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Trump is flirting with his all time lows in Gallup (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 OP
only a small step away from 34, the awfulness threshold he should eventually drop through. NRaleighLiberal Oct 2017 #1
I saw a low of 32 not long ago. Must be a different polling. I am sticking with that as low. Mediumsizedhand Oct 2017 #2
We'll see marylandblue Oct 2017 #3
Good to be on the low end with these elections a few weeks away Awsi Dooger Oct 2017 #4
What if he stays in the mid to high thirties through 2020 ? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #5
I don't think it's possible Awsi Dooger Oct 2017 #6
How low will trump's numbers go? Gothmog Oct 2017 #7

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
3. We'll see
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 01:33 PM
Oct 2017

He's been boincing around in the mid to high 30s for 3 months now. He seems to have a solid core of die hards. Maybe they are waiting for their tax cut.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
4. Good to be on the low end with these elections a few weeks away
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 01:41 PM
Oct 2017

I was more worried about Virginia when Trump's approval briefly upticked

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
5. What if he stays in the mid to high thirties through 2020 ?
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 01:43 PM
Oct 2017

With this economy Harry Enten says his numbers should be 30 points higher.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
6. I don't think it's possible
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 02:13 PM
Oct 2017

For the reason you cite: Trump lucked out and inherited an economy on the verge of uptick. Then the stock market surged also.

Any normal president this early in his term with current economic conditions and consumer confidence level should have approval numbers at the high 50s at worst, and more likely low to mid 60s. So that 30 point lag sounds logical to me. I didn't realize Enten had estimated that level. Frankly I haven't followed 538 lately.

We're in better shape toward 2018 than 2020, IMO. The outrage against Trump should stretch into one full midterm cycle. But if the economy stays sound and Trump can blab about tax cuts -- no matter who they favor -- the public allows immense benefit of a doubt to that incumbent whose party has been in power only one term.

Believe it or not, toward 2020 advantage we need Trump to sustain even worse and more outrageous level than he's managed so far. Of course, that comes with damage galore. I find myself not knowing what to root for.

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