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7962

(11,841 posts)
Wed Apr 1, 2015, 11:02 PM Apr 2015

Russia threatens to use 'nuclear force' over Crimea and the Baltic states

Source: Independent UK

Russia has threatened to use “nuclear force” to defend its annexation of Crimea and warned that the “same conditions” that prompted it to take military action in Ukraine exist in the three Baltic states, all members of Nato.

According to notes made by an American at a meeting between Russian generals and US officials – and seen by The Times newspaper - Moscow threatened a “spectrum of responses from nuclear to non-military” if Nato moved more forces into Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.
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They added that “the same conditions that existed in Ukraine and caused Russia to take action there” existed in the three Baltic states, which like Ukraine have significant numbers of people who regard themselves as ethnically Russian.

Russia was considering taking steps in the Baltics, according to the notes, but this would most likely be “destabilising actions that would be even harder to trace back to Russia than those of eastern Ukraine”.

Read more: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-threatens-to-use-nuclear-force-over-crimea-and-the-baltic-states-10150565.html



Now to hear from those who slammed me & others here when I said Putin was eyeing the Baltics next after no one stopped his Ukrainian invasion........
92 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Russia threatens to use 'nuclear force' over Crimea and the Baltic states (Original Post) 7962 Apr 2015 OP
S=rious.y, wtf happens when Putin nukes Uraine? Old and In the Way Apr 2015 #1
I don't even want to think what would happen sakabatou Apr 2015 #71
They are NATO countries. murielm99 Apr 2015 #2
Couple of points Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #3
... NuclearDem Apr 2015 #9
So hearsay is now ok in news? newthinking Apr 2015 #12
Considering our own leaders RobertEarl Apr 2015 #63
I disagree that it was a crime Telcontar Apr 2015 #65
welcome to DU? RobertEarl Apr 2015 #66
The ultimate extension of the Scalia Doctrine Art_from_Ark Apr 2015 #70
Did not realize there was a DU orthodoxy Telcontar Apr 2015 #79
Really has nothing to do with Putin Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #15
Assuming anything in this article is true (which I'm unsure about) PersonNumber503602 Apr 2015 #16
It's not a matter of countries Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #17
You do not believe that Russia's recent activities are only further encouraging PersonNumber503602 Apr 2015 #19
You need to get the timeline in the right order Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #21
US/EU initiate coup in Ukraine? LiberalLovinLug Apr 2015 #27
Not even a slight stretch Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #53
Thanks for the info LiberalLovinLug Apr 2015 #64
Still getting the timeline backwards. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #34
Post removed Post removed Apr 2015 #51
No, you clearly don't. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #58
"George Bush in Disguise" LOLOLOLOL When they have nothing to refute your facts.. they resort to Cha Apr 2015 #67
You did a very good job of summarizing Russian state media's bullshit geek tragedy Apr 2015 #45
I wonder who supplied the US flags. Joe Chi Minh Apr 2015 #28
So you're justifying an explicit threat of nuclear warfare. geek tragedy Apr 2015 #42
As I have already established Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #54
When was the last time China threatened to nuke someone? nt geek tragedy Apr 2015 #56
When has anyone here justified any country using nuclear force? NuclearDem Apr 2015 #59
Most nations do get upset if you mass military force at their borders Scootaloo Apr 2015 #78
Those drills didn't just appear out of nowhere. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #84
He hasn't, actually Scootaloo Apr 2015 #85
Actually, he has. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #86
Seeking legal prosecutions against perceived deserters is not a military threat. Scootaloo Apr 2015 #87
Not a military threat, fine, but what's the purpose of bringing up old Soviet issues NuclearDem Apr 2015 #90
Yeah, it's not like invading and annexing part of another country is at all provocative. Adrahil Apr 2015 #33
Amen! 7962 Apr 2015 #74
Taken from American notes? Geronimoe Apr 2015 #4
I really hope this is bullsheets. PersonNumber503602 Apr 2015 #5
so who said this? who heard it said? names please and proof would be useful as well nt msongs Apr 2015 #6
It is easy to notice the persistant pattern of these stories in our media newthinking Apr 2015 #14
Much as it's easy to notice the obvious patterns coming from Russian state-owned media. LanternWaste Apr 2015 #40
Putin should be declared incompetent and replaced by those in power in Russia. Major Hogwash Apr 2015 #7
Don't worry, he'll totally be done after NuclearDem Apr 2015 #8
Finally!!! Short post that says it ALL. 7962 Apr 2015 #30
Has anybody pointed out to Putin who will be eating the fallout? Warpy Apr 2015 #10
You seem disappointed that we aren't into WW III. What response do you think rhett o rick Apr 2015 #11
Right... NuclearDem Apr 2015 #38
Yeah, their little red herring strawmen are RIDICULOUS.. are you just so "disappointed Cha Apr 2015 #69
This is simply another confirmation that we are *both* pushing each other's buttons. newthinking Apr 2015 #13
Sounds like one of those "written by the CIA" type articles... MattSh Apr 2015 #18
The basic premise is correct: It's the same as Ukraine. DetlefK Apr 2015 #20
It's simpler than that Man from Pickens Apr 2015 #22
And why did the Baltic states join NATO??? DetlefK Apr 2015 #23
Do you know of any NATO states at war with anyone? joshcryer Apr 2015 #26
Cue the bullshit NATO map davidpdx Apr 2015 #31
You mean the one showing NATO bases in Kazakhstan? nt geek tragedy Apr 2015 #48
And Korea, and Japan....etc. davidpdx Apr 2015 #73
Their relationship with Russia before NATO was NuclearDem Apr 2015 #35
Um, Russia left the Baltics alone because they broke away. joshcryer Apr 2015 #25
Russia has an absolute, unambiguous and current obligation to leave the Baltics alone. geek tragedy Apr 2015 #43
Ummmmmmmmmmmm................ raven mad Apr 2015 #24
My family grew up in post WWII Latvia tavernier Apr 2015 #29
Nearly every post before yours needs to read what you just said. 7962 Apr 2015 #32
My parents fled Estonia ahead of Stalin's troops LiberalEsto Apr 2015 #88
Amen, Esto tavernier Apr 2015 #89
My Latvian grandparents ended up in a displaced persons camp in Germany after the war. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #91
Mine were in a DP camp in Germany too. LiberalEsto Apr 2015 #92
Moscow Times: Inside the Confused Mind of Vladimir Putin pampango Apr 2015 #36
Russia is a bully fiddodiddo Apr 2015 #37
Russia denies threatening use of nuclear weapons bemildred Apr 2015 #39
He doesn't deny that he'd try to launch a soft invasion of the Baltics though. geek tragedy Apr 2015 #41
Yep, they are both still doing it. bemildred Apr 2015 #46
I would quibble slightly. I think they understand each other very well. geek tragedy Apr 2015 #47
You are the one that mentioned pedagogy. bemildred Apr 2015 #49
I guess by pedagogy I meant that Putin was trying to teach Europe and North geek tragedy Apr 2015 #50
It does not matter what the lesson is. bemildred Apr 2015 #52
States try to teach one another lessons all the time. geek tragedy Apr 2015 #55
And they regret it all the time. bemildred Apr 2015 #57
There is the possibility that the lesson of Iraq geek tragedy Apr 2015 #61
Well that is the question in my mind: are WE capable of learning? bemildred Apr 2015 #62
The Independent is owned by a Russian oligarch CJCRANE Apr 2015 #44
Doesn't matter if you believe the media or not.. we have a personal anecdote that verifies from a Cha Apr 2015 #68
You know how it is; dont like the messenger, therefore the message is false. nt 7962 Apr 2015 #76
And, visa versa.. don't like the message so the messenger is false Cha Apr 2015 #77
same countries the nazis devastated and the russians vultured in and never fully left. Sunlei Apr 2015 #60
According to notes written by some guy and seen by another guy at some meeting. Not LBN Monk06 Apr 2015 #72
The story was dated Apr 2. Thats when the story was first released. So yes it is. 7962 Apr 2015 #75
Well then Monk06 Apr 2015 #82
OK, that was a good one. Havent seen her in too long! 7962 Apr 2015 #83
It was at a meeting of the Elbe Group Depaysement Apr 2015 #80
Thanks for that. nt bemildred Apr 2015 #81
 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
3. Couple of points
Wed Apr 1, 2015, 11:28 PM
Apr 2015

first, the report is secondhand and anonymous and we've seen a lot of sketchy claims made under those terms especially where international conflict is involved and very especially in this particular one

second, presuming the claim is true, it shouldn't be terribly surprising given NATO's deliberately provocative stunts repeatedly parading military units just a few hundred yards of the Russian border in multiple locations - WTF does anyone expect, that they can poke the bear and it won't wake up?

newthinking

(3,982 posts)
12. So hearsay is now ok in news?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:24 AM
Apr 2015

We have become so tone deaf in finding enemies that we can't even recognize an escalation that we ourselves are one party to.

We would act no differently if Russia were to threaten to surround the US with military troops.

This is simply another confirmation that we are *both* pushing each other's buttons. There is *nothing* aggressive about this posture (if it is accurate)..

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
63. Considering our own leaders
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 02:55 PM
Apr 2015

Last edited Thu Apr 2, 2015, 10:33 PM - Edit history (1)

We had a president who invaded a far off land which we now know and agree was a crime and no one is being held accountable.

Now we have a senator who was almost elected POTUS who goes around talking about bombing other people in far off lands. The US is not exactly a fine example, but pro-nuke-dems seem to think they can call the kettle black and not be derided?

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
66. welcome to DU?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 10:31 PM
Apr 2015

Really, killing a million people for no good reason is no crime?

That isn't a good DU view you have there.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
70. The ultimate extension of the Scalia Doctrine
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:55 PM
Apr 2015

"Nothing wrong with executing an innocent person if all the legal i's are dotted and the t's are crossed"

 

Telcontar

(660 posts)
79. Did not realize there was a DU orthodoxy
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 05:14 AM
Apr 2015

I won't march in lockstep just because it's the belief of many here. I think they are wrong. Is heresy now a TOS violation?

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
15. Really has nothing to do with Putin
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:38 AM
Apr 2015

Any Russian leader who failed to respond to the series of provocations to which they have been subjected since they stepped in to stop an Iraq-style war against Syria would be ousted in no time for dereliction of duty.

The only way the Russian moves seem out of place is if you are completely unable to put yourself in the other guy's shoes. I myself do not have the character flaw of a complete lack of empathy, so I fully understand why they're pissed and ready to go to the mat to defend themselves.

PersonNumber503602

(1,134 posts)
16. Assuming anything in this article is true (which I'm unsure about)
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:51 AM
Apr 2015

Why should what Russia wants in its neighboring countries be considered more valid than what those countries want to happen in their country? The US government is hypocritical with regards to interfering with other countries, but that doesn't mean that we as individuals need to hypocritical too. If you're like me and you oppose the US interfering with its neighbors because they wish to form close relations with countries the US has poor relations with, then you should oppose it when all countries do it. What is your opinion of US action against communist or socialist movements in the Caribbean, Central America, and South America? Was the US justified (or still justified) in meddling because those countries are in its so-called sphere of influence? I suspect I'm not alone when I say they are not. I apply the same line of thinking to any other country too.

Again, assuming this article is accurate and Russia believes it has the right to break up it's neighbors in a similar way as what is going on with Ukraine, then that is simply unacceptable by any standard. Of course I'm always skeptical of any such reports when they first come out.

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
17. It's not a matter of countries
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 02:03 AM
Apr 2015

Russia's clearly stated "red line" is a hostile military alliance setting up shop on its borders, not what any of its neighbors decide to do on their own as individual countries. The military alliance is directed from Washington DC mostly, and to some extent London and Berlin, none of which border Russia and none of which have the kind of skin in the game that Russia's neighbors have.

Every last action by the Russians has been preceded by a hostile action by NATO. They have been totally reactive.

The real problem here is that NATO, an organization which should have been shut down at the end of the Cold War, is on autopilot and needs hostility with Russia in order to justify its existence. In the absence of conflict in eastern Europe, NATO had to create it.

The whole situation is Strangelovian and it's not Russia that created the situation. They are doing exactly what we would do if the positions were reversed.

PersonNumber503602

(1,134 posts)
19. You do not believe that Russia's recent activities are only further encouraging
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 02:21 AM
Apr 2015

these countries to form closer ties with NATO? NATO isn't going to go anywhere any time soon. Russian actions are only ensuring that NATO continues to stay relevant, because many of those countries view Russia as more of a threat to their sovereignty than they view NATO as a threat. Even if you look at NATO as the evil empire, the way Russia is handling is not a productive strategy and can't be considered anything but reckless. In fact, if Russia is in fact the good guy in this situation, then we really should be expecting them to behave in a more rational manner. Instead I see far too many people making excuses and justifying every little thing Russia does. Much like it's not a bad thing to be critical of the US or Europe, it's not bad to be critical of Russia too.

If the roles were reversed and the US was doing the same thing, I would be against it. Is it safe to say you would not be opposed to it? To me it seems similar to how invading Iraq only helped certain terrorist organizations justify their acts against the US and other western nations. It's stupid. It seems like Russia is doing the same thing with NATO.

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
21. You need to get the timeline in the right order
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:03 AM
Apr 2015

The order in which things have actually happened:

US/EU/NATO action (cause) -> Russian reaction (effect)

Not the other way around. You can't invert cause and effect and expect to make sense of what is going on, you have to get things in the right order.

Actual timeline in broad terms:

US push for war in Syria
Russia prevents war
US/EU initiate coup in Ukraine
Eastern provinces revolt against coup government
IMF pays coup government to wage war on eastern regions (as condition of lifeline loan)
Coup government initiates military action against eastern regions
Crimea votes to join Russia, Russian takeover of Crimea
Various NATO escalations in Ukraine and other countries neighboring Russia
Russian reactions to NATO escalations

There's no way you can both get the order of events correct and call Russia the aggressor.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,173 posts)
27. US/EU initiate coup in Ukraine?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 05:14 AM
Apr 2015

Last edited Thu Apr 2, 2015, 06:11 AM - Edit history (1)

That's a bit of a stretch. Yanukovych promised greater ties with Europe after the Orange Revolution in 2004. But he betrayed his people and instead signed a loan agreement with Russia. There were charges of corruption. A second uprising occurred from a lot of the population including many students, artists, liberals, who wanted a more western open democracy. They had a quick election. Probably too quick. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and other observers gave the election process high democratic marks. Poroshenko won the votes. Sure he's a billionaire who is eager to join the new pro-austerity right wing coalition in Europe but that's who won. That's what the IMF is up to there....bribing him with loans if he promises all in for austerity measures. The war waging is not the IMF's real concern.

It was a high turnout except for the south eastern provinces, of ethnic Russian families, most of which just stayed home in protest knowing their influence in the country would be less with the plans for new connections with Western Europe in the works that the front runners were pushing.

Sorry but I just can't justify Putin's reaction to this outcome in the Ukraine. A part of his sphere of influence was being threatened and he reacted by just snatching the Crimea away. And that was just the beginning. Sending in troops and vehicles and ammunition into eastern Ukraine and then having the gall to lie about doing it? Classless.

I don't like the Ukraine's new President, though he's probably no more corrupt than the one he replaced, but Putin thinks he's still working for the KGB and the Soviet Union, and the Baltics and Ukraine and the others are merely satellite countries and are really Russia's. If the majority of people, especially the peaceful portion which includes all the young and liberal people that did not get their ideal leader, but want to look west instead of east...I think they should be allowed to carve out that destiny.

And maybe NATO is being somewhat aggressive itself in response. But Putin needs to let go. He should be satisfied with the Crimea and let it end there IMO

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
53. Not even a slight stretch
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:37 PM
Apr 2015

Did you miss the Nuland "Fuck the EU" tape where she and Pyatt were discussing who would be the hand-picked puppet leader of the new government?

LiberalLovinLug

(14,173 posts)
64. Thanks for the info
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:58 PM
Apr 2015

So i googled that and read up.

Its not much of a surprise that the US was and is involved in the internal affairs of a nation especially one positioned where it is. The whole just of that conversation was that a peaceful resolution with Russia would be better served with candidate A working together with candidate B. And the EU was not contributing much to the conversation to make this happen. But the UN would be a better broker for the US...so fuck the EU.

Look I have no doubt opposition parties were funded and helped by the State Department, or whoever handles that, but to me it looks like Poroshenko won despite the USA's preference for some kind of coalition with former government officials and the opposition leader.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/02/06/state-dept-official-caught-on-tape-fuck-the-eu.html

“I think we’re in play,” Pyatt tells Nuland about a plan to join the opposition and government into one unit, apparently being attempted by the U.S. government behind the scenes. The tape may have been referring to a late January power sharing deal that has since been rejected by opposition leaders."

So that never happened and Ukrainians voted in the billionaire Willy Wonka instead. So the "fuck the EU" ends up just being a rude comment and doesn't really mean much in the grand scheme of things.

Like I said its not a shock to me that the US is right in there trying to influence a foreign election.


But all of that does not in any way excuse Putin's over-reaction and invasion of a sovereign state....not with back room private meetings where the word "fuck" is thrown around...but actual boots on the ground, guns, tanks, even passenger airlines blown out of the sky.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
34. Still getting the timeline backwards.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 08:07 AM
Apr 2015
US push for war in Syria
Russia prevents war


Actually, US exhausts diplomatic means to deal with Syrian government, which prove useless due to Russian government's need for an ally in the Middle East.
Russia risks losing its only friend in the Middle East and its Mediterranean port when the US threatens military action, convinces Syria to give up chemical weapons.

US/EU initiate coup in Ukraine
Eastern provinces revolt against coup government


Still not a coup, no matter how many times you guys try to make it so.

Crimea votes to join Russia, Russian takeover of Crimea


Wrong, wrong, wrong. The Russian invasion of Crimea well preceded the sham referendum.

Various NATO escalations in Ukraine and other countries neighboring Russia
Russian reactions to NATO escalations


Russia invades Crimea, destabilizes Eastern Ukraine, and begins threatening the Baltics, NATO steps in to reassure its members.

Response to NuclearDem (Reply #34)

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
58. No, you clearly don't.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:56 PM
Apr 2015

I was opposed to military intervention in Syria, but Russia's reluctance to pressure Assad into disarming its chemical weapons made a threat of military action the only recourse available.

Only when the Mediterranean fleet was on its way did Putin finally convince Assad to give up his weapons.

So, no, I was never in favor of military intervention in Syria. I was in favor of a diplomatic solution, one that Putin made damn near impossible until the last minute.

Cha

(297,140 posts)
67. "George Bush in Disguise" LOLOLOLOL When they have nothing to refute your facts.. they resort to
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:34 PM
Apr 2015

personal insults.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
45. You did a very good job of summarizing Russian state media's bullshit
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:33 AM
Apr 2015

on Ukraine and Russia.

Unfortunately, it seems that you actually believe it.

Joe Chi Minh

(15,229 posts)
28. I wonder who supplied the US flags.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 06:19 AM
Apr 2015

I expect it's always been a very popular product line. When one gets tatty, they buy another. Though did all look newly minted.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
42. So you're justifying an explicit threat of nuclear warfare.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:18 AM
Apr 2015

Because it's your guy Putin doing it.

Of course, if Obama threatened to nuke someone, you'd be frothing at the mouth in outrage.

But, Obama is a sane, decent leader, unlike the fascist thug in Moscow.

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
54. As I have already established
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:46 PM
Apr 2015

every nuclear power makes nuclear threats

every one

So give me a reason why the US, China, India, Israel, Pakistan, etc. can all make nuclear threats and that's A-OK while Russia is uniquely barred from doing so.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
59. When has anyone here justified any country using nuclear force?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:00 PM
Apr 2015

The only thing that makes Russia unique in this situation is that they're using a nuclear deterrent to cover its landgrabs in its various neighbors.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
78. Most nations do get upset if you mass military force at their borders
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 03:33 AM
Apr 2015

Mutual saber-rattling does not draw an end to crises. it escalates them, in nearly every case.

The only way out is diplomacy.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
84. Those drills didn't just appear out of nowhere.
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 11:37 AM
Apr 2015

Putin's been making not-so-subtle threats against the Baltics ever since the Ukraine crisis began. NATO was entirely justified in holding those drills.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
85. He hasn't, actually
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 06:02 PM
Apr 2015

Latvia did indeed get worried after the events in Ukraine. There had been no threats against the Baltics from Russia, however. But Latvia called in NATO to bulk up anyway - I guess I can't blame them for worry, as a 'just in case" scenario. Russia, meanwhile, sees an explicitly anti-Russian nuclear-powered military alliance massing on its border in a state that NATO had promised some years before to not seek the membership of.

So you've got a situation basically with two kids shouting over a line on a playground. neither really has any intent of crossing the line to really get in the others' face, but they keep shouting about how much they'll fuck the other up if it happens. And with every exchange of threats the situation escalates. Eventually one of them is going to feel so threatened that they attack, or is going to be so sensitive that they interpret a gesture as a swing.

And then there's all the people who are right there, circled around shouting for blood. They want more escalation because they think a fight would be fun to watch.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
86. Actually, he has.
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 06:23 PM
Apr 2015

There's been an excessive number of incidents of Russian military aircraft testing the airspace around the Baltics, the Russian Baltic Fleet has been holding massive exercises, and Russia has been threatening to go after former Soviet Army deserters in Lithuania.

And on top of all that, this isn't the first time Russia has made mention of the Russian minorities the Baltics, and since the last two former Soviet republics to be carved up saw it happen after sudden revolts of their Russian minorities, the Baltics have every right to be worried.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
87. Seeking legal prosecutions against perceived deserters is not a military threat.
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 06:39 PM
Apr 2015

And can you explain how massive naval exercises in the Baltic are threatening but massive military exercises agaisnt Russia's border aren't? Either both are, or neither is.

You're operating on black hat / white hat logic.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
90. Not a military threat, fine, but what's the purpose of bringing up old Soviet issues
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 08:36 PM
Apr 2015

other than to intimidate?

And can you explain how massive naval exercises in the Baltic are threatening but massive military exercises agaisnt Russia's border aren't? Either both are, or neither is.


I never said the NATO exercises weren't threatening. They are, and that was in fact the point, but they were threatening in a defensive nature. Russia's behavior with regards to their own military drills over the last ten years has been aggressive: along the Georgian border, followed by an invasion, then along the Ukrainian border, followed by an invasion.

Doesn't take much to see what Russian military exercises near yet more former Soviet republics means.

There is no equivalence here, no matter how badly some want there to be. Russia has acted aggressively towards its neighbors, in fact invading two of them, and the Baltic members of NATO asked for reassurance against the same thing happening to them.
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
33. Yeah, it's not like invading and annexing part of another country is at all provocative.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 07:28 AM
Apr 2015

Some of you people are unbelievable.

 

Geronimoe

(1,539 posts)
4. Taken from American notes?
Wed Apr 1, 2015, 11:34 PM
Apr 2015

Well, this isn't different from the US, that always says, all options are on the table unless we get our way.

newthinking

(3,982 posts)
14. It is easy to notice the persistant pattern of these stories in our media
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:36 AM
Apr 2015

Emotional response is the way the tabloid media brings in revenue and this story is a godsend in terms of web hits with our Pavlovian cold war based training.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
40. Much as it's easy to notice the obvious patterns coming from Russian state-owned media.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 10:44 AM
Apr 2015

"It is easy to notice the persistant (sic) pattern of these stories in our media.."

Much as it's easy to notice the obvious patterns coming from Russian state-owned media so often posted on DU...

(six of one, half a dozen of the other)

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
7. Putin should be declared incompetent and replaced by those in power in Russia.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:26 AM
Apr 2015

Putin has a one track mind, and he is thinking of starting a war.

Warpy

(111,245 posts)
10. Has anybody pointed out to Putin who will be eating the fallout?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:49 AM
Apr 2015

They can capture territory. Whether or not they can keep it is much more dubious.

Cha

(297,140 posts)
69. Yeah, their little red herring strawmen are RIDICULOUS.. are you just so "disappointed
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:55 PM
Apr 2015

we're not in WWIII?" Jeeze

Leave Putin Alone or you want WWIII!

newthinking

(3,982 posts)
13. This is simply another confirmation that we are *both* pushing each other's buttons.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:31 AM
Apr 2015

It is not an "aggressive posture" and even if it were accurate and not hearsay it does not prove what the OP says. It proves that Russia feels threatened and is trying to define some lines. We would do the same. In fact, I am **sure** the US would send in troops without hesitation if Russia were to bring their tanks into countries on our borders.

As for the rest of the story about tactics that seems to be more speculative and tabloid journalism.

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
18. Sounds like one of those "written by the CIA" type articles...
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 02:18 AM
Apr 2015

CIA to Mr. Johnston - here, sign you name to this and print it.

And please, it's common knowledge that this happens.

Oh, and lookie here...

Alexander Lebedev – former KGB spy, billionaire businessman, funder of several British newspapers including the Independent and the London Evening Standard. Probably anti-Putin too.

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
20. The basic premise is correct: It's the same as Ukraine.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:02 AM
Apr 2015

- A country bordering on Russia.
- With a huge russian minority.
- With closer ties to the West than to Russia.

One way to frame this is that Russia feels under siege by the NATO.
Another way to frame this is: WHY HAS RUSSIA FAILED TO CONVINCE THE BALTIC STATES TO STAY LOYAL TO RUSSIA?



I think, lots of of Ex-soviet nations don't count as real nations in the eyes of Russia: They were part of the Soviet-Union, which was essentially Russia, which means those nations are essentially lost russian territory. Which means, Russia regards it as an invasion when anybody but Russia meddles with Ex-soviet nations.

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
22. It's simpler than that
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:05 AM
Apr 2015

Russia left the Baltics alone until NATO started adding military forces into those countries.

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
23. And why did the Baltic states join NATO???
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:26 AM
Apr 2015

NATO has military outposts in NATO-countries. Just like every EU-member has offices of EU-institutions.

Why did the Baltic states join NATO at all? What was their relationship to Russia before they joined NATO?

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
35. Their relationship with Russia before NATO was
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 08:14 AM
Apr 2015

an illegal invasion and occupation and the attempted eradication of Baltic culture.

And people wonder why the Baltics fled to NATO first chance they got.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
25. Um, Russia left the Baltics alone because they broke away.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 04:03 AM
Apr 2015

The Baltics then joined NATO so that Russia wouldn't try to take them back.

Had Ukraine joined there would be no annexation of Crimea or Donbas. There would be peace in the region.

(Same goes for Georgia.)

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
43. Russia has an absolute, unambiguous and current obligation to leave the Baltics alone.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:19 AM
Apr 2015

They are sovereign states, not Soviet Republics.

raven mad

(4,940 posts)
24. Ummmmmmmmmmmm................
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 03:41 AM
Apr 2015

I grew up during the Missile Crisis at Cape Canaveral.

Putin can try to scare the shit out of me, but it won't work.

tavernier

(12,377 posts)
29. My family grew up in post WWII Latvia
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 07:07 AM
Apr 2015

and Putin definitely scares the shit out of them!! They warned me years ago that he had future "plans" for the Baltics.

NATO has nothing to do with it - he has been stirring the pot from day one. I was there a few years back and got to see the daily harassment for myself.

At this point I don't require any links or names etc. to prove to me that he will continue to push his aggression until someone stops him.

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
32. Nearly every post before yours needs to read what you just said.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 07:27 AM
Apr 2015

"Stirring the pot from day one". So many people dont get that. Its always OUR fault. I cant believe how so many DUers continually excuse everything Putin says and does. Sounds like the right, who think Obama is a bigger threat to us than Putin.

 

LiberalEsto

(22,845 posts)
88. My parents fled Estonia ahead of Stalin's troops
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 07:12 PM
Apr 2015

and raised me on storiea of their war and refugee camp experiences.
I have relatives in Estonia, and I fear for them.
Putin is a madman and I dread what he's already done, and plans to do.
Any leader who is insane enough to threaten nuclear attack needs to be stopped. If possible.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
91. My Latvian grandparents ended up in a displaced persons camp in Germany after the war.
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 08:38 PM
Apr 2015

They barely escaped Berlin before the Red Army arrived. Considering my grandfather had participated in the anti-Soviet insurgency, that was extremely fortunate.

 

LiberalEsto

(22,845 posts)
92. Mine were in a DP camp in Germany too.
Sat Apr 4, 2015, 12:54 PM
Apr 2015

Heidelberg, I think.

Did the war and its aftereffects traumatize them too?

Losing one's homeland, being cut off from family, being worried sick about family and friends behind the Iron Curtain (what with deportations to Siberia), losing one's house and property and savings and possibly one's business or farm, having one's education cut short...was hard on them.

Life in the DP camps was extremely difficult too, with people trying to keep the Allies from sending them back to the countries they had recently fled in fear of their lives, trying to find a way to relocate to Sweden or the UK, U.S., Australia, Canada, someplace in a free country where they could try to start over, meanwhile coming close to starvation in the camps, living on little but potatoes and a monthly ration of horsemeat. My mother told me about stealing cabbages from the gardens of Germans just to survive.

And finally, if they were lucky, they got sponsors, and immigration papers, and made their way to a new country where, penniless, they had to find work and rebuild their lives from scratch, doing this all in a foreign language. My parents were fortunate to know English as well as Estonian, German and Russian, but they spoke with accents and struggled to increase their vocabularies. At least people from Eastern Europe had it easier in one sense: they were white and were able to blend in more easily than later refugees from Asian, Middle Eastern, African and Latin American countries.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
36. Moscow Times: Inside the Confused Mind of Vladimir Putin
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 08:18 AM
Apr 2015
But whatever his actual foreign policy goals may be, two seemingly contradictory propositions appear to underpin Putin's policies toward Ukraine and toward the West as a whole. The first is that the United States and at least some European governments are determined not just to weaken Russia through the expansion of NATO and the EU and the promotion of "color revolutions" in former Soviet republics such as Ukraine, but also to impose crippling sanctions on and even promote a "color revolution" inside Russia itself in order to topple the Putin regime and install a "democratic" government subservient to the West. The second is that NATO and the EU are both weak and divided. Many Western countries are dependent on Russia for energy supplies and there are economic problems in Western states, particularly in Europe, which Moscow can exploit in order to strengthen Russia.

Logically, of course, both of these propositions cannot be true simultaneously. If the West really is in a position to weaken Russia or topple the Putin regime, then the West must not be weak. And if the West is weak, then it cannot be in a position to weaken Russia, much less topple Putin. It does not appear, however, that Putin sees the contradiction in these two propositions.

Some might ask how Putin can possibly think that the West seeks to weaken Russia, much less overthrow him. U.S. President Barack Obama's administration, after all, tried soon after coming into office to "reset" U.S. relations with Russia. And many EU governments have welcomed cooperation with Russia in recent years, over natural gas in particular.

Putin, though, has on numerous occasions described the United States in particular as the author of the "color revolutions" in Georgia (2003) and Ukraine (2004), as well as the popular demonstrations against Putin inside Russia (2011-12), the Euromaidan demonstrations, and the downfall of Moscow's ally, former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, in Ukraine (2014). Putin apparently does not even acknowledge the possibility that these popular uprisings may actually have been popular; his statements indicate utter certainty that they were orchestrated by the West.

http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/inside-the-confused-mind-of-vladimir-putin/518425.html

Politicians everywhere love to blame 'outsiders' for any discontent about their own government that people show. I suppose, if you run the country, it is easier to think that the opposition to you is not genuine but motivated solely by evil outsiders. American politicians are as guilty of that as Russian ones.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
39. Russia denies threatening use of nuclear weapons
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 10:21 AM
Apr 2015

MOSCOW, April 2 -- The Kremlin on Thursday denied allegations that Moscow has threatened to use nuclear weapons to deter NATO from intervening in Russia-Ukraine tense relations.

Commenting on reports of some Western media that Moscow has threatened to use weapons of mass destruction if attempts are made to return Crimea to Ukraine or if NATO steps up its presence in the Baltic states, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described them as an example of demonizing Russia.

"This is a classic example of the ongoing hysteria to demonize our country. In fact ... they are not based on any particular information, and they themselves fear what they have written," the Interfax news agency quoted Peskov as saying.

These reports cannot be taken seriously, he added.

http://en.people.cn/n/2015/0402/c90777-8873289.html

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
41. He doesn't deny that he'd try to launch a soft invasion of the Baltics though.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:16 AM
Apr 2015

The pedagogical war thesis for Ukraine seems to be more salient than ever.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
46. Yep, they are both still doing it.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:39 AM
Apr 2015

Merkel is going on about how this it going to be a long effort to bring Putin to his senses, and Putin and Lavrov going on in much the same vein in the other direction. Which is good, because it means no hot war. And bad, because it means they are both still not treating each other like adults.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
47. I would quibble slightly. I think they understand each other very well.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:46 AM
Apr 2015

It's not so much that they view one another as being children, but rather they have agendas that are in conflict.

After Putin pulled his infamous big dog stunt with Merkel at one of their meetings, it would seem that Merkel has realized that one has to deal with the Russians as they are, not as we would hope to persuade them to become.

And Putin understands that the Germans are pragmatic, and will eventually blink in a game of chicken, because they do not have as much skin in the game.

The loudest voices inside NATO for a more confrontational attitude towards Moscow are those who do have the most skin in the game--Poland and the Baltics.





bemildred

(90,061 posts)
49. You are the one that mentioned pedagogy.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:11 PM
Apr 2015

Although I quite agree that they have conflicting agendas, one does not have to choose one or the other. The conflicting agendas are WHY they are trying to educate each other as to the errors in their ways.

The Germans are pragmatic BECAUSE they have skin in the game.

There is no better way to tear the Baltics apart than to exacerbate ethnic tensions in their populations. Is that really what we want to do? Even if Putin is doing it too, should we be helping him by amping the rhetoric? Did that work so well in Ukraine, that we need to repeat it?

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
50. I guess by pedagogy I meant that Putin was trying to teach Europe and North
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:30 PM
Apr 2015

America a 'lesson' akin to warning shot. Perhaps I have misunderstood the pedagogical war thesis.

I don't see anyone tearing the Baltics apart by ethnic tensions. Russia isn't doing so now.

The concern is that Russia will attempt to do so.

Estonia, for example, would be wise to throw its ethnic Russian population a few bones before he gets the chance.



bemildred

(90,061 posts)
52. It does not matter what the lesson is.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:36 PM
Apr 2015

The problem, the pedagogical aspect, comes in at the point that you think that you can and you should teach someone a lesson. That will get you in trouble all day long, unless they have already signed up for your class.

And the other aspect of that is that when you DO decide to teach someone a lesson, you had best be sure you are smarter and better informed than they are first. Because when people try to teach me a lesson I tend to make sure they get to eat their words, as a lesson.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
55. States try to teach one another lessons all the time.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:53 PM
Apr 2015

Instead of quoting a price to the other side, they extract a cost.

It's how deterrence works.

President Obama is currently contemplating whether Prime Minister Netanyahu needs extra homework.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
57. And they regret it all the time.
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 12:56 PM
Apr 2015

As one can see now in the Middle East, "deterrence" does not work, unless you think producing hostile failed states is a good thing.

I don't think I have any idea how Obama thinks, though the subject is tempting.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
61. There is the possibility that the lesson of Iraq
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:06 PM
Apr 2015

is deterring the US from war with Iran.

Despite the war pig cacophony being blasted from Jerusalem and the US Congress, voters very clearly have no appetite for war with Iran. (ironically, support for sending troops to fight Iran's enemies, ISIS, is much stronger, Thomas Friedman notwithstanding).

Lessons must be learned if they are to be taught. Saddam didn't learn his lessons, neither did Bush.

Of course, states decide which lessons to learn.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
62. Well that is the question in my mind: are WE capable of learning?
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 01:11 PM
Apr 2015

Or are the attractions of cash money, hubris, and jingo politics just too good to give up?

It's damn near destroyed the nation as it is. If you compare our state now with where we were in 1970 say, it's not a picture of competent and dedicated self-governance that one gets. I am sure Obama understands that. But so far he has only been able to nibble away at the edges, and that is already enough to get them frothing.

CJCRANE

(18,184 posts)
44. The Independent is owned by a Russian oligarch
Thu Apr 2, 2015, 11:31 AM
Apr 2015

and 80% of UK media is owned by six billionaires.

I don't take anything I read in the western government or corporate owned media (or any media for that matter) at face value.

I've altered Reagan's maxim and instead say: "Don't trust, verify".

Monk06

(7,675 posts)
72. According to notes written by some guy and seen by another guy at some meeting. Not LBN
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 01:08 AM
Apr 2015

Worst hearsay bullshit non story I have seen on any of these phoney RRS feed tabloid 'news' Sites.

Plus the site froze my browser loading scripts to run ads and RRS feeds. This is what net neutrality should be dealing with not people downloading music.

Oh and did I forget to say Not News so, not Latest Breaking News !!!!

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
75. The story was dated Apr 2. Thats when the story was first released. So yes it is.
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 02:58 AM
Apr 2015

We get LBN posts ALL the time about subjects that aree days or weeks past, but only coming to light at that time.
You could look up the Norway stories referencing similar issues. Or maybe Putin threatening Denmark with nukes too from a week ago, since you dont believe the story and dont like the source. Independent is not a "tabloid" news site.

Depaysement

(1,835 posts)
80. It was at a meeting of the Elbe Group
Fri Apr 3, 2015, 05:56 AM
Apr 2015

It is a back channel meeting of former military and foreign policy types from the U.S. and the RF. This was from the March meeting.

Kevin Ryan was the guy taking notes. He is a retired General who works/teaches at the Belfer Center at Harvard.

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