged from them.

Whitman had physical symptoms-debilitating headaches, and wanted his brain to be studied.(Some similarity to football players with brain damage). His autopsy indicated he had a brain tumor.

At least one of the teenagers at Columbine was being medicated.

We don't know as yet whether Paddock was under treatment or in need of treatment. Unlike Whitman, he seems to not have kept a journal or written about any symptoms.

The most basic commonality is that they are male. Mass murder, of course, is very disproportionately male and guns are the usual weapon used by males in mass killings.

I think these factor is still not being appropriately addressed in a way that can help prevent more civilian mass killing.













obamanut2012

(26,063 posts)
38. Just stop -- I cannot believe I am seeing this stuff on here
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:29 PM
Oct 2017

This is like the third poster posting this stuff.

JUST STOP.

Quit making excuses for murderous white guys.

anneboleyn

(5,611 posts)
57. I agree. I've seen posts from right wingers AND left wingers trying to link this guy to ISIS
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 02:16 PM
Oct 2017

That seems incredibly unlikely to me but of course these stories always get repeated when there is little info indicating motive. ISIS ffs?! I doubt it, and I seriously doubt the OP's questioning about whether or not someone "made" this guy do it. No. That doesn't happen.

obamanut2012

(26,063 posts)
41. Also, no, this didn't take any more planning than planning a vacation
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:31 PM
Oct 2017

STOP WITH THIS ALEX JONES STUFF ON THIS WEBSITE JUST STOP

logosoco

(3,208 posts)
45. Wealthy, upper middle aged, lived a "good life"
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:40 PM
Oct 2017

those are not automatically signs of a decent person. Look at tRump, the Bushes, Dick Cheney, many members of Congress.
It seems to me that most of the information is coming from the brother, and it looks like they were not even that close.

MLAA

(17,266 posts)
46. I'm curious to find out his true financial situation.
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:42 PM
Oct 2017

Most lose at casinos (I certainly do and I've been going there for 25 years). I also believe most peoples' true net worth is not known even by family members (look no further than 'I am with 10 billion' Trump). What little we know makes me wonder if an extreme event took place or it was a straw that broke the camel's back related to gambling losses.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
54. Is there something troubling you you'd like to admit to us...?
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 01:53 PM
Oct 2017

Is there something troubling you you'd like to admit to us...?



If we allow for the potential you implied, we must also allow for the potential I implied.

Yet, seeing both are wholly without evidence to support the premise (post hoc ergo prompter hoc fallacies are not in fact, evidence), predicated instead wholly on mere speculation and even some prophecy, I thought I'd throw mine into the hat with you.

anneboleyn

(5,611 posts)
59. "propter" -- studied Latin so I apologize for bringing it up but I see "prompter" and "eckcetra"
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 02:25 PM
Oct 2017

everywhere now, and it drives me crazy (especially the constant mispronunciation of et cetera-- it's the new "nucular&quot

Thomas Hurt

(13,903 posts)
56. very high level planning....
Tue Oct 3, 2017, 02:15 PM
Oct 2017

not sure about that.......you are a retired rich white dude. You have a lot of money.

You go out buy the guns over weeks or months.
You stash them in suit cases
You get a room over the concert
You knock the window out
You start shooting in the crowd

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Is it possible that someo...