Poll: Alabama Senate Race Tied (Opinion Savvy)

[struggle4progress]

Nov 10, 2017

In our latest poll with Decision Desk HQ, former Alabama Supreme Court justice Roy Moore and former US attorney Doug Jones are tied in the race to become Alabama’s next US senator ...

... Moore has lost a significant portion of the female vote, compared to .. late September: support for Moore among this demographic has decreased from 46% to 39%, with an overall spread change of -14%. Conversely, male support for Moore remains unchanged at roughly 55%. Little has changed among age cohorts, with voters under the age of 45 largely preferring Jones to Moore.

Moore has also seen a significant defection from his own party: just 69% of republican voters said they intend to vote for Moore, a 10-point drop from late September ...

https://opinionsavvy.com/2017/11/10/poll-alabama-senate-race-tied-following-moores-sexual-accusations/

[struggle4progress]

1. Alabama Senate Poll 11/10/17 (pdf)

... Likely voters; Alabama; 2017 Senate special election ...

... registered voters with either a landline telephone or internet-enabled mobile smartphone ...

... Total Number of Respondents 515

Margin of Error* ± 4.3% ...

https://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/AL-Sen-11.9.17.pdf

[Jersey Devil]

2. Poll taken 11/9 so some probably didn't have the news

It doesn't say the time of day the poll was taken, but no matter what time I would assume that some of the poll respondents were probably unaware of the news regarding Moore's sex offenses, so the poll might have been worse for him had it been taken today. I guess the next one should show it more accurately.

[Le Gaucher]

3. I will donate my nuts if Moore does not win. Alabama Republicans will vote for Osama bin Laden if he

runs as a Republican.

[Ken Burch]

4. Weird. Every poll I've heard of in this campaign, from the moment Moore was nominated,

has shown a tie.

You'd think SOMETHING would make the numbers move.